Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-nr4z6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-24T15:42:05.826Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic ‘Stagflation’ and Public Support for the Political System

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 January 2009

Extract

Declining trust in politicians and political institutions is one of the most dramatic and well-documented trends in American public opinion. Confidence in religious, educational and other institutions has also waned, but emphasis has focused on diminished political trust, both because it may summarize a wide range of diffuse grievances and because it might indicate an increased potential for disruptive action, political violence and instability. In the decade from 1968 to 1978, the level of political trust (measured by the conventional five-item CPS/NES index) was halved, the proportion of the public expressing moderate or high levels of trust falling from 64 to 33 per cent. The greatest decline in the index level (a drop of 14 points) occurred between 1972 and 1974.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1984

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1 Easton, David, A Systems Analysis of Political Life (New York: Wiley, 1965), pp. 171219.Google Scholar

2 Muller, Edward N., ‘An Explanatory Model for Different Types of Political Participation’, European Journal of Political Research, X (1982), 116CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Jukam, Thomas O., and Muller, Edward N., ‘Political Support in the United States’, paper prepared for the annual meeting of the Latin American Studies Association, Pittsburgh, 04 1979Google Scholar; Miller, Warren E. and Jukam, Thomas O., ‘On the Meaning of Political Support’, American Political Science Review, LXXI (1977), 1561–95CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Miller, Arthur, Goldenburg, Edie N. and Erbring, Lutz, ‘Type-set Politics: Impact of Newspapers on Public Confidence’, American Political Science Review, LXXIII (1979), 6784CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Miller, Arthur, ‘Political Issues and Trust in Government: 1964–1970’, American Political Science Review, LXVIII (1974), 951–72CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Miller, Arthur, ‘Rejoinder to Comment by Jack Citrin: Political Discontent or Ritualism’, American Political Science Review, LXVIII (1974), 9891001.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

3 Fiorina, Morris P., Retrospective Voting (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981).Google Scholar

4 Caddell, Patrick, ‘Crisis of Confidence I – Trapped in a Downward Spiral’, Public Opinion, 11 (1979), 9Google Scholar; Miller, et al. , ‘Type-set Polities’, pp. 6784.Google Scholar

5 Abramson, Paul R. and Finifter, Ada W., ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust: New Evidence from Items Introduced in 1978’, American Journal of Political Science, XXV (1981), 297307.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

6 Miller, , ‘Political Issues and Trust in Government’ pp. 951–72Google Scholar; and Miller, , ‘Rejoinder to Comment by Jack Citrin’, pp. 9891001.Google Scholar

7 Miller, Warren E., Miller, Arthur, Raine, Alden F. and Brown, Thad, ‘A Majority Party in Disarray’, American Political Science Review, LXX (1976), 753–78.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

8 Citrin, Jack, ‘Comment: the Political Relevance of Trust in Government’, American Political Science Review, LXVIII (1974), 973–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

9 Stein, Herbert, The Fiscal Revolution in America (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1969)Google Scholar; and Stigler, George, ‘General Economic Conditions and National Elections’, American Economic Review, LXIV (1973), 160–7.Google Scholar

10 Keech, William, ‘Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Optimization’, American Journal of Political Science, XXIV (1980), 345–67CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Hibbs, Douglas R. Jr., ‘Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy’, American Political Science Review, LXXI (1977), 1467–87CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Frey, Bruno S., Modern Political Economy (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1979).Google Scholar

11 Tufte, Edward R., Political Control of the Economy (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1978).Google Scholar

12 Citrin, Jack, McClosky, Herbert, Shanks, J. Merrill and Sniderman, Paul M., ‘Personal and Political Sources of Political Alienation’, British Journal of Political Science, V (1975), 131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

13 Page, Benjamin and Jones, Calvin, ‘Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties and the Vote’, American Political Science Review, LXXIII (1979), 1071–89CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Kiewiet, Roderick D., Macroeconomics and Micropolitics (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1982).Google Scholar

14 Kessler, Ronald C. and Greenberg, David F., Linear Panel Analysis (New York: Academic Press, 1981), pp. 65–8Google Scholar; Kenny, David A., Correlation and Causality (New York: Wiley-Interscience, 1979), Chap. 12.Google Scholar

15 Hart, Vivian, Distrust and Democracy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1978).Google Scholar

16 Sniderman, Paul M., A Question of Loyally (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1981).Google Scholar

17 Citrin, . ‘Comment: the Political Relevance of Trust in Government’.Google Scholar

18 Jukam, Abraham and Muller, Edward N., ‘Political Support in the United States’, paper prepared for the annual meeting of the Latin American Studies Association, Pittsburgh (04 1979).Google Scholar

19 Kaplan, Abraham, The Conduct of Inquiry (New York: Free Press, 1962).Google Scholar

20 Katona, George, Psychological Economics (New York: Elsevier, 1975).Google Scholar

21 Abramson, and Finifter, , ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust’.Google Scholar

22 Sniderman, , A Question of LoyaltyGoogle Scholar; Miller, , ‘Political Issues and Trust in Government’Google Scholar; Converse, Philip E., ‘The Nature of Belief Systems Mass Publics’, in Apter, David E., ed., Ideology and Discontent (New York: Free Press, 1964).Google Scholar

23 Easton, , A Systems Analysis of Political LifeGoogle Scholar; Easton, David, ‘A Re-assessment of the Concept of Political Support’, British Journal of Political Science, V (1975), 435–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

24 Easton, , ‘A Re-assessment of the Concept of Political Support’Google Scholar; Muller, Edward N., ‘The Representation of Citizens by Political Authorities: Consequences for Regime Support’, American Political Science Review, LXIV (1970), 1149–66CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Citrin, et al. , ‘Personal and Political Sources of Political Alienation’Google Scholar; Citrin, , ‘Comment: the Political Relevance of Trust in Goverment’Google Scholar; Sears, David O. and Whitney, R. E., ‘Political Persuasion’, in de Sola Pool, Ithiel, Schramm, W., Maccoby, N., Parker, E. B. and Frey, F. W., eds, Handbook of Communication (Chicago: Rand McNally, 1973), pp. 253–89.Google Scholar

25 Douglas, James, ‘The Overloaded Crown’, British Journal of Political Science, VI (1976), 483506.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

26 Kernell, Samuel, ‘Explaining Presidential Popularity’, American Political Science Review, LXXII (1978), 506–22CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Abramson, and Finifter, , ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust’.Google Scholar

27 Sniderman, Paul M., Neuman, W. Russell, Citrin, Jack, McClosky, Herbert, Shanks, J. Merrill, ‘Stability of Support for the Political System: the Initial Impact of Watergate’, American Politics Quarterly, 111 (1975), 437–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

28 Citrin, et al. , ‘Personal and Political Sources of Political Alienation’.Google Scholar

29 Citrin, et al. , ‘Personal and Political Sources of Political Alienation’, p. 443.Google Scholar

30 Entman, R. M., Prothro, James W. and Sharp, E. F., ‘Watergate and Political Trust: a Panel Study’, mimeo: Institute for Social and Policy Studies, Yale University (1974).Google Scholar

31 Citrin, et al. , ‘Personal and Political Sources of Political Alienation’Google Scholar; Miller, , ‘Political Issues and Trust in Government’.Google Scholar

32 Abramson, and Finifter, , ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust’.Google Scholar

33 Jacobson, Gary C. and Kernell, Samuel, Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981).Google Scholar

34 Kiewiet, , Macroeconomics and Micropolitics.Google Scholar

35 Duncan, Otis Dudley, Introduction to Structural Equation Models (New York: Academic Press, 1975)Google Scholar; Kenny, , Correlation and Causality.Google Scholar

36 Kenny, , Correlation and Causality, Chap. 3.Google Scholar

37 Sniderman, et al. , ‘Stability of Support for the Political System’.Google Scholar

38 Rosenberg, Morris, The Logic of Survey Analysis (New York: Basic Books, 1968).Google Scholar

39 Wheaton, Blair, Muthen, B., Alwin, D. F. and Summers, G. F., ‘Assessing Reliability and Stability in Panel Models’, in Heise, D. R., ed., Sociological Methodology (San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 1977), pp. 84136.Google Scholar

40 Chubb, John E., ‘Multiple Indicators and Measurement Error in Panel Data’, Political Methodology, V (1978), 413–44.Google Scholar

41 Abramson, and Finifter, , ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust’.Google Scholar

42 Campbell, Donald T. and Fiske, D. W., ‘Convergent and Discriminant Validation by the Multitrait-Multimethod Matrix’, Psychological Bulletin, LVI (1959), 81105.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

43 Miller, , ‘Political Issues and Trust in Government’Google Scholar; Miller, , ‘Rejoinder to Comment by Jack Citrin’Google Scholar; Citrin, , ‘Comment: the Political Relevance of Trust in Government’.Google Scholar

44 Crewe, Ivor, ‘Voting Participation’, in Ranney, Austin, Penniman, Howard and Butler, David, eds, Democracy at the Polls (New York: American Enterprise Institute, 1980).Google Scholar

45 Schacht, Richard, Alienation (Garden City, New York: Doubleday, 1970)Google Scholar; Finifter, Ada W., ‘Dimensions of Alienation’, American Political Science Review, LXIV (1970), 389410CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Easton, , A Systems Analysis of Political LifeGoogle Scholar; Easton, , ‘A Re-assessment of the Concept of Political Support’Google Scholar; Citrin, , ‘Comment: the Political Relevance of Trust in Government’Google Scholar; Sniderman, , A Question of Loyalty.Google Scholar

46 Abramson, and Finifter, , ‘On the Meaning of Political Trust’.Google Scholar