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2020 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

8. Machine Learning and Forecasting: A Review

verfasst von : Petrus H. Potgieter

Erschienen in: Applied Economics in the Digital Era

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The proliferation of business data and on-demand computing have propelled the use of artificial intelligence methods in quantitative forecasting. Machine learning has a prominent role in solving clustering and classification problems as well as dimensionality reduction. Nevertheless, traditional statistical methods of forecasting continue to perform well in competitions and many practical applications. The chapter considers critically the successes of machine learning in forecasting, using some case studies as well as theoretical considerations, including limitations on machine learning and other techniques for forecasting. It also discusses weaknesses of the Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory. The main aim of the chapter is to stimulate scholarly dialogue on the role of machine learning in forecasting.

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Fußnoten
1
This great African river is surprisingly influential in time series analysis, as in civilization in general, recently because of H.E. Hurst’s studies of the previous mid-century (Sutcliffe et al. 2016; Gneiting and Schlather 2004) and the discovery of self-affinity and fractal dimension.
 
2
Q.v. Thomas Burnett at the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) https://​www.​aaas.​org/​programs/​dialogue-science-ethics-and-religion/​what-scientism for example.
 
Literatur
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Zurück zum Zitat Aziz, Saqib, and Michael Dowling. 2019. Machine Learning and AI for Risk Management. In Disrupting Finance: FinTech and Strategy in the 21st Century, ed. Theo Lynn, John G. Mooney, Pierangelo Rosati, and Mark Cummins, 33–50. Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-02330-0_3. Aziz, Saqib, and Michael Dowling. 2019. Machine Learning and AI for Risk Management. In Disrupting Finance: FinTech and Strategy in the 21st Century, ed. Theo Lynn, John G. Mooney, Pierangelo Rosati, and Mark Cummins, 33–50. Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​978-3-030-02330-0_​3.
Zurück zum Zitat Baziar, Sadegh, Mehdi Tadayoni, Majid Nabi-Bidhendi, and Mohsen Khalili. 2014. Prediction of Permeability in a Tight Gas Reservoir by Using Three Soft Computing Approaches: A Comparative Study. Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 21 (November): 718–724. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jngse.2014.09.037. Baziar, Sadegh, Mehdi Tadayoni, Majid Nabi-Bidhendi, and Mohsen Khalili. 2014. Prediction of Permeability in a Tight Gas Reservoir by Using Three Soft Computing Approaches: A Comparative Study. Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 21 (November): 718–724. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1016/​j.​jngse.​2014.​09.​037.
Zurück zum Zitat Bontempi, Gianluca, Souhaib Ben Taieb, and Yann-Aël Le Borgne. 2013. Machine Learning Strategies for Time Series Forecasting. In Business Intelligence: Second European Summer School, EBISS 2012, Brussels, Belgium, July 15–21, 2012, Tutorial Lectures, ed. Marie-Aude Aufaure, and Esteban Zimányi, 62–77. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36318-4_3. Bontempi, Gianluca, Souhaib Ben Taieb, and Yann-Aël Le Borgne. 2013. Machine Learning Strategies for Time Series Forecasting. In Business Intelligence: Second European Summer School, EBISS 2012, Brussels, Belgium, July 15–21, 2012, Tutorial Lectures, ed. Marie-Aude Aufaure, and Esteban Zimányi, 62–77. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​978-3-642-36318-4_​3.
Zurück zum Zitat Esteva, Andre, Alexandre Robicquet, Bharath Ramsundar, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Mark DePristo, Katherine Chou, Claire Cui, Greg Corrado, Sebastian Thrun, and Jeff Dean. 2019. A Guide to Deep Learning in Healthcare. Nature Medicine 25 (1): 24–29. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-018-0316-z. Esteva, Andre, Alexandre Robicquet, Bharath Ramsundar, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Mark DePristo, Katherine Chou, Claire Cui, Greg Corrado, Sebastian Thrun, and Jeff Dean. 2019. A Guide to Deep Learning in Healthcare. Nature Medicine 25 (1): 24–29. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1038/​s41591-018-0316-z.
Metadaten
Titel
Machine Learning and Forecasting: A Review
verfasst von
Petrus H. Potgieter
Copyright-Jahr
2020
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-40601-1_8

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