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Blocking highs over Asia and monsoon droughts over India

Abstract

Severe summer droughts of the Indian subcontinent have been found to accompany prolonged ‘breaks’ in the south-west monsoon. Data from the years of severe drought suggest that the associated breaks were due to upper tropospheric blocking ridges over East Asia. We present here a model for the evolution of two such blocking ridges: the East Asia (EABR) and the West Asia (WABR). Apparently an intense WABR—the initiator of the monsoon break—precedes the formation of the EABR. This cycle could be a way of predicting years of intense drought or monsoon activity.

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Raman, C., Rao, Y. Blocking highs over Asia and monsoon droughts over India. Nature 289, 271–273 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1038/289271a0

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