Skip to main content
Log in

Slope Instability in Static and Dynamic Conditions for Urban Planning: the ‘Oltre Po Pavese’ Case History (Regione Lombardia – Italy)

  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The paper describes a method for the evaluation of slope instability for urban planning purposes, applied in the test area ‘Oltre Po Pavese’ (Regione Lombardia, Italy). A statistic and a probabilistic approach have been applied for the estimation of landslide activations and for the definition of potentially unstable areas. The displacement has been obtained through a simplified dynamic analysis, using deterministic methods: first the critical horizontal acceleration coefficient (Kc) has been evaluated, second the displacement has been calculated using the Kc values and the seismic input values, such as peak ground acceleration (PGA) and Arias intensity (Ia), through empirical relationships between displacement and Ia values for different Kc values. The results can be used by the regional government to give to the municipalities of the area a guide for the selection of the zones to be studied with future and more detailed analyses.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ambraseys, N. and Srbulov, M.: 1995, Earthquake induced displacement of slopes, Soil Dyn. Earth Engng 14, 59-71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Aquater: 1980, Carta dell'uso del suolo.

  • Arias, A.:1970, In R. J. Hansen (ed.), A Measure of Earthquake Intensity, Seismic Design for Nuclear Power Plants, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, U.S.A.

    Google Scholar 

  • Binaghi, E., Luzi, L., Madella, P., Pergalani, F., and Rampini, A.: 1998, Slope instability zonation: A comparison between certainty factor and fuzzy Dempster-Shafer approaches, Natural Hazards 17, 77-97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chung, C. F. and Fabbri, A. G.: 1993, The representation of geoscience information for data integration, Non-Renewable Resources 2(2), 122-139.

    Google Scholar 

  • Enea-Enel: 1981, Commissione ENEA-ENEL per lo studio dei problemi sismici connessi con la realizzazione di impianti nucleari. Contributo alla caratterizzazione della sismicità del territorio italiano, Progetto Finalizzato Geodinamica Conference, Udine.

  • Faccioli, E.: 1995, Induced hazard: earthquake triggered landslides, Fifth International Conference on Seismic Zonation, Vol. 3, Nice, pp. 1908-1931.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gelati, R., Bruzzi, D., Castagna, G., and Cattaneo, P. C.: 1974, Evoluzione stratigrafico-strutturale dell'Appennino Vogherese a nord-est della Val Staffora, Riv. Ital. Paleont. Strat. 80(3), 479-514.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gelati, R., Massiotta, P., and Sfondrini, G.: 1978, I lineamenti struttutali del settore nord-ovest dell'Appennino Settentrionale, Mem. Soc. Geol. It. 19, 437-443.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heckerman: 1986, Probabilistic interpretation of MYCIN's certainty factors, In L. N. Kanal and J. F. Lemmer (eds), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Elsevier, New York, pp. 298-311.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ilwis 1.4.1: 1993, The Integrated Land andWater Information System User'sManual, ITC, Enschede, The Netherlands.

    Google Scholar 

  • Istat: 1991, Dati sulle caratteristiche strutturale della popolazione e delle abitazioni, 13° censimento generale della popolazione.

  • Luzi, L. and Pergalani, F.: 1995, Slope instability zonation and influence on lifelines vulnerability by application of a GIS, Fifth International Conference on Seismic Zonation, Vol. 1, Nice, pp. 55-59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Margottini, C., Molin, D., and Serva, L.: 1992, Intensity versus ground motion: A new approach using Italian data, Engng Geol. 33, 45-58.

    Google Scholar 

  • Newmark, N. M.: 1965, Effects of earthquake on dams and embankments, Geotechnique 15, 139-160.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pergalani, F. and Luzi, L.: 1994, Analisi di stabilità di situazioni tipo connesse con fenomeni franosi in condizioni statiche e dinamiche di un'area campione (Foglio Fabriano Appennino Umbro-Marchiagiano, Ingegneria Sismica XI(2), 10-32.

    Google Scholar 

  • Regione Lombardia: 1980, Carta Tecnica Regionale, Milano.

  • Scandone, P.: 1996, Struttura Geologica, Evoluzione Cinematica e Schema Sismotettonico della Penisola Italiana, CNR, GNDT, GdL Sismotettonica, Rapporto interno, GNDT, Pisa.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shortliffe, E. H. and Buchanan, G. G.: 1975, Amodel of inexact reasoning in medicine, Mathematical Biosciences 23, 351-379.

    Google Scholar 

  • Skempton, A. W. and Delory, F. A.: 1957, Stability in natural slopes of London clay, Proc. 4th Int. Conf. SMFE, London, pp. 378-381.

  • Stucchi, M., Camassi, R., and Monachesi, G.: 1996, Il Catalogo di Lavoro del GNDT, CNR, GNDT, GdL Macrosismica, Rapporto interno, GNDT, Milano.

    Google Scholar 

  • Varnes, D. J.: 1984, Hazard zonation: A review of principles and practice, Commission of Landslides of IAEG, UNESCO, Natural Hazards 3, 61.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Luzi, L., Pergalani, F. Slope Instability in Static and Dynamic Conditions for Urban Planning: the ‘Oltre Po Pavese’ Case History (Regione Lombardia – Italy). Natural Hazards 20, 57–82 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008162814578

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008162814578

Navigation