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Abstract

Objective:

The authors sought to describe patterns of health care use prior to first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder in a population-based sample.

Method:

Electronic health records and insurance claims from five large integrated health systems were used to identify 624 patients 15–29 years old who received a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder in any care setting and to record health services received, diagnoses assigned, and medications dispensed during the previous 36 months. Patterns of utilization were compared between patients receiving a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder and matched samples of general health system members and members receiving a first diagnosis of unipolar depression.

Results:

During the year before a first psychotic disorder diagnosis, 29% of patients had mental health specialty outpatient care, 8% had mental health inpatient care, 24% had emergency department mental health care, 29% made a primary care visit with a mental health diagnosis, and 60% received at least one mental health diagnosis (including substance use disorders). Compared with patients receiving a first diagnosis of unipolar depression, those with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder were modestly more likely to use all types of health services and were specifically more likely to use mental health inpatient care (odds ratio=2.96, 95% CI=1.97–4.43) and mental health emergency department care (rate ratio=3.74, 95% CI=3.39–4.53).

Conclusions:

Most patients receiving a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder had some indication of mental health care need during the previous year. General use of primary care or mental health services, however, does not clearly distinguish people who later receive a diagnosis of a psychotic disorder from those who later receive a diagnosis of unipolar depression. Use of inpatient or emergency department mental health care is a more specific indicator of risk.

Psychotic disorders carry a substantial public health burden, including high rates of disability or lost productivity and substantial excess mortality due to suicide, substance use, and elevated rates of chronic medical illness (13).

Increasing evidence supports the benefits of early detection and intervention for first-episode psychosis in adolescents and young adults. In young people with schizophrenia spectrum disorders, duration of untreated psychosis (i.e., delay in receipt of effective treatment) is consistently associated with poorer long-term outcome (4, 5). The Recovery After an Initial Schizophrenia Episode–Early Treatment Program (RAISE-ETP) trial demonstrated that a comprehensive early intervention program (including psychotherapy, rehabilitation services, and pharmacotherapy) can reduce both clinical symptoms and functional impairment among young people with recent-onset psychotic disorders (68). This research, however, also found an average delay of almost 18 months from onset of psychotic symptoms to receipt of effective care. Reducing delays in the pathway to effective treatment will require significant efforts to promote earlier recognition and expand the reach of early intervention programs.

Previous studies of early intervention programs, including RAISE-ETP (68) and others (911), have typically focused on patients treated in mental health specialty settings and community mental health centers. We recently reported (12) that a substantial minority of first psychotic disorder diagnoses occur in primary care and other general medical settings (12). Including all care settings, incidence of first psychotic disorder diagnoses in adolescents and young adults approached 100 per 100,000 per year, substantially higher than most previous estimates. If generalizable, these findings suggest that early detection efforts must consider a larger population distributed across a wider range of care settings than previously expected.

The pathway from first onset of psychotic symptoms to receipt of effective care may include multiple care transitions, each of which can introduce delay or outright failure. Examining patterns of health care use along this pathway can help to identify, and eventually address, those points of delay or failure. Previous research has examined patterns of health care use prior to enrollment in early intervention programs in Canada (1316), France (17), Singapore (18), and the United Kingdom (19, 20) and prior to first diagnosis of schizophrenia in Denmark (21). No such data are available, however, on patterns of prior care in the United States. Furthermore, pathways to care of patients who reach early intervention programs may not be representative of care pathways in the entire population of people experiencing first episodes of psychosis. Those who never reach appropriate care may differ from those who are only delayed.

Here we use data from a population-based sample of adolescents and young adults with first diagnoses of psychotic disorders to examine patterns of health care utilization prior to diagnosis. We also compare utilization patterns prior to psychotic disorder diagnosis to patterns in the general population and patterns prior to first diagnosis of unipolar depression. These data can address two questions relevant to early detection of psychotic disorders. First, examining the proportions of individuals receiving various types of care before diagnosis can address practical questions regarding potential sites for early detection efforts. For example, such data can indicate the proportion of all cases that could be identified by an early detection program limited to mental health specialty compared with a program that also includes primary care. Second, comparing patterns of utilization in individuals with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder to patterns in appropriate comparison or control conditions could identify possible early indicators or signals of illness. Comparison to the unipolar depression group can help distinguish patterns of service use specific to a psychotic disorder diagnosis from patterns related to more generic psychological distress.

