Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-tj2md Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-20T15:39:00.170Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

RACE-BASED CONSIDERATIONS AND THE OBAMA VOTE

Evidence from the 2008 National Asian American Survey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2009

S. Karthick Ramakrishnan
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of California, Riverside
Janelle Wong
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science and American Studies and Ethnicity, University of Southern California
Taeku Lee*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley
Jane Junn
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science and Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers University
*
Professor Taeku Lee, Travers Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley, 210 Barrows Hall, MC 1950, Berkeley, CA 94720. E-mail: taekulee@berkeley.edu

Abstract

In the 2008 presidential primaries, Barack Obama seemed to have a problem connecting with Asian American voters, as he lost heavily to Hillary Clinton in states such as California and New Jersey. Many speculated that race-based considerations played a significant role in Asian Americans' overwhelming support for Clinton over Obama, with conjectures built on a limited set of aggregate exit poll data from three states. Race may also have accounted for the high proportion of Asian Americans who in polls said they were undecided heading into the November election. In this article, we analyze the importance of race-based considerations in the Asian American vote, after controlling for other factors such as partisanship, issue preferences, age, and gender. We rely on the National Asian American Survey, a large-scale telephone survey of Asian American voters conducted mostly in the fall of 2008, with interviews in eight languages and with sizable numbers of respondents from the six largest national-origin groups. We find that race-based considerations do indeed help explain the Asian American vote in 2008. Respondents who failed to see political commonality between Asian Americans and Blacks were less likely to vote for Obama in the primary, although other factors, such as age and gender, played a more significant role. Finally, the role of race-based considerations paled in comparison to party identification and issue preferences in the general election, suggesting that election contexts can play an important role in shaping whether or not race is relevant to vote choice.

Type
STATE OF THE ART
Copyright
Copyright © W.E.B. Du Bois Institute for African and African American Research 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

