Estimation of the direction of the coupling by conditional probabilities of recurrence

M. Carmen Romano, Marco Thiel, Jürgen Kurths, and Celso Grebogi
Phys. Rev. E 76, 036211 – Published 21 September 2007

Abstract

We introduce a method to detect and quantify the asymmetry of the coupling between two interacting systems based on their recurrence properties. This method can detect the direction of the coupling in weakly as well as strongly coupled systems. It even allows detecting the asymmetry of the coupling in the more challenging case of structurally different systems and it is very robust against noise. We also address the problem of detecting the asymmetry of the coupling in passive experiments, i.e., when the strength of the coupling cannot be systematically changed, which is of great relevance for the analysis of experimental time series.

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  • Received 28 February 2007

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.76.036211

©2007 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

M. Carmen Romano1,*, Marco Thiel1, Jürgen Kurths2, and Celso Grebogi1

  • 1College of Physical Sciences, King’s College, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UE, United Kingdom
  • 2Nonlinear Dynamics, Institute of Physics, University of Potsdam, 14469 Potsdam, Germany

  • *Corresponding author; m.romano@abdn.ac.uk

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Vol. 76, Iss. 3 — September 2007

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