Method

Study Settings

The study was conducted in five health care systems participating in the National Institute of Mental Health–funded Mental Health Research Network: the Colorado, Northern California, Northwest, Southern California, and Washington regions of Kaiser Permanente. All five systems provide prepaid comprehensive care (including general medical and specialty mental health care) to defined populations of members. Insured members are enrolled through employer-sponsored commercial insurance, individually purchased insurance, capitated Medicare programs, capitated Medicaid programs, and federally or state-subsidized insurance for low-income residents. In each health care system, members are generally representative of service area populations in terms of age, sex, and race/ethnicity (2224). Dedicated specialty care or early intervention programs for first-episode psychosis were not available in these systems during the study period.

In each health care system, electronic medical records data (for services provided at health care system–operated facilities) and insurance claims data (for services provided by external providers and paid for by the health care system) are organized into a virtual data warehouse for research (25). Identifiable data remain at each health care system, but common data specifications and formats facilitate multisite research using pooled de-identified data. Responsible institutional review boards for each health care system approved waivers of consent for use of de-identified health records data in this research.

Identification of Case Subjects With First Diagnoses of Psychotic Disorders

Identification of first diagnoses of psychotic disorders in all health system members has been described in detail elsewhere (12) and is summarized here. During the study period of Jan. 1, 2007, to Dec. 31, 2013, billing or encounter diagnoses from all outpatient and inpatient encounters (including general medical, emergency department, and specialty mental health encounters) in each health system were used to identify all first-occurring diagnoses of any psychotic disorder (including schizophrenia spectrum disorder, mood disorders with psychotic symptoms, and other psychotic disorders) among health plan members ages 15 through 59. Eligible ICD-9-CM codes for first psychosis diagnoses included codes 295.0–295.9, 296.04, 296.14, 296.24, 296.34, 296.44, 296.54, 296.64, 297.1, 297.3, 298.8, and 298.9. Diagnoses of substance-induced psychotic symptoms were not included, but patients with diagnoses of substance use disorder or a record of substance use accompanying an eligible psychotic disorder diagnosis were included.

A random sample of 1,000 potential cases (200 at each health care system) was selected for detailed medical record review to confirm the presence of psychotic symptoms and to exclude individuals with documentation of a preexisting psychotic disorder diagnosis. At each health care system, two or more experienced medical record abstractors reviewed full-text electronic medical records using a structured chart review protocol and data entry system.

First, abstractors reviewed full-text clinical notes from all encounters up to 60 days before and 60 days after the index diagnosis to identify any of the characteristic symptoms of psychosis as defined by DSM-IV criterion A for diagnosis of schizophrenia: hallucinations, delusions, disorganized speech, and disorganized or catatonic behavior (26). Abstractors rated each symptom category as present or absent, excluding symptoms that treating providers clearly attributed to a specific general medical condition (e.g., hallucinations clearly attributed to delirium related to acute medical illness). Given high rates of substance use among persons experiencing a first episode of psychosis (2729), psychotic symptoms that occurred in the context of co-occurring use of alcohol or drugs were not discounted or excluded.

Second, abstractors reviewed all encounters more than 60 days before first diagnosis to identify documented prior diagnoses of psychotic disorders. Cases were not excluded for evidence of prior psychotic symptoms, only for documentation of prior diagnosis (e.g., the clinical text noted hospitalization for a psychotic disorder prior to enrollment in the participating health system).

The final criteria for confirmation as a true case of first psychotic disorder diagnosis included clear documentation of at least one DSM-IV-TR criterion A symptom of schizophrenia (not clearly attributed to a general medical disorder or an adverse effect of prescribed medication) and no documentation of a psychotic disorder diagnosis more than 60 days before the index visit. This report is limited to cases in which the patient was 15–29 years old at the time of first diagnosis.

