skip to main content
10.1145/2487788.2488017acmotherconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PageswwwConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

Analyzing and predicting viral tweets

Published:13 May 2013Publication History

ABSTRACT

Twitter and other microblogging services have become indispensable sources of information in today's web. Understanding the main factors that make certain pieces of information spread quickly in these platforms can be decisive for the analysis of opinion formation and many other opinion mining tasks.

This paper addresses important questions concerning the spread of information on Twitter. What makes Twitter users retweet a tweet? Is it possible to predict whether a tweet will become "viral", i.e., will be frequently retweeted? To answer these questions we provide an extensive analysis of a wide range of tweet and user features regarding their influence on the spread of tweets. The most impactful features are chosen to build a learning model that predicts viral tweets with high accuracy. All experiments are performed on a real-world dataset, extracted through a public Twitter API based on user IDs from the TREC 2011 microblog corpus.

References

  1. P. André, M. S. Bernstein, and K. Luther. Who Gives A Tweet? Evaluating Microblog Content Value. In Proceedings of the 16th ACM Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work and Social Computing, CSCW, pages 471--474, 2012. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  2. E. Bakshy, J. M. Hofman, D. J. Watts, and W. A. Mason. Everyone's an Influencer: Quantifying Influence on Twitter. In Proceedings of the 4th ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, WSDM, pages 65--74, 2011. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  3. J. Bollen, A. Pepe, and H. Mao. Modeling Public Mood and Emotion: Twitter Sentiment and Socio-economic Phenomena. In Proceedings of the Fifth International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, ICWSM, pages 450--453, 2011.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  4. D. Boyd, S. Golder, and G. Lotan. Tweet, Tweet, Retweet: Conversational Aspects of Retweeting on Twitter. In Proceedings of the 43rd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, number 6 in HICSS, pages 1--10, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  5. M. Cha and K. P. Gummadi. Measuring User Influence in Twitter: The Million Follower Fallacy. In Proceedings of the 4th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, ICWSM, 2010.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  6. A. Garas, D. Garcia, M. Skowron, and F. Schweitzer. Emotional Persistence in Online Chatting Communities. Scientific Reports, 2, 2012.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  7. L. Hong, O. Dan, and B. D. Davison. Predicting popular messages in Twitter. In Proceedings of the 20th international conference companion on World wide web, WWW, 2011. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  8. D. Kempe, J. Kleinberg, and E. Tardos. Maximizing the Spread of Influence through a Social Network. In Proceedings of the 9th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, volume 41 of KDD, 2003. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  9. H. Kwak, C. Lee, H. Park, and S. Moon. What is Twitter, a Social Network or a News Media? In Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on World Wide Web, number 2 in WWW, pages 591--600, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  10. T. Lansdall-Welfare, V. Lampos, and N. Cristianini. Effects of the Recession on Public Mood in the UK. In Proceedings of the 21st International Conference Companion on World Wide Web, WWW, pages 2--7, 2012. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  11. S. Momtazi. Fine-grained German Sentiment Analysis on Social Media. In Proceedings of International Conference on Language Resources and Evaluation, LREC, pages 1215--1220, 2012.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  12. N. Naveed, T. Gottron, J. Kunegis, and A. C. Alhadi. Bad News Travel Fast: A Content-based Analysis of Interestingness on Twitter. In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Web Science, WeSci, 2011.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  13. R. Pfitzner, A. Garas, and F. Schweitzer. Emotional Divergence Influences Information Spreading in Twitter. In Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, ICWSM, 2012.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  14. M. Rowe, S. Angeletou, and H. Alani. Predicting Discussions on the Social Semantic Web. In Proceedings of the 8th Extended Semantic Web Conference, ESWC, pages 405--420, 2011. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  15. B. Suh, L. Hong, P. Pirolli, and E. H. Chi. Want to be Retweeted? Large Scale Analytics on Factors Impacting Retweet in Twitter Network. In Proceedings of the 2nd IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, SOCIALCOM, pages 177--184, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  16. M. Thelwall, K. Buckley, and G. Paltoglou. Sentiment Strength Detection for the Social Web. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 63(1):163--173, 2012. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  17. M. Thelwall, K. Buckley, G. Paltoglou, D. Cai, and A. Kappas. Sentiment in Short Strength Detection Informal Text. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 61(12):2544--2558, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  18. I. Uysal and W. B. Croft. User Oriented Tweet Ranking: A Filtering Approach to Microblogs. In Proceedings of the 20th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM, pages 2261--2264, 2011. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library

Index Terms

  1. Analyzing and predicting viral tweets

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Login options

    Check if you have access through your login credentials or your institution to get full access on this article.

    Sign in
    • Published in

      cover image ACM Other conferences
      WWW '13 Companion: Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on World Wide Web
      May 2013
      1636 pages
      ISBN:9781450320382
      DOI:10.1145/2487788

      Copyright © 2013 Copyright is held by the International World Wide Web Conference Committee (IW3C2).

      Publisher

      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      • Published: 13 May 2013

      Permissions

      Request permissions about this article.

      Request Permissions

      Check for updates

      Qualifiers

      • research-article

      Acceptance Rates

      WWW '13 Companion Paper Acceptance Rate831of1,250submissions,66%Overall Acceptance Rate1,899of8,196submissions,23%

    PDF Format

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader