Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-sxzjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T05:28:32.363Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

SUNSPOTS AND CREDIT FRICTIONS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 September 2012

Sharon G. Harrison*
Affiliation:
Barnard College, Columbia University
Mark Weder
Affiliation:
University of Adelaide
*
Address correspondence to: Sharon G. Harrison, Department of Economics, Barnard College, Columbia University, 3009 Broadway, New York, NY 10027, USA; e-mail: sh411@columbia.edu.

Abstract

We examine a general equilibrium model with collateral constraints and increasing returns to scale in production. The utility function is nonseparable, with no income effect on the consumer's choice of leisure. Unlike this model without a collateral constraint, we find that indeterminacy of equilibria is possible. Hence, business cycles can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. This is the case for more realistic parameterizations than in previous, similar models without these features.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2012 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Akerlof, George and Shiller, Robert (2009) Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Attanasio, Orazio and Weber, Guglielmo (1989) Intertemporal substitution, risk aversion and the euler equation for consumption. Economic Journal 99 Supplement, 5973.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benhabib, Jess and Farmer, Roger (1994) Indeterminacy and increasing returns. Journal of Economic Theory 63, 1946.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benhabib, Jess and Farmer, Roger (1996) Indeterminacies and sector specific externalities. Journal of Monetary Economics 37, 421444.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benhabib, Jess and Farmer, Roger (1999) Indeterminacy and sunspots in macroeconomics. In Taylor, John B. and Woodford, Michael (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 1A, pp. 387448. Amsterdam: North-Holland.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burnside, Craig, Eichenbaum, Martin, and Rebelo, Sergio (1995) Capital utilization and returns to scale. NBER Macro Annual, 67–110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chari, V. V., Kehoe, Patrick, and McGrattan, Ellen (2003) Accounting for the Great Depression. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneaplis Quarterly Review 27, 28.Google Scholar
Cordoba, Juan and Ripoll, Marla (2004) Credit cycles redux. International Economic Review 45, 10111046.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Devereux, Michael and Schiantarelli, Fabio (1989) Investment, Financial Factors and Cash Flow: Evidence from UK Panel Data. NBER Working Paper 3116.Google Scholar
Farmer, Roger (2009) Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism, by George Akerlof and Robert Shiller: A Review. The Economic Record 85, 357369.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farmer, Roger and Guo, Jang-Ting (1994) Real business cycles and the animal spirits hypothesis. Journal of Economic Theory 63, 4272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier and Parker, Jonathan A. (2002) Consumption over the life cycle. Econometrica 70, 4789.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greenwood, Jeremy, Hercowitz, Zvi, and Huffman, Gregory (1988) Investment, capacity utilization, and the real business cycle. American Economic Review 78, 402417.Google Scholar
Gruber, Jonathan (2006) A Tax-Based Estimate of the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution. NBER Working Paper 11945.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harrison, Sharon (2003) Returns to scale and externalities in the consumption and investment sectors. Review of Economic Dynamics 6, 963976.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harrison, Sharon and Weder, Mark (2006) Did sunspot forces cause the Great Depression? Journal of Monetary Economics 53, 13271339.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harrison, Sharon and Weder, Mark (2009) Technological change and the roaring twenties: A neoclassical perspective. Journal of Macroeconomics 31, 363375.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaimovich, Nir (2007) Firm dynamics and markup variations: Implications for multiple equilibria and endogenous economic fluctuations. Journal of Economic Theory 137, 300325.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaimovich, Nir (2008) Income effects and indeterminacy in a calibrated one-sector growth model. Journal of Economic Theory 143, 610623.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kimball, Miles and Shapiro, Matthew (2008) Labor Supply: Are the Income and Substitution Effects Both Large or Both Small?. NBER Working Paper 14208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kindleberger, Charles P. (2000) Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises. New York: Wiley.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
King, Robert, Plosser, Charles, and Rebelo, Sergio (1988) Production, growth and business cycles: I. The basic neoclassical model. Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 195232.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro and Moore, John (1997) Credit cycles. Journal of Political Economy 105, 211248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kobayashi, Keiichiro, Nakajima, Tomoyuki, and Inaba, Masaru (in press) Collateral constraint and news-driven cycles. Macroeconomic Dynamics.Google Scholar
Kobayashi, Keiichiro and Nutahara, Kengo (2007) Collateralized capital and news-driven cycles. Economics Bulletin 5, 19.Google Scholar
Kocherlakota, Narayana (2000) Creating business cycles through credit constraints. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 24, 210.Google Scholar
Kocherlakota, Narayana (2009) Bursting Bubbles: Consequences and Cures. Working Paper, Minnesota Fed.Google Scholar
Lubik, Thomas (2007) The Empirics of Indeterminacy. Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.Google Scholar
Maddison, Angus (1991) Dynamic Forces in Capitalist Development: A Long-Run Comparative View. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Meng, Qinglai and Yip, Chong (2008) On indeterminacy in one-sector models of the business cycle with factor-generated externalities. Journal of Macroeconomics 30, 97110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Minsky, Hyman P. (1978) The Financial Instability Hypothesis: A Restatement. Paper 180, Hyman P. Minsky Archive.Google Scholar
Mulligan, Casey (2002) Capital, Interest, and Aggregate Intertemporal Substitution. NBER Working Paper 9373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rogerson, Richard and Wallenius, Johanna (2009) Micro and macro elasticities in a life cycle model with taxes. Journal of Economic Theory 144, 22772292.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wen, Yi (1998) Capacity utilization under increasing returns to scale. Journal of Economic Theory 81, 736.CrossRefGoogle Scholar