Contact tracing and epidemics control in social networks

Ramon Huerta and Lev S. Tsimring
Phys. Rev. E 66, 056115 – Published 19 November 2002
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Abstract

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic mean-field description that yields quantitative agreement with stochastic simulations on random graphs. Both the stochastic simulations and the mean-field equations show secondary epidemics if the contact tracing is not performed with sufficient strength. We also analyze the role of contact tracing in epidemics control in small-world networks and show that its effectiveness grows as the rewiring probability is reduced.

  • Received 9 April 2002

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.66.056115

©2002 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Ramon Huerta1,2 and Lev S. Tsimring1

  • 1Institute for Nonlinear Science, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093-0402
  • 2GNB, E.T.S. de Ingeniería Informática, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, 28049 Madrid, Spain

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Vol. 66, Iss. 5 — November 2002

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