Identification of Comparison Groups

For each confirmed case, health system records were used to select two sets of matched control subjects. Matched general population control subjects were selected from all health plan members who were enrolled and had at least one outpatient visit during the study period (2007–2013). Three general population control subjects were selected for each case subject, frequency-matched by age (within 2 years of the corresponding case subject) and date of any outpatient visit (within 2 years of the diagnosis date for the corresponding case subject). Unipolar depression control subjects were selected from among all health system members who received a first diagnosis of unipolar major depressive disorder (ICD-9-CM codes 296.2 and 296.3) during the study period. Three unipolar depression control subjects were selected for each case subject, frequency-matched by age (within 2 years of the corresponding case subject) and date of eligibility diagnosis (within 2 years of the diagnosis date for the corresponding case subject).

In order to accurately exclude prior diagnoses and accurately ascertain prior utilization, case and control groups were limited to those who were continuously enrolled in each health system for at least 12 months before the qualifying visit or diagnosis.

Measures of Health Service Utilization

Health system electronic health records, insurance claims, and pharmacy dispensing records were then used to identify all utilization of mental health services, filled prescriptions for psychiatric medications, and all psychiatric diagnoses recorded during the 36 months before the initial qualifying diagnosis. In order to exclude utilization directly related to the presenting diagnosis (e.g., emergency department visit leading to hospitalization in which psychotic symptoms were first diagnosed), utilization during the 7 days before the initial qualifying diagnosis was excluded.

Data Analysis

Analyses were organized according to the two questions described above. First, descriptive analyses limited to patients with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder examined proportions (with 95% confidence limits [30]) of patients using different service types during different time periods before the date of first diagnosis. Second, analyses compared patients with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder to the two control groups. These analyses compared proportions using different service types and visit rates for different service types, both for different time periods before the date of first diagnosis. Between-group comparisons of proportions included chi-square statistics and odds ratios with 95% confidence limits (30). Visit rates were compared using negative binomial regression (31), yielding rate ratios estimating proportional differences. Analyses were conducted in SPSS, version 22 (IBM, Armonk, N.Y.). Analyses of utilization more than 1 year before diagnosis were limited to patients who were enrolled in the participating health system throughout the relevant interval. Because cases with a first psychotic disorder diagnosis were selected within strata defined by age and site of presentation, sensitivity analyses were weighted by inverse probability of selection within each stratum. Results of weighted analyses were not meaningfully different from simpler unweighted analyses, so unweighted analyses are presented here.

Results

As previously reported (12), the procedures described above identified 624 confirmed cases (of 868 records reviewed) with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder. First-occurring diagnoses of psychotic disorders in this sample included schizophrenia spectrum psychosis in 105 patients (17%), mood disorder with psychosis in 78 patients (12%), and other psychotic disorders in 441 patients (71%).

The proportions of patients receiving specific services, diagnoses, and medications during the 3 years before first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder are listed in Table 1. Approximately one-fifth of case subjects made at least one outpatient specialty mental health visit in the 90 days before the initial diagnosis of a psychotic disorder, and almost 40% used outpatient mental health services in the 3 years before. Approximately one in seven had an emergency department visit with a mental health diagnosis in the 3 months before first diagnosis, and approximately one-third used emergency department mental health care in the 3 years before. When all possible categories of mental health service (inpatient, emergency department, outpatient specialty, and mental health–related visits in primary care) were included, approximately half of case subjects had some mental health contact in the previous 3 months and approximately three-quarters had some mental health contact in the previous year. The proportion seen only in general medical settings (i.e., no use of mental health specialty care) was 50% in the 3 months before diagnosis and 62% in the year before diagnosis. Among mental health diagnoses, depressive and anxiety disorders were the most common. Approximately one in six received a diagnosis of substance use disorder in the previous year. Approximately 40% received at least one prescription for a psychiatric medication in the year before diagnosis, with antidepressants the most prevalent, followed by antipsychotics and benzodiazepines. Approximately one in six filled at least one prescription for an antipsychotic medication, although, by definition, none had a prior recorded diagnosis of psychotic disorder.

TABLE 1. Services Used, Diagnoses Recorded, and Prescriptions Filled 3–36 Months Before First Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder

Previous 3 Months (N=624)Previous 12 Months (N=624)Previous 24 Months (N=523)Previous 36 Months (N=461)
Type of Service, Diagnosis, or PrescriptionN%95% CIN%95% CIN%95% CIN%95% CI
Category of service use
 Hospitalization with mental health diagnosis2342–54886–1056118–14581310–16
 Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis871411–171492421–271583026–341533329–38
 Specialty mental health outpatient visit1262017–231782925–321743329–371743833–42
 Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis1031614–201772925–321813531–391663632–40
 Any of the above3084945–534096562–693787268–763427470–78
 Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis4377066–735649188–925119896–994569997–100
Mental health diagnosis
 Depressive disorder1692724–312373834–422284439–482164742–51
 Anxiety disorder1302118–241873026–341793430–381713733–42
 Attention deficit disorder5286–11771210–15761512–18841815–22
 Bipolar disorder5086–1065118–1361129–1554129–15
 Substance use disorder5797–121051714–201082117–241142521–29
 Any mental health diagnosis2804541–493726056–633436661–703196965–73
Prescription for psychiatric medication
 Antidepressant1512421–281993228–351953733–411874136–45
 Stimulant2843–64175–94697–1253129–15
 Benzodiazepine64108–13911512–181022016–23932017–24
 Antipsychotic1731224–31991613–19941815–21922017–24
 Any psychiatric medication2063329–372614238–462534844–532425348–57

TABLE 1. Services Used, Diagnoses Recorded, and Prescriptions Filled 3–36 Months Before First Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder

Enlarge table

Table 2 lists the proportions of patients receiving specific services over various time periods before the date of first diagnosis, comparing case subjects to matched control samples selected from the general population of health plan members and from those receiving first diagnoses of unipolar depression. Compared with the matched general population sample, patients with a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder were much more likely to receive all categories of mental health care, but these differences were less pronounced with increasing time prior to first psychotic disorder diagnosis. The strongest associations were seen for hospitalizations with mental health diagnoses and for emergency department visits with mental health diagnoses. Compared with a matched sample of patients receiving first diagnoses of unipolar depression, case subjects were modestly more likely to receive all categories of mental health care. Again, the strongest associations were seen for hospitalizations with mental health diagnoses and for emergency department visits with mental health diagnoses. These associations did not appear to vary with length of time prior to diagnosis. The proportion using any outpatient health services (regardless of diagnosis) did not differ between the first psychotic disorder diagnosis case sample and the depression control group. In logistic models including the four independent categories of utilization simultaneously (inpatient mental health care, emergency department mental health care, specialty mental health visits, and primary care visits with mental health diagnoses), the likelihood of utilization in all four categories differed significantly between the psychotic disorder group and either comparison group.

TABLE 2. Proportions of Patients Using Specific Service Types 3–36 Months Before First Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder Compared With Matched Control Subjects Selected From All Health Plan Members (General Population) and From Among Patients Receiving a First Diagnosis of Unipolar Depression

Psychotic DisorderGeneral PopulationUnipolar DepressionPsychotic Disorder Versus General PopulationPsychotic Disorder Versus Depression
Period and Service TypeN%N%N%Odds Ratio95% CIOdds Ratio95% CI
Previous 3 months6241,8511,862
Hospitalization with mental health diagnosis2341<122170.89.5–5253.201.77–5.78
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis87147<199542.719.6–92.72.892.13–3.91
Specialty mental health outpatient visit126202512171218.511.9–28.71.921.51–2.44
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis103162412121115.19.6–23.71.541.19–1.99
Any of the above308497146183324.418.4–32.51.961.63–2.36
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis43770463251,198647.015.37–8.561.291.07–1.58
Previous 12 months6241,8511,862
Hospitalization with mental health diagnosis4889151317.18.4–35.12.911.97–4.43
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis14924342175916.811.5–24.83.022.37–3.84
Specialty mental health outpatient visit178295733101712.69.2–17.32.001.61–2.47
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis177291096383216.364.90–8.251.531.24–1.88
Any of the above40966253141,2694912.19.8–15.02.181.82–2.57
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis564911,355731,685913.572.67–4.760.970.71–1.33
Previous 24 months5231,4711,493
Hospitalization with mental health diagnosis561115154411.66.5–20.83.192.17–4.71
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis158305031791212.38.8–17.33.182.49–4.05
Specialty mental health outpatient visit174339016348237.655.78–10.11.641.32–2.04
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis181351319374255.414.20–6.981.581.28–1.96
Any of the above3787230621917509.937.89–12.51.961.62–2.37
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis511981,341911,451974.132.27–7.521.230.64–2.36
Previous 36 months4611,3161,318
Hospitalization with mental health diagnosis581318153410.46.0–17.83.432.33–5.07
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis153336051661310.47.5–14.43.452.68–4.44
Specialty mental health outpatient visit174381038335257.145.40–9.401.781.42–2.23
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis1663613811335254.803.71–6.231.781.42–2.23
Any of the above3427432625800618.736.84–11.11.861.47–2.36
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis456991,257961,297984.281.71–10.71.480.55–3.94

