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Rapid FDI expansion and firm performance

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Abstract

Today, more firms are expanding rapidly into foreign markets to reach global scale quickly, and to capture or nullify first-mover advantages. These trends run counter to the conventional theory of gradual internationalization, which suggests that firms maximize the benefits of learning from prior experience, thereby minimizing the hazard of failure. We argue that this conventional wisdom does not consider the risk of being a perennial late mover in the face of increased global competition. This study explores the circumstances under which rapid FDI expansion, a strategy of undertaking FDI expansion at an accelerated speed, can be a viable strategy. Using data on Korean firm expansion, we find that rapid FDI expansion enhances firm performance in industries where globalization pressures are high, and when it is done by firms with superior internal resources and capabilities.

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Notes

  1. A contrasting approach views multinational firms as efficient agents for transferring resources, thus minimizing transaction costs (Buckley & Casson, 1976; Hennart, 1982, 1991; Rugman, 1981).

  2. Firms often make subsequent investments in countries where they have already invested (Chang, 1995; Kogut, 1983; Kogut & Chang, 1996). We do not include those within-country FDI expansions in this study.

  3. See the home pages of Hyundai and Kia Motors (http://www.hyundai.com and http://www.kia.co.kr).

  4. As we have financial data for 1980–2003, we use the 2-year average for firms in the year of 1980. We perform a robustness test by using the performance, measured at time t+1, to avoid the possibility of reverse causality. The results are consistent with the 3-year average, although the R2 values are lower, owing to yearly fluctuation. We also perform a robustness test by using the count of exits at the firm level or the exit hazard at the individual subsidiary level as a dependent variable (Shaver, 1998; Shaver, Mitchell, & Yeung, 1997). The results from the negative binomial regressions of exit count at the firm level and the hazard model of exit decision at the individual subsidiary level are consistent with those using firm profitability.

  5. Alternatively, we also measure industry globalization based on the global integration index by Kobrin (1991). The results are consistent with those reported in this study.

  6. As speed is defined by the accumulated FDI count divided by duration of time since its first entry, we can include a combination of speed and the time since a firm's first entry or a combination of the number of foreign subsidiaries and the time since its first entry as independent variables. These results are consistent with those presented in the paper.

  7. Whereas Vermeulen and Barkema (2002) measure geographic scope with a number of different countries, our measure of geographic dispersion reflects physical distance in order to reflect the challenges in managing foreign subsidiaries in distant geographic locations. In fact, we control for the number of foreign countries a firm is operating in at time t.

  8. We experiment with the interaction effect between speed and investment size. This effect is negatively significant, whereas the main effect of speed is weakly positive and significant. These results suggest that speed's main effect on firm performance can be positive, but it may also lead to poor performance when a firm pursues rapid FDI expansion with large investments. We experiment with other interaction effects of speed with geographic distance, cultural distance, and whether the subsidiary was wholly owned. These effects are generally insignificant. The results are available on request.

  9. We cannot show the F-statistics in models in Table 3, where we use robust standard errors. When some firms appear only once in the data, the robust covariance matrix does not have a full rank, and an overall model F-statistic cannot be computed. Thus, we have to run regressions without clustering option, and calculate the improvement of a model fit between Model 1 (without interaction terms) and the rest of models (with interaction terms). The F-tests confirm improvement of a fit of Models 2–4 over Model 1 at the 5% significance level.

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Acknowledgements

We thank two anonymous reviewers and the Area Editor, Myles Shaver, for helpful comments and suggestions. We also thank Hyesun Kang, Gihyuk Shin, and Katie Brown for excellent research assistance. Sea-Jin Chang appreciates financial support from the National University of Singapore, Research Grant No. R313-000-086-133. Jay Hyuk Rhee appreciates financial support from the SK Research Fund, Korea University Business School.

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Correspondence to Sea-Jin Chang.

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Accepted by Myles Shaver, Consulting Editor, 23 May 2011. This paper has been with the authors for three revisions.

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Chang, SJ., Rhee, J. Rapid FDI expansion and firm performance. J Int Bus Stud 42, 979–994 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2011.30

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