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China, India and Brazil: Tiger technologies, dragon multinationals and the building of national systems of economic learning

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Abstract

The biggest business story today is China, along with India and Brazil. These three emerging giants are predicted by Goldman Sachs to account for over half of global business activity by 2050. Competition and strategy as practised by these countries – and by firms and countries of the Asia-Pacific more generally – can no longer be thought of as a ‘peripheral’ feature of the world economy. Now Asia-Pacific – its firms, industries, countries – is moving to the core of the global economy, whereas strategies and competitive behaviours developed here are proving to be of much more than peripheral interest. In this paper I reflect on the technology leverage strategies developed to enter advanced industries (tiger technologies), on the accelerated internationalization achieved through complementing the global value chains created through globalization (dragon multinationals) and on the national innovative capacities developed in the region, and to what extent the practices of China, India and Brazil in developing national systems of economic learning may be said to replicate the strategies that worked so successfully in East Asia. The paper concludes that the propagation of East Asian strategies to these emerging giants promises much greater success than in countries following the precepts of the Washington Consensus.

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Notes

  1. For the original BRICs report, see GS (2003). For an example of the commentary and analysis it has inspired, see Jensen and Larsen (2004).

  2. There are texts appearing already discussing such ‘miracles’, for example Lin et al (1996). For a discussion as to whether China is following the ‘East Asian development model’, see Baek (2005).

  3. This is the fundamental issue on which the World Bank's East Asian Miracle report (World Bank, 1993) turned, and the reviews querying its approach, for example Amsden (1994).

  4. Chang (2004) captures this point well when he argues that the developed countries are ‘kicking away the ladder’ that underpinned their own success.

  5. List had a very clear notion of industrial transformation at national level, as in this passage from his National System of Political Economy (1856):

    in the economical development of nations by means of external trade, four periods must be distinguished. In the first, agriculture is encouraged by the importation of manufactured articles, and by the exportation of its own products; in the second, manufacturers begin to increase at home, whereas the importation of foreign manufactures to some extent continues; in the third, home manufactures mainly supply domestic consumption and the internal markets; finally, in the fourth, we see the exportation on a large scale of manufactured products, and the importation of raw materials and agricultural products.

    See source at: http://www.fordham.edu/halsall/mod/1856list.html.

  6. On the German Patent Law of 1877 (and its prior Prussian version), see the forthcoming treatment by Palombi (Forthcoming). This legislation was brought about by Bismarck under advisement from Werner Siemens (electrical), Friedrich Bayer (chemical) and the Deutscher Patent-Schutz-Verein (German Association for the Protection of Patents) which was founded in 1874.

  7. See Gerschenkron (1962), for his main work expounding the latecomer effect. For a valuable collection of essays gathered together by former students, see Sylla and Toniolo (1991).

  8. Hobday puts the matter thus: ‘Gerschenkron argued that there were no automatic stages of development and that countries did not and could not pass through the same stages of development that others had passed through before them, precisely because others had passed through them’ (2003: 294) (Emphasis in original).

  9. On this topic, I have written other papers, including Mathews, 2007a, on the extent to which renewable energies can be utilised by developing countries to promote their upgrading efforts; and 2007b on linking strategies for renewable energies to the capture of latecomer effects; and Mathews, 2008 (also Mathews and Goldzstein, 2009) on how this process is unfolding in the case of biodiesel produced in Argentina.

  10. On development as collective entrepreneurship, with all the strategizing connotations of that term, see Leibenstein (1968) and Hausmann and Rodrik (2003), for a more recent exposition.

  11. This chart was first presented in Mathews and Cho (2000). For my own contributions to this literature over the course of the past decade, emphasizing collective entrepreneurial initiative in order to capture latecomer advantages, see Mathews (1996, 2001, 2002a, 2002b, 2003, 2005a, 2005b, 2006a, 2006b, 2007b), also, Mathews and Cho (2000), Mathews and Hu (2007) and Hu and Mathews (2005). This paper provides a welcome opportunity to review these contributions and assess their applicability to the case of the BICs.

