Water and heat transport in boreal soils: Implications for soil response to climate change
Research Highlights
► The standard approaches to modeling heat flux may generate major errors. ► Representation of water in boreal heat transport modeling is important. ► Faster permafrost thaw in response to warming in wet sites compared to drier sites. ► Broad implications of results for predictions of boreal responses to climate change.
Introduction
A large fraction (approximately 33–37%) of terrestrial carbon (C) is stored in boreal soils (Ping et al., 2008, Tarnocai et al., 2009b). Over the last four decades, air temperatures in the boreal region have increased during winter and spring by 0.2 to 0.3 °C per decade, accompanied by increased precipitation in autumn and winter (Jones and Moberg, 2003, Smith and Reynolds, 2005). In some regions, higher air temperatures are likely triggering increases in net primary production (Bond-Lamberty et al., 2004) as well as changes in soil hydrology (Striegl et al., 2007, Walvoord and Striegl, 2007).
Changes in boreal hydrology may result in a positive feedback to global warming, either via increased emissions of CH4 in previously frozen and now flooded areas or via increased production of CO2 from decomposition or combustion in drained areas. Hydrological changes might also shift the distribution of peatlands, wetlands, and lakes (Rapalee et al., 1998, Vitt et al., 2000). While in some areas thawing of permafrost can promote the development of wetlands and lakes (thermokarst), in other areas permafrost degradation can lead to drainage (Jorgenson and Osterkamp, 2005). In central Siberia, 11% of lakes > 40 ha have shrunk or disappeared between 1973 and 1997/1998 (~ 93,000 ha of regional lake surface) (Smith et al., 2005). Degradation of permafrost over the last two decades has been reported from northern Alaska (Jorgenson et al., 2001), yet the environmental factors responsible for the loss of permafrost are debated with evidence for both the direct effects of warmer temperatures and/or the effects of increasing precipitation (Agafonov et al., 2004).
Heat transport through soils is a critical factor in determining how permafrost changes in response to climate. In most of the existing biophysical models used in boreal settings, pure heat conduction, which is mainly influenced by the particle contact area (Jury and Horton, 2004), is assumed to be the main mechanism of heat transport in the soils. However, heat conduction is not the only mechanism for heat transport in soils and ecosystems. Cahill and Parlange (1998) indicated that liquid water and thermally-induced vapor movement (convection) contributed to ~ 50% of soil heat flux in temperate soils. In boreal soils where moisture is highly variable across space and through seasons, the role of water movement could be an important factor in seasonal soil energy dynamics and in the long term response of boreal systems to changes in climate. Additionally, the convection of latent heat by water vapor movement in response to temperature gradients will release energy through evaporation–condensation processes, resulting in rapid heat transfer with only minor changes in soil moisture content (Jury and Horton, 2004, Kane et al., 2001).
Two heat transport models used to describe soil thermal dynamics were compared in this study. In Model 1, heat was transported by conduction and convection via the movement of liquid water and water vapor; in Model 2 heat was transported exclusively by conduction, a formulation similar to the commonly used soil physical models for boreal soils, for example, FORFLUX (Zeller and Nikolov, 2000), CLASS (Verseghy, 1991), LPJ-GUESS (Wolf et al., 2008), and Wetland-DNDC (Zhang et al., 2002).
Section snippets
Material and Methods
We studied three black spruce stands (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP) on well drained, effectively dry (‘D’) sites that burned in stand-replacing fires in approximately 1964, 1930 or 1921 (Table 1). The well drained sites tend to have gravel subsurface substrates that are highly permeable and tend to inhibit the retention of water and formation of ice-rich permafrost. The well drained 1964 and 1930 sites (1964D and 1930D) were established in years 2003 and 2002 near Thompson, Manitoba, Canada, while
Results and Discussion
The comparisons of the calculated residual sum of squares between Model 1 and Model 2 indicate that Model 1 provided overall better simulation than Model 2 (Fig. 1). In the growing season (i.e., Apr. through Sep.; Fig. 1), Model 2 substantially over-estimated the soil temperature in the organic layers by approximately 5 °C at the dry site 1921D. For all sites at 30-cm depth, the soil temperatures simulated by Model 2 were over 2° warmer than the measured values for about half the growing season
Conclusions
Permafrost in the boreal region has been warming as a result of climate warming during the last several decades (Jorgenson et al., 2001, Lemke et al., 2007, Yoshikawa et al., 2003). This study indicates that water movement through boreal soil is a critical factor for accurate simulations of energy (heat) transport into boreal ecosystems and changes both the quantitative and qualitative predictions of landscape scale permafrost degradation. These findings, if accurate, have wide implications for
Acknowledgements
This modeling research was supported by the National Institute for Climate Change Research, U.S. Department of Energy (DOE-NICCR; grant #: MPC 35UT-01) and the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA; grant #: NNX06AE65G). Field research was supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation, the U.S. Department of Energy, the U.S. Geological Survey, and the Natural Resources Canada programs. We thank C.S. Carbone, M. Goulden, S. Trumbore (University of California at Irvine), K.
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