Modeling financial markets by self-organized criticality

Alessio Emanuele Biondo, Alessandro Pluchino, and Andrea Rapisarda
Phys. Rev. E 92, 042814 – Published 29 October 2015

Abstract

We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders, composed by chartists and fundamentalists, and focus on the role of informative pressure on market participants, showing how the spreading of information, based on a realistic imitative behavior, drives contagion and causes market fragility. In this model imitation is not intended as a change in the agent's group of origin, but is referred only to the price formation process. We introduce in the community also a variable number of random traders in order to study their possible beneficial role in stabilizing the market, as found in other studies. Finally, we also suggest some counterintuitive policy strategies able to dampen fluctuations by means of a partial reduction of information.

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  • Received 17 July 2015

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.92.042814

©2015 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Alessio Emanuele Biondo1,*, Alessandro Pluchino2, and Andrea Rapisarda2

  • 1Dipartimento di Economia e Impresa - Universitá di Catania, Corso Italia 55, 95129 Catania, Italy
  • 2Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia, Universitá di Catania and INFN sezione di Catania, Via S. Sofia 64, 95123 Catania, Italy

  • *Corresponding author: ae.biondo@unict.it

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Vol. 92, Iss. 4 — October 2015

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