Abstract
Records from the Greenland Ice Sheet Project Two ice core are considered in terms of dynamical systems theory and nonlinear prediction. Dynamical systems theory allows us to reconstruct some properties of a phenomenon based only on past behavior without any mechanistic assumptions or deterministic models. A near-term prediction of temperature, including a mean estimate and confidence interval, is made for 800 years into the future. The prediction suggests that the present short-time global warming trend will continue for at least 200 years and be followed by a reverse in the temperature trend.
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Kotov, S.R. Dynamics of Global Climatic Changes and Possibility of Their Prediction Using Chemical Data from Greenland Ice. Mathematical Geology 35, 477–491 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024850108950
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024850108950