TABLE 2. Proportions of Patients Using Specific Service Types 3–36 Months Before First Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder Compared With Matched Control Subjects Selected From All Health Plan Members (General Population) and From Among Patients Receiving a First Diagnosis of Unipolar Depression

Enlarge table

Table 3 lists visit rates for specific outpatient services over various periods prior to first diagnosis, comparing the case sample to matched control samples selected from the general population of health plan members and from those receiving first diagnoses of unipolar depression. The findings are similar to those described above for categorical analyses. Compared with general population controls, case subjects had much higher visit rates for all types of outpatient services, but these differences decreased with longer time prior to first diagnosis. Compared with those receiving first depression diagnoses, case subjects had much higher visit rates for emergency department mental health care and slightly higher rates for other types of outpatient mental health care. These differences appeared stable for up to 3 years before first diagnosis.

TABLE 3. Visit Rates for Different Service Types 3–36 Months Before First Clinical Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder Compared With Rates for Matched Control Subjects Selected From All Health Plan Members (General Population) and From Among Patients Receiving a First Diagnosis of Unipolar Depression

Psychotic DisorderGeneral PopulationUnipolar DepressionPsychotic Disorder Versus General PopulationPsychotic Disorder Versus Depression
Period and Service TypeNMeanSDNMeanSDNMeanSDRate Ratio95% CIRate Ratio95% CI
Previous 3 months6241,8511,862
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis0.240.890.0040.070.070.3254.626.6–1123.492.69–4.48
Specialty mental health outpatient visit0.772.480.050.580.401.8616.612.9–21.31.931.67–2.23
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis0.210.550.010.130.160.5614.49.39–22.01.301.04–1.63
Any of the above2.134.440.100.780.992.6220.517.1–24.52.141.92–2.41
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis3.705.750.701.822.505.045.264.71–5.931.481.34–1.63
Previous 12 months6241,8511,862
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis0.471.270.020.180.130.4420.314.6–28.53.743.39–4.53
Specialty mental health outpatient visit1.825.000.141.340.944.0312.810.9–15.01.951.73–2.18
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis0.541.180.080.400.371.056.425.21–7.921.451.23–1.70
Any of the above5.2410.370.462.162.275.7611.410.1–12.82.322.08–2.56
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis10.915.53.755.627.6010.22.892.64–3.191.431.30–1.57
Previous 24 months5231,4711,493
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis0.681.760.050.280.180.5714.711.1–19.53.903.22–4.66
Specialty mental health outpatient visit2.627.020.373.191.738.207.036.05–8.081.511.34–1.70
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis0.831.770.170.850.511.314.954.14–5.991.631.35–1.90
Any of the above7.8516.01.105.863.7810.87.176.36–8.002.081.86–2.32
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis18.324.48.1312.913.416.22.252.03–2.481.361.23–1.51
Previous 36 months4611,3161,318
Emergency department visit with mental health diagnosis0.771.980.080.330.200.6512.19.30–15.63.863.19–4.66
Specialty mental health outpatient visit3.468.840.463.512.159.807.546.62–8.761.621.42–1.80
Primary care visit with mental health diagnosis0.972.080.200.920.581.474.854.06–5.871.651.40–1.93
Any of the above9.9421.41.386.484.6012.87.186.36–8.082.161.92–2.41
Any outpatient visit for any diagnosis23.831.711.215.417.49.92.141.92–2.391.361.22–1.52