AALDEF (2009). AALDEF: Press Release: AALDEF Exit Poll of Over 16,000 Asian American Voters Shows Strong Support for Barack Obama in Historic 2008 Presidential Election. ⟨http://www.aaldef.org/article.php?article_id=388⟩ (accessed February 1, 2009).Google Scholar
Abelmann, Nancy and Lie, John (1995). Blue Dreams: Korean Americans and the Los Angeles Riots. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Abramowitz, Alan I. (1994). Issue Evolution Reconsidered: Racial Attitudes and Partisanship in the U.S. Electorate. American Journal of Political Science, 38(1): 124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ancheta, Angelo N. (1998). Race, Rights, and the Asian American Experience. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Axelrod, Robert (1986). Presidential Election Coalitions in 1984. American Political Science Review, 80(1): 281284.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barreto, Matt and Pedraza, Francisco (2008). The Renewal and Persistence of Group Identification in American Politics. Paper presented at the Shambaugh Conference, University of Iowa, May 9.Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry M. (2000). Partisanship and Voting Behavior, 1952–1996. American Journal of Political Science, 44(1): 3550.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berelson, Bernard, Lazarsfeld, Paul F., and McPhee, William (1954). Voting: A Study of Opinion Formation in a Presidential Campaign. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Blackwell, Angela Glover, Kwoh, Stewart, and Pastor, Manuel (2002). Searching for Uncommon Ground: New Dimensions on Race in America. New York: W. W. Norton.Google Scholar
Blank, Rebecca M., Dabady, Marilyn, and Citro, Constance F. (Eds.) (2004). Measuring Racial Discrimination. Washington, DC: National Research Council.Google Scholar
Bobo, Lawrence D. and Johnson, Devon (2000). Racial Attitudes in a Prismatic Metropolis: Mapping Identity, Stereotypes, Competition, and Views on Affirmative Action. In Bobo, Lawrence D., Oliver, Melvin L., Johnson, James H. Jr., and Valenzuela, Abel Jr. (Eds.), Prismatic Metropolis: Inequality in Los Angeles, pp. 81166. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Bobo, Lawrence D. and Suh, Susan (2000). Surveying Racial Discrimination: Analyses from a Multiethnic Labor Market. In Bobo, Lawrence D., Oliver, Melvin L., Johnson, James H. Jr., and Valenzuela, Abel Jr. (Eds.), Prismatic Metropolis: Inequality in Los Angeles, pp. 523560. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Bullock, Charles S. III (1984). Racial Crossover Voting and the Election of Black Officials. Journal of Politics, 46(1): 238251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E. (1960). The American Voter. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Carmines, Edward G. and Stimson, James A. (1989). Issue Evolution: Race and the Transformation of American Politics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chang, Robert (1999). Disoriented: Asian Americans, Law, and the Nation-State. New York: NYU Press.Google Scholar
Cho, Sumi K. (1993). Korean Americans vs. African Americans: Conflict and Construction. In Gooding-Williams, Robert (Ed.), Reading Rodney King/Reading Urban Uprising, pp. 196214. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Citrin, Jack, Green, Donald Philip, and Sears, David O. (1990). Whites' Reactions to Black Candidates: When Does Race Matter? Public Opinion Quarterly, 54(1): 7496.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
CNN (2008). President: National Exit Poll. ⟨http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#USP00p1⟩ (accessed March 18, 2009).Google Scholar
Converse, Philip E. (1966). On the Possibility of Major Political Realignment in the South. In Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E. (Eds.), Elections and the Political Order, pp. 212242. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Cost, Jay (2008). On the State of the Race. RealClearPolitics.com, HoreRaceBlog, September 30. ⟨http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/09/on_the_state_of_the_race_1.html⟩ (accessed April 6, 2009).Google Scholar
Cullen, Lisa Takeuchi (2008). Does Obama Have an Asian Problem? Time, February 18. ⟨http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1714292,00.html⟩ (accessed March 18, 2009).Google Scholar
Dovidio, John F., Brigham, John C., Johnson, Blair T., and Gaertner, Samuel L. (1996). Stereotyping, Prejudice, and Discrimination: Another Look. In Macrae, C. Neil, Stangor, Charles, and Hewstone, Miles (Eds.), Stereotypes and Stereotyping, pp. 276322. New York: Guilford.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S. (1989). Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote. American Political Science Review, 83(2): 567573.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fazio, Russell H., Jackson, Joni R., Dunton, Bridget C., and Williams, Carol J. (1995). Variability in Automatic Activation as an Unobtrusive Measure of Racial Attitudes: A Bona Fide Pipeline? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 69(6): 10131027.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Finkel, Steven, Guterbock, Thomas, and Borg, Marian (1991). Race of Interview Effects in a Pre-Election Poll. Public Opinion Quarterly, 55 (Fall): 313330.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. (1981). Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Gerber, Alan S. and Green, Donald P. (2000). The Effects of Canvassing, Telephone Calls, and Direct Mail on Voter Turnout: A Field Experiment. American Political Science Review, 94(3): 653663.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hajnal, Zoltan L. (2001). White Residents, Black Incumbents, and a Declining Racial Divide. American Political Science Review, 95(3): 603617.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Highton, Benjamin (2004). White Voters and African American Candidates for Congress. Political Behavior, 26(1): 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Highton, Benjamin and Wolfinger, Raymond E. (2001). The Political Implications of Higher Turnout. British Journal of Political Science, 31(1): 179223.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hinich, Melvin J. and Munger, Michael C. (1994). Ideology and the Theory of Political Choice. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Iyengar, Shanto (1994). Is Anyone Responsible? How Television Frames Political Issues. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Jennings, M. Kent and Niemi, Richard G. (1981). Generations and Politics: A Panel Study of Young Adults and Their Parents. