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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Macroeconomic Changes in Romania During the Transition Period

verfasst von : Luminiţa Chivu, Constantin Ciutacu, George Georgescu

Erschienen in: Deindustrialization and Reindustrialization in Romania

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The chapter analyses the complex legal, institutional and structural transformations across society and all economic sectors during Romania’s transition to the market economy. The authors offer a relevant macroeconomic description of major changes, expressed more synthetically by the increase of the private sector contribution to GDP from 16% in 1990 to more than 75% in 2015. The chapter draws attention to the fact that, although Romania had no sovereign debt in 1990 (an apparent advantage against other competitors), because of the lack of a strategic long-term approach during the entire transition period, the country has been confronted with adverse effects as result of sudden declines in GDP and slow recovery, high inflation, currency depreciation, trade balance deficits and growing external and public indebtedness.

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Fußnoten
1
See Chivu and Ciutacu (2016) .
 
2
The method is not new, and in the context of the analysis of the relationship between GDP and gold prices, at global and country levels, to help demonstrate the idea, sometimes the GDP is converted to tonnes of gold, as, for example in the case of United States (http://​pricedingold.​com/​us-gdp/​) or in international comparisons (https://​www.​quora.​com/​Comparing-the-GDP-according-to-tonnes-of-gold-according-to-the-gold-rate-in-those-years-how-much-have-each-country-progressed).
 
3
Calculations based on NIS data regarding the average number of employees, and the average net monthly salary earnings, multiplied by 12 months (1309 lei × 12 months × 5.046 mil. persons).
 
4
See Ciutacu and Chivu (2015, 216–221) .
 
5
In this evaluation, the expansion of inward/outward processing trade operations, which accounted for over one-third of Romania’s international trade in 2004 and 2005, should also be considered (for more on this see Georgescu 2006 , 24–31).
 
6
See Stiglitz and Heymann (2014) , Darvas and Huttl (2014) , Cecchetti, Mohanty and Zampolli (2011), Belhocine and Dell’Erba (2013) .
 
7
The WB database provides long-time data series on external debt stocks for more than 200 countries. The gross external debt (including long-term external debt and short-term external debt) is expressed in USD. http://​datatopics.​worldbank.​org/​debt/​ids/​country/​ROU
 
8
European Commission, Macroeconomic imbalances. Country Report Romania 2015, in: “European Economy Occasional Papers”, No. 223, EC-DGECFIN, Brussels, June, 2015, pp. 12–26.
 
9
Public debt registered according to Romanian methodology (OUG 64/2007), including state guarantees.
 
11
See Georgescu (2013, 353–361).
 
Literatur
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Metadaten
Titel
Macroeconomic Changes in Romania During the Transition Period
verfasst von
Luminiţa Chivu
Constantin Ciutacu
George Georgescu
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65753-0_2