A combined model for analysis and projection of the regional air temperature dynamics

V. V. Klimenko; O. V. Mikushina; A. G. Tereshin

doi:10.1117/12.2287753

30 November 2017 A combined model for analysis and projection of the regional air temperature dynamics

V. V. Klimenko, O. V. Mikushina, A. G. Tereshin

Proceedings Volume 10466, 23rd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics; 104666I (2017) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2287753
Event: XXIII International Symposium, Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 2017, Irkutsk, Russian Federation

Abstract

A combined approach to the climate modeling is presented, making use of globally averaged energy balance climate model (EBM) and multiple regression analysis of relations between averaged regional air temperatures and EBM transient temperature responses to perturbations of the thermal radiation balance of the global climate system both by anthropogenic (change in greenhouse gases and aerosols atmospheric concentrations) and natural factors (solar and volcanic activity), as well as indices of atmospheric circulation and the Earth’s rotation velocity. It has been demonstrated that the scheme presented is a simple and effective tool for analysis and prediction of air temperature variations on a regional scale.

Citation Download Citation

V. V. Klimenko, O. V. Mikushina, and A. G. Tereshin "A combined model for analysis and projection of the regional air temperature dynamics", Proc. SPIE 10466, 23rd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics, 104666I (30 November 2017); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2287753

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