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Johnson, James Jr., Farrell, Walter Jr., and Guinn, Chandra (1997). Immigration Reform and the Browning of America: Tensions, Conflicts, and Community Instability in Metropolitan Los Angeles. International Migration Review, 31(4): 10551095.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Kaufmann, Karen (2003). Black and Latino Voters in Denver: Responses to Each Other's Political Leadership. Political Science Quarterly, 118(1): 107125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kim, Claire Jean (1999). The Racial Triangulation of Asian Americans. Politics and Society, 27(1): 105138.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kim, Claire Jean (2000). Bitter Fruit: The Politics of Black-Korean Conflict in New York City. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Kim, Janine Young (1999). Are Asians Black? The Asian-American Civil Rights Agenda and the Contemporary Significance of the Black/White Paradigm. Yale Law Journal, 108(8): 23852412.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kim, Kenneth (2008). Did Asian Americans Swing California for Clinton? NewAmericaMedia.com, February 7. ⟨http://news.newamericamedia.org/news/view_article.html?article_id=d7a4a2a86575f4bfbc4e0e32a87a448d⟩ (accessed March 18, 2009).Google Scholar
Kinder, Donald R. and Sanders, Lynn M. (1996). Divided by Color: Racial Politics and Democratic Ideals. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Layman, Geoffrey (2001). The Great Divide: Religious and Cultural Conflict in American Party Politics. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Lazarsfeld, Paul Felix, Berelson, Bernard, and Gaudet, Hazel (1944). The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign. New York: Duell, Sloan, Pearce.Google Scholar
Lee, Jennifer (2002). Civility in the City: Blacks, Jew, and Koreans in Urban America. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Lee, Taeku (2000). Racial Attitudes and the Color Line(s) at the Close of the Twentieth Century. In Ong, Paul M. (Ed.), Transforming Race Relations: A Public Policy Report, pp. 103158. Los Angeles: LEAP Asian Pacific American Public Policy Institute and UCLA Asian American Studies Center.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Jacoby, William G., Norpoth, Helmut, and Weisberg, Herbert F. (2007). The American Voter Revisited. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Lien, Pei-te, Conway, M. Margaret, and Wong, Janelle (2004). The Politics of Asian Americans: Diversity and Community. New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Markus, Gregory B. (1988). The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Analysis. American Journal of Political Science, 32(1): 137154.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mutz, Diana C. and Mondak, Jeffery J. (1997). Dimensions of Sociotropic Behavior: Group-Based Judgments of Fairness and Well-Being. American Journal of Political Science, 41(1): 284308.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
New York Times (2008). Exit Polls: Election Results 2008. ⟨http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/exit-polls.html⟩ (accessed November 20, 2008).Google Scholar
Nie, Norman H., Verba, Sidney, and Petrocik, John (1976) The Changing American Voter. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Nuño, Stephen (2007). Latino Mobilization and Vote Choice in the 2000 Presidential Election. American Politics Research, 35(2): 273293.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Page, Benjamin I. and Brody, Richard A. (1972). Policy Voting and the Electoral Process: The Vietnam War Issue. American Political Science Review, 66(3): 979995.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life (2008). U.S. Religious Landscape Survey; Religious Beliefs and Practices: Diverse and Politically Relevant. Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life. Washington, DC. ⟨http://religions.pewforum.org/pdf/report2-religious-landscape-study-full.pdf⟩ (accessed March 19, 2009).Google Scholar
Popkin, Samuel (1991). The Reasoning Voter: Communication and Persuasion in Presidential Campaigns. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rahn, Wendy M. (1993). The Role of Partisan Stereotypes in Information Processing about Political Candidates. American Journal of Political Science, 37(2): 472496.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reeves, Keith (1997). Voting Hopes or Fears: White Voters, Black Candidates, and Racial Politics in America. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenstone, Steven J. and Hansen, John Mark (1993). Mobilization, Participation, and Democracy in America. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Sigelman, Carol K., Sigelman, Lee, Walkosz, Barbara J., and Nitz, Michael (1995). Black Candidates, White Voters: Understanding Racial Bias in Political Perceptions. American Journal of Political Science, 39(1): 243265.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sniderman, Paul M., Crosby, Gretchen C., and Howell, William G. (2000). The Politics of Race. In Sears, David O., Sidanius, Jim, and Bobo, Lawrence D. (Eds.), Racialized Politics: The Debate about Racism in America, pp. 236279. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Stokes-Brown, Atiya (2006). Racial Identity and Latino Vote Choice. American Politics Research, 34(5): 627652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Takagi, Dana Y. (1993). The Retreat from Race: Asian-American Admissions and Racial Politics. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Terkildsen, Nayda (1993). When White Voters Evaluate Black Candidates: The Processing Implications of Candidate Skin Color, Prejudice, Self-Monitoring. American Journal of Political Science, 37(4): 10321053.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuan, Mia (1999). Forever Foreigners or Honorary Whites? The Asian Ethnic Experience Today. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Tuchman, Gary (2008). Asian American Voters, Anderson Cooper 360 Degrees, CNN. February 8. ⟨http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPS/0802/08/acd.o2.html⟩ (accessed April 5, 2009).Google Scholar
Wolfinger, Raymond E. (1965). The Development and Persistence of Ethnic Voting. American Political Science Review, 59(4): 896908.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wolfinger, Raymond E. and Rosenstone, Steven J. (1980). Who Votes? New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Wu, Frank (2001). Yellow: Race in America beyond Black and White. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Yoon, In-Jin (1997). On My Own: Korean Businesses and Race Relations in America. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar