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China's Transitional Economy: Interpreting its Significance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 February 2009

Extract

China's post-Mao economic reforms have generated rapid and sustained economic growth, unprecedented rises in real income and living standards, and have transformed what was once one of the world's most insular economies into a major trading nation. The contrast between China's transitional economy and those in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union could not be more striking. Where the latter struggle with severe recessions and pronounced declines in real income, China has looked more like a sprinting East Asian “tiger” than a plodding Soviet-style dinosaur mired in the swamps of transition. The realization that reform measures and energetic growth continue even after the political crisis of 1989 has made China a subject of intense interest far outside the customary confines of the China field. Understood increasingly as a genuine success story, it is moving to the centre of international policy debates about what is to be done to transform the stagnating economies of Eastern Europe, and various aspects of its case now figure prominently in academic analyses ranging from theories of the firm and property rights to the political foundations of economic growth.

Type
China's Transitional Economy
Copyright
Copyright © The China Quarterly 1995

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References

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15 Putterman, “Dualism and reform in China,” p. 478. See also Walder, “Wage reform,” and “Factory and manager”; Terry Sicular “Public finance and China's economic reforms,” Discussion Paper No. 1618, Harvard Institute of Economic Research, November 1992, and “Going on the dole: why China's state enterprises choose to lose,” unpublished paper, University of Western Ontario, May 1994. Sicular finds evidence of a managerial orientation to the maximization of retained funds rather than profits, and a propensity to spend these funds disproportionately on consumption and benefits for employees. However, she disputes the view that the profitability of state enterprises has suffered major declines.

16 Sachs and Woo write, “The results of attempts to reform the state sector have been extremely disappointing. On almost all fronts, the state-enterprise sector in China has continued to perform poorly. It is heavily loss-making; lagging in total factor productivity growth behind the non-state sector; dependent on state subsidies; and apparently suffused with economic corruption. China's growth has come despite the lack of discernible progress in establishing satisfactory performance of state industrial enterprises, with a heavy macroeconomic burden resulting from state enterprise losses” (p. 18).

17 Wong, Christine P. W., “Interpreting rural industrial growth,” “Fiscal reform and local industrialization: the problematic sequencing of reform in post-Mao China,” Modern China, No. 18 (April 1992), pp. 197227CrossRefGoogle Scholar, and “Central-local relations in an era of fiscal decline: the paradox of fiscal decentralization in post-Mao China,” The China Quarterly, No. 128 (December 1991), pp. 691–715.

18 For a recent overview of China's reforms that emphasizes their limits, see Wong, Christine, “China's economy: the limits of gradualist reform,” in Joseph, William A. (ed.), China Briefing, 1994 (Boulder: Westview, 1994), pp. 3354.Google Scholar

19 See especially Naughton, Barry, Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform. 1978–1993 (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995)CrossRefGoogle Scholar, and Rawski, “Progress without privatization.”

20 Naughton, Barry, “Implications of the state monopoly over industry and its relaxation,” Modern China, No. 18 (January 1992), pp. 1441.CrossRefGoogle Scholar Sicular, “Public finance and China's economic reforms,” however, argues that Naughton overstates the extent of the decline of profitability in state enterprises and also the declines in government revenue.

21 See the following series of publications, which lay out the evidence: Chen, Kuan, Jefferson, Gary H., Rawski, Thomas G., Wang, H. C. and Zheng, Y. X., “Productivity change in Chinese industry: 1953–85,” Journal of Comparative Economics, No. 12 (1988), pp. 570591Google Scholar, Jefferson, Gary H., Rawski, Thomas G. and Zheng, Yuxin, “Growth, efficiency, and convergence in China's state and collective industry,” Economic Development and Cultural Change, No. 40 (1992), pp. 239266CrossRefGoogle Scholar, Jefferson, Gary H. and Xu, Wenyi, “The impact of reform on socialist enterprises in transition: structure, conduct, and performance in Chinese industry,” Journal of Comparative Economics, No. 15 (1991), pp. 4564.CrossRefGoogle Scholar More accessible summaries of the evidence are provided in Rawski, “Progress without privatization”; Jefferson, Gary H. and Rawski, Thomas G., “Enterprise reform in Chinese industry,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, No. 8 (Spring 1994), pp. 4770Google Scholar; and Rawski, Thomas G., ”Chinese industrial reform: accomplishments, prospects, and implications,” American Economic Review, Vol. 84, No. 2 (May 1994), pp. 271275.Google Scholar The work of a second group who also find evidence of changes in the behaviour of state enterprises has recently begun to appear: Groves, Theodore, Hong, Yongmiao, McMillan, John and Naughton, Barry, “Autonomy and incentives in Chinese state enterprises,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 109, No. 1 (1994), pp. 183209.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

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25 Walder, Andrew G., Communist Neo-Traditionalism: Work and Authority in Chinese Industry (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1986)Google Scholar, ch. 2.

26 Sachs and Woo, “Structural factors.”

27 Vogel, Ezra F., One Step Ahead in China: Guangdong Under Reform (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1989).Google Scholar

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31 See, for example, Byrd, “Entrepreneurship, capital, and ownership,”; Oi, “Commercializing China's rural cadres,” and ‘Fiscal reform”; Wong, Christine P. W., “Between plan and market: the role of the local sector in post-Mao China,” Journal of Comparative Economics, No. 11 (1987), pp. 385398CrossRefGoogle Scholar, and “Interpreting rural industrial growth.”

32 Yingyi, Qian and Xu, Chenggang, “Why China's economic reforms differ: the M-form hierarchy and entry/expansion of the non-state sector,” Economics of Transition, No. 1 (1993), pp. 135170.Google Scholar

33 Sachs, Poland's Jump to the Market Economy, esp. pp. xiii and 43.

34 Kornai, The Road to a Free Economy, esp. pp. 17 and 22–23.

35 An excellent statement of this interpretation is Hartford, Kathleen, “The political economy behind Beijing Spring, 1989,” in Tony, Saich (ed.), The Chinese People's Movement: Perspectives on Spring 1989 (Armonk, N.Y.: M. E. Sharpe, 1990), pp. 5082.Google Scholar

36 See e.g. ibid., and Walder, Andrew G., “Workers, managers and the state: the reform era and the political crisis of 1989,” The China Quarterly, No. 127 (September 1991), pp. 491–92.Google Scholar

37 Nicholas Lardy argues persuasively that reports of the death of China's reforms in 1989 were greatly exaggerated in “Is China different? The fate of its economic reforms,” in Daniel, Chirot (ed.), The Crisis of Leninism and the Decline of the Left: The Revolutions of 1989 (Seattle: University of Washington Press, 1991), pp. 147162Google Scholar. China's record of macroeconomic stability in fact has been quite positive when compared to other transitional economies. See Mackinnon, Ronald I., “Financial growth and macroeconomic stability in China, 1978–1992: implications for Russia and other transitional economies,” Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 18 (June 1994), pp. 438–169.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

38 See, for example, Byrd, William A., The Market Mechanism and Economic Reforms in China (Armonk, N.Y.: M. E. Sharpe, 1991)Google Scholar, Naughton, Growing Out of the Plan, and Lardy, Nicholas, Foreign Trade and Economic Reform in China, 1978–1990 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992)Google Scholar, all of which document the gradual but fundamental changes in the principles by which China's economic system operates.

39 See Walder, Andrew G., “The quiet revolution from within: economic reform as a source of political decline,” in Walder, Andrew G. (ed.), The Waning of the Communist State: Economic Origins of Political Decline in China and Hungary (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1995), pp. 124.Google Scholar

40 See Shirk, Susan L., The Political Logic of Economic Reform in China (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1993)Google Scholar; Goldman, Marshall I. and Goldman, Merle, “Soviet and Chinese economic reform,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 66, No. 3 (1988), pp. 551573CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Goldman, Marshall I., Lost Opportunity: Why Economic Reforms in Russia Have Not Worked (New York: Norton, 1994).Google Scholar

41 See, for example, Sachs’ discussion of privatization in Poland's Jump to the Market Economy, and the discussion of stalled reforms in Russia in Blanchard, Olivieret al., Post-Communist Reform: Pain and Progress (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1993)Google Scholar, chs. 2–4, and Goldman, Lost Opportunity.

42 Mancur Olson argues that the greater openness of democracy to the influence of special interest groups has so far made the problems of soft budget constraints worse. See his “From communism to market democracy: why is economic performance even worse after communism is abandoned?” unpublished paper, University of Maryland, n.d.

43 See Wong, “Fiscal reform and local industrialization,’” and Wang, Shaoguang, “The rise of the regions: fiscal reform and decline of central state capacity in China,” in Walder, Andrew G. (ed.), The Waning of the Communist State: Economic Origins of Political Decline in China and Hungary (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1995), pp. 87113.Google Scholar

44 See Walder, , “The quiet revolution from within,” and “The decline of Communist power: elements of a theory of institutional change,” Theory and Society, Vol. 23 (April 1994), pp. 297323.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

45 See Wang, Shaoguang, “The rise of the regions,” and Wang, Shaoguang and Hu, Angang, Zhongguo guojia nengli baogao (A Report on China's State Capacity) (Shenyang: Liaoning renmin chubanshe, 1993).Google Scholar

46 See Montinola, Gabriella, Qian, Yingyi and Weingast, Barry R., “Federalism, Chinese style: the political basis for economic success in China,” World Politics, Vol. 48 (October 1995), pp. 5081CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Ronald I. McKinnon, “Market-preserving fiscal federalism: notes on the American and Chinese models,” unpublished paper, Stanford University, August 1993. See also McKinnon's, Spontaneous order on the road back from socialism: an Asian perspective,” American Economic Review, No. 80 (May 1992), pp. 3136.Google Scholar

47 Montinola, Qian and Weingast, “Federalism, Chinese style.”