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Composition Markov chains of multinomial type

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

Hua Zhou*
Affiliation:
Stanford University
Kenneth Lange*
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
*
Current address: Department of Human Genetics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Email address: huazhou@ucla.edu
∗∗ Postal address: Departments of Biomathematics, Human Genetics, and Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1766, USA.
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Abstract

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Suppose that n identical particles evolve according to the same marginal Markov chain. In this setting we study chains such as the Ehrenfest chain that move a prescribed number of randomly chosen particles at each epoch. The product chain constructed by this device inherits its eigenstructure from the marginal chain. There is a further chain derived from the product chain called the composition chain that ignores particle labels and tracks the numbers of particles in the various states. The composition chain in turn inherits its eigenstructure and various properties such as reversibility from the product chain. The equilibrium distribution of the composition chain is multinomial. The current paper proves these facts in the well-known framework of state lumping and identifies the column eigenvectors of the composition chain with the multivariate Krawtchouk polynomials of Griffiths. The advantages of knowing the full spectral decomposition of the composition chain include (a) detailed estimates of the rate of convergence to equilibrium, (b) construction of martingales that allow calculation of the moments of the particle counts, and (c) explicit expressions for mean coalescence times in multi-person random walks. These possibilities are illustrated by applications to Ehrenfest chains, the Hoare and Rahman chain, Kimura's continuous-time chain for DNA evolution, a light bulb chain, and random walks on some specific graphs.

Type
General Applied Probability
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2009 

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