TABLE 3. Visit Rates for Different Service Types 3–36 Months Before First Clinical Diagnosis of a Psychotic Disorder Compared With Rates for Matched Control Subjects Selected From All Health Plan Members (General Population) and From Among Patients Receiving a First Diagnosis of Unipolar Depression

Enlarge table

Discussion

In this population-based sample of adolescents and young adults receiving first diagnoses of a psychotic disorder, approximately 30% had some contact with outpatient specialty mental health services in the previous year, and approximately two-thirds received some mental health care (including inpatient, emergency department, and primary care encounters with mental health diagnoses). Rates for all categories of mental health service use, mental health diagnoses, and psychiatric medications in the year before first diagnosis of psychosis were markedly higher than background rates in the general population. This general increase in utilization was not specific to people who were later diagnosed with a psychotic disorder, however, as a similar pattern was seen in those who were later diagnosed with unipolar depression. The psychotic disorder group was distinguished from the depression group by greater use of acute care mental health services, including inpatient care and emergency department care for mental health diagnoses.

Findings in Context

Most previous reports regarding pathways to care for first-episode psychosis have included patients entering dedicated specialty care programs (14, 1618). Some of those reports have described lower rates of prior contact with outpatient mental health care than seen in this sample. Care pathways may differ between all those who receive a first diagnosis and those who successfully reach specialty care programs. Using methods similar to ours, Anderson and colleagues (13) described service use prior to diagnosis of a psychotic disorder in a population-based sample of all people in Montreal 14–25 years old with a first diagnosis of psychosis. In that sample, approximately two-thirds had some health care contact for a mental health reason in the 4 years before first diagnosis, a rate similar to that observed in our sample over 12 months.

We should emphasize that our case sample probably differs from patients entering comprehensive specialty care programs for first-episode psychosis. Our sample included all patients receiving a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder, including those with prior diagnoses of a mood disorder or a substance use disorder. Similar to the community sample recently described by Schoenbaum and colleagues (32), most received nonspecific initial diagnoses of other psychotic disorder. Only those with recorded diagnoses of substance-induced psychosis and those for whom psychotic symptoms were clearly attributed to medical illness or prescribed medication were excluded from our case sample. This attempt to identify all initial presentations, regardless of duration of symptoms, likely identified a significant number of people with self-limited symptoms or symptoms that would resolve with cessation of substance use or treatment for mood disorder.

Nevertheless, we believe the findings in this broad sample are relevant to the potential target population for early intervention programs. The RAISE-ETP trial found that the benefits of comprehensive specialty care were greatest for patients with a shorter duration of psychotic symptoms prior to trial enrollment (6). If early intervention efforts aim to engage people at the first evidence of psychotic symptoms, then those efforts will necessarily engage the full range of first presentations, including people with active substance use, people with co-occurring mood symptoms, and people whose symptoms might resolve without specific treatment. More specific diagnosis may be difficult at the time of very first presentation. We should not assume, however, that established benefits of early intervention programs for younger people with specific diagnoses of schizophrenia spectrum psychosis would apply to the wider population of people receiving a first-ever diagnosis of a psychotic disorder.

Similar to the findings of Nørgaard and colleagues (21), our data show increased use of general medical services extending back several years before first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder. These long-term increases in utilization were significantly larger for mental health care than for general medical care. However, this broad increase in general medical and mental health utilization is not specific to the development of psychotic symptoms.

Comparison of patients with a first psychotic disorder diagnosis with a comparison group receiving a first diagnosis of unipolar depression showed both similarities and differences. Indicators of more general psychological distress (overall outpatient utilization, use of outpatient mental health care, primary care visits with mental health diagnoses) were common in both groups. These indicators were only moderately more common before first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder than before first diagnosis of a depressive disorder.In contrast, use of acute care mental health services (inpatient and emergency department care) was approximately three times more likely before first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder compared with the depressive disorder control group. Similarly, a prior diagnosis of bipolar disorder was eight times more likely. None of these indicators alone is sufficiently accurate to select patients for prevention or early intervention programs. But combinations of multiple utilization indicators could be used to develop risk prediction models (33).

