Regional groundwater model of north-east Belgium

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Summary

Since 1975, the possibility to dispose of high-level radioactive waste in the Boom Clay formation is investigated in Belgium at the test site in Mol. This research involves detailed studies of the hydrogeological system at various scales. The regional groundwater model is the largest-scale model, providing boundary conditions for smaller-scale flow and transport models and for long-term predictions (e.g. climate change). The major challenges for its newest update were as follows: (1) to better understand regional groundwater flow, (2) to better calibrate the regional hydraulic parameters of the Boom Clay and the underlying aquifers, (3) to apply new data from the site investigation, and (4) to simulate the transient behaviour of the overexploited aquifers underlying the Boom Clay.

The new regional groundwater model using the MODFLOW 2000 code includes an updated geometry, new estimates of parameter values and a new conceptualisation of the hydrogeological system. Two steady states are simulated: the hypothetical original state (prior to pumping) and the equilibrium state of the aquifers assuming continuation of the present day pumping. The partly observed period of the transition between these states is simulated using a specific transient model.

The information included in the current set of observations is not sufficient to estimate the hydraulic properties of the major regional aquitard (the Boom Clay) using inverse modelling. However, low value of its hydraulic conductivity, based on large number of measurements, appears to be compatible with the model. Future data acquisition campaigns should also focus on increasing the confidence in the regional validity (transferability) of the measured values of the hydraulic conductivity.

Introduction

In 1975, SCK·CEN (the Belgian Nuclear Research Centre) started investigations on the possibility to dispose of high-level radioactive waste in the Boom Clay layer in north-east Belgium. Since 1982, ONDRAF/NIRAS (the Belgian Agency for Radioactive Waste and Enriched Fissile Materials) is responsible for the long-term management of all radioactive waste in Belgium. In this framework, ONDRAF/NIRAS and SCK·CEN are currently evaluating the feasibility and safety of a possible deep repository for high-level and medium-level radioactive waste in the Boom Clay (ONDRAF/NIRAS, 2001). Favourable properties of the Boom Clay are its low hydraulic conductivity (10−7 m/d), its thickness (about 100 m at the Mol site) and lateral homogeneity, its high sorption capacity, favourable geochemical (reducing) conditions and its high plasticity, which strongly contributes to its self-sealing capacity.

The regional groundwater model (Fig. 1) simulates the water flow in the groundwater system (Fig. 2) consisting of the host formation and the main surrounding aquifers. It covers almost 7000 km2 and includes the most important regional natural boundary conditions (rivers, regional divides and the sea) that influence the regional groundwater system. The main applications of the regional groundwater model are as follows: understanding the hydrogeology of the delineated research area, providing boundary conditions for the local flow and transport models (Meyus et al., 1998) that are used in the performance assessments (Marivoet et al., 2002), and simulating the hydrogeological system behaviour for changing boundary conditions, e.g. due to climatic changes.

This paper presents the most recent update of the regional groundwater model incorporating the results of the data acquisition campaign started in 1996 (ONDRAF/NIRAS, 2001).

Section snippets

Regional groundwater system

The hydrogeological system of north-east Belgium (Fig. 1) consists of tertiary sedimentary layers that deepen towards the north-east and outcrop in the south. The layers form a series of outcrops that represents the main recharge zones of the aquifers both above and below the Boom Clay (Fig. 2).

The major aquitard in the studied area is the approximately 100 m thick (at the Mol site) Boom Clay separating the Neogene and Quaternary group of aquifers (upper aquifer) from the Lower Rupelian aquifer.

Problem description

The regional groundwater model runs in present-day conditions until a steady state is reached. The steady-state solution represents the system response to a specific set of boundary conditions and sources and sinks. Hence, changes in the system and especially the long term changes can be evaluated by adapting the boundary conditions of the regional model to specific evolution scenarios.

The preceding versions of the regional model were not able to simulate the observed groundwater levels below

Regional hydrogeological model update

The updated regional hydrogeological model, designated NEB-2002, and released in 2002, brought several improvements into the concept and parameters of the regional model. The main features are discussed below.

The boundary conditions for the upper aquifer are the net infiltration, the rivers and zero flow boundary conditions assigned to the groundwater catchment boundaries. The main boundary condition for the Lower Rupelian and Lede-Brussel aquifers is the infiltration in the outcrop area. At

Transient groundwater flow model of the deep aquifers

In order to fit the calculated levels in the aquifers located below the Boom Clay to the observed values we built a specific transient model. This model includes only the confined parts of the deep aquifers (deep groundwater circulation domain – Fig. 5). The unconfined areas of the deep aquifers are represented by fixed head boundary conditions. These boundaries represent the interfaces between the two groundwater circulation domains correctly because the regional groundwater model gives

Conclusions

The goal of the regional groundwater modelling for the performance assessment of the deep geological disposal of high-level radioactive waste was to improve the understanding of the regional groundwater system including the host formation. Ultimately, the regional groundwater model is also used to simulate effects of changing boundary conditions on the groundwater system and to provide the boundary conditions for smaller-scale models used for flow and transport calculations.

The recent update of

Acknowledgements

This update of the regional hydrogeological model forms part of the programme on geological disposal of high-level and long-lived radioactive waste that is carried out by ONDRAF/NIRAS, the Belgian Agency for Radioactive Waste and Fissile Materials. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily correspond to those of ONDRAF/NIRAS.

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