  12. There is now considerable documentation on technology leverage and technological capabilities enhancement by firms in China, India and Brazil. See Lu (2000) and Lu and Lazonick (2001) for comprehensive treatment of IT-sector firms and strategies; Mu and Lee (2005) for the telecommunications sector; Xie and White (2006) for telecoms handset makers; and Xie and Wu (2003) for the above CTV makers. Hu (2002) provides a comprehensive account of Chinese catch-up strategies in the context of latecomer strategies pursued by other developing countries in the past. These studies draw on earlier works looking at firms’ technological upgrading strategies and the network and institutional settings in which they do so, as in works by Bell (2006), Rasiah (2004) and Shin (1996).

  13. The BCG report missed some important ‘dragon multinationals’ such as Ispat/Mittal and the Bunge group from Brazil, doubtless because of their restrictive criteria regarding stock market listing. Mittal is listed on the London and Amsterdam stock exchanges, whereas Bunge is listed on the New York exchange. They are both essentially firms that have globalized from the periphery, and thus in every sense fulfill the BCG criteria.

  14. Out of a large literature on this topic of internationalization of firms from the Asia-Pacific, see Yeung (2007), and for the case of white goods, Bonaglia et al (2007).

  15. For highlights of a debate on this topic, see Mathews (2006a) and Dunning (2006).

  16. This book remains pre-eminent in studies designed to bring out how countries have to practice one kind of intervention or another – rather than pursue free market, level playing-field approaches – if they wish to overcome latecomer impediments and prosper.

  17. Chart taken from Mathews (2005b).

  18. On the shift of software services to India, see Dossani and Kenney (2007).

  19. On these matters, see Lundvall, 2007 for a review of his concept of national system of innovation; and Gu and Lundvall, 2006 for the concept of endogenous innovation to convey an active approach to technology transfer; I have sought the same idea in the notion of technology leverage. Lazonick, 2004 provides an opportunity reflect on a lifetime's work as well as engage with the stimulating scholarship of Lu. By contrast, Lall, 1992 was the start of a substantial body of work on the theme of technological learning, culminating in the studies assembled in Chandra, 2006. Schumpeter started off this literature train with the publication of his remarkable ‘Theory of Economic Development’ published in German in 1911 (Schumpeter 1911/1934). A full English translation of the ‘lost’ seventh chapter of this work first appeared in the journal Industry and Innovation in 2004 (Schumpeter 1911/2004).

  20. Griffiths developed this idea in the setting of the world meat industry: see Griffiths and Zammuto (2005). On the notion of national systems of economic learning, see Mathews (2001).

  21. Kim (1997) remains one of the indispensable references in the field of industry strategies.

  22. It is a promising field of research to investigate the formulation of national standards and how they may be used to enhance national competitive advantage. On the China approach, see Linden, 2004, and on the WAPI standard episode, where China proposed a WiFi standard, but had to retreat in the face of determined opposition from incumbents such as Intel, see Lee and Oh (2006).

  23. See Hu and Mathews (2005), where the sources and arguments are reviewed. This work was followed up with a study of China's national innovative capacity, again using patenting at the USPTO as source of data (Hu and Mathews, 2008).

  24. See Wade, 2003 for the arguments on the restriction of the ‘development space’ accorded to developing countries today by the WTO, and Wade, 2007 for the continuing argument that the international financial system is biased against developing countries. Amsden, 2007 is a hard-hitting examination of the American Empire and the influence it has exercised on the prospects for developing countries.

  25. See Rodrik's (2006) insightful review of the 2005 World Bank, where he pronounced the death of the Washington Consensus, but is less sure of the way beyond this consensus. My argument is that the way beyond the Washington Consensus is being shown by Brazil, India and China.

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Mathews, J. China, India and Brazil: Tiger technologies, dragon multinationals and the building of national systems of economic learning. Asian Bus Manage 8, 5–32 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1057/abm.2008.28

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