Limitations

We should emphasize that our methods identified the first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder rather than the first occurrence of psychotic symptoms. Chart reviews excluded patients with documentation of preexisting psychotic disorder diagnoses but did not exclude those who experienced prior psychotic symptoms that were not presented to or disclosed to health care providers. Patients in our sample could have first experienced symptoms of psychosis months or even years before first clinical presentation. Some of the previous utilization of mental health services seen among case subjects could have been prompted by psychotic symptoms, even if those symptoms were not disclosed. Previous antipsychotic prescriptions could indicate cases in which treating providers suspected a psychotic disorder but were reluctant to initially record a more stigmatizing diagnosis. In such cases, provider education could increase the likelihood of effective early intervention. Alternatively, antipsychotic prescriptions prior to a diagnosis of a psychotic disorder could simply reflect treatment for mood disorder. In U.S. adults, the majority of antipsychotic medications are prescribed for treatment of mood disorders (34). Of case subjects in this sample using antipsychotic medication before diagnosis, 46% received at least one diagnosis of bipolar disorder and 37% received at least one diagnosis of a depressive disorder. Additional work in progress will attempt to identify more subtle indicators of psychotic symptoms prior to any explicit clinical presentation.

These findings may not generalize to other health care systems or settings. All patients in these samples (cases and controls) had insurance coverage for both general medical and mental health care, and all received care in systems with established triage and appointing processes to facilitate initial access to outpatient specialty mental health care. Use of outpatient mental health services, rates of psychiatric diagnosis, and rates of treatment with psychiatric medications may all be lower in settings that have greater financial or practical barriers to specialty care.

Potential Implications

These findings illustrate the promise and the challenge of screening or systematic assessment in primary care or other general medical settings. Over 90% of case subjects made at least one outpatient visit during the year before diagnosis, so an accurate screening program across all health care settings could identify the vast majority of young people who later develop a psychotic disorder. But this rate of overall outpatient utilization also exceeded 90% prior to diagnosis of depression, and it was 73% in the general population. Consequently, utilization of any outpatient care is certainly not a specific indicator of risk. The relatively low incidence of first psychotic disorder diagnoses, averaging less than one case per primary care practice per year (12, 19, 20), and the absence of a specific signal in primary care both pose challenges for early detection efforts in general medical settings.

In contrast, these findings support the potential utility of systematic assessment for psychosis risk in higher-risk populations receiving specialty mental health care (35, 36). The strong and specific association between use of acute care mental health services and subsequent presentation with psychotic symptoms suggests the potential value of assessment for prodromal or early psychotic symptoms in people receiving inpatient or emergency care for mental health concerns. Approximately half of all case subjects received either acute-care mental health services or outpatient specialty mental health services in the year before diagnosis. Systematic assessment following emergency department or inpatient mental health care may hasten identification and engagement in appropriate specialty care.

Conclusions

Most people receiving a first diagnosis of a psychotic disorder have had some indication of mental health need in the previous year. General use of primary care or mental health services, however, does not clearly distinguish people who later receive a diagnosis of a psychotic disorder from those who later receive a diagnosis of unipolar depression. Use of acute care mental health services (inpatient or emergency department care) is a more specific indicator of risk.

From Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle; Kaiser Permanente Northern California Division of Research, Oakland; Kaiser Permanente Northwest Center for Health Research, Portland, Ore.; Kaiser Permanente Southern California Department of Research and Evaluation, Pasadena; and Kaiser Permanente Colorado Institute for Health Research, Denver.
Address correspondence to Dr. Simon ().

Supported by NIMH grant R01 MH099666.

Dr. Simon has received research grant funding from Novartis and Otsuka and royalties from UpToDate. Dr. Yarborough has received grant support from the Kaiser Permanente Community Benefit Initiative, the Kaiser Permanente Center for Safety and Effectiveness Research, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, NIDA, NIMH, Purdue Pharma, and the Industry PMR (a consortium of companies conducting FDA-required postmarketing studies assessing risks related to extended-release, long-acting opioid analgesics). Dr. Penfold has received research funding from Janssen. The other authors report no financial relationships with commercial interests.

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