nach oben

Erschienen in:

2020 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. Managing Climate Risk in a Major Coffee-Growing Region of Indonesia

verfasst von : Rizaldi Boer, Syamsu Dwi Jadmiko, Purnama Hidayat, Ade Wachjar, Muhammad Ardiansyah, Dewi Sulistyowati, Anter Parulian Situmorang

Erschienen in: Global Climate Change and Environmental Policy

Verlag: Springer Singapore

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Indonesia is currently one of the top four coffee exporting countries in the world. Climate change is projected to cause significant impacts on coffee. Without proper adaptation measures, this will significantly lower the productions. Changes in rainfall and increases in temperature will affect the phenological development that would eventually influence yield and quality of crop including the potential risks of pest and disease attacks. Assessment in Toba, a major coffee-growing region of Indonesia, indicated that in the middle of this century (the 2050s), under climate scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, suitable areas for coffee production would decrease significantly. The average yield is projected to decrease between 25% and 75% of the current yield. However, the highlands that are currently not suitable for coffee (>1500 m above mean sea level) is projected to become suitable with a higher yield than the current. A significant increase in rainfall during the rainy season and prolonged dry season will also affect coffee phenological development. It will shift the peak of coffee flowering and harvesting seasons in Toba. The severity of the coffee berry borer Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) attack will also increase in the future. The current crop management farming practices should be adjusted and improved to adapt to such change.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Vorheriges Kapitel Strategies for Scaling Up the Adoption of Organic Farming Towards Building Climate Change Resilient Communities

Nächstes Kapitel Global Climate Change and Biofuels Policy: Indian Perspectives

Abdoellah S (2016) Irrigation on coffee plantation. In: Wahyudi T, Pujiyanto M (eds) Coffee: history, botany, production process, processing, downstream products, and partnership systems. Gadjah Mada University Press, Yogyakarta, pp 253–258

Amaria W, Harni R (2012) Leaf rust in the planting of coffee and its control. In: Technology innovation for community coffee plantation. Indonesian Spices and Industrial Plants Research Institute, Sukabumi, pp 115–120

Bale J, Masters G, Hodkinson I, Awmack C, Bezemer T, Brown V, Butterfield J, Buse A, Coulson J, Farrar J, Good J, Harrington R, Hartley S, Jones T, Lindroth R, Press M, Symrnioudis I, Watt A, Whittaker J (2002) Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores. Glob Chang Biol 8:1–16. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2002.00451.xCrossRef

Birch L (1948) The intrinsic rate of natural increase of an insect population. J Anim Ecol 17:15. https://doi.org/10.2307/1605CrossRef

BPS (2016a) Statistics of Karo Regency, Karo. ISSN:2301-8852

BPS (2016b) Statistics of Dairi Regency, Dairi. ISSN:2354-578X

BPS (2016c) Statistics of Samosir Regency, Samosir. ISSN:2301-976X

BPS (2016d) BPS-statistics of Simalungun Regency, Simalungun. ISSN:0215-2339

Brown JS, Kenny MK, Whan JH, dan Merriman PR (1995) The effect of temperature on the development of epidemics of coffee leaf rust in Papua New Guinea. J Crop Prot 14(8):671–676CrossRef

CABI (2000) Crop protection compendium. CAB International, Wallingford

Cannel MGR (1985) Physiology of the coffee crop. In: Clifford MN, Wilson KC (eds) Coffee: botany, biochemistry, and production of beans and beverage. AVI Publishing Company, Connecticut, pp 108–134. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-6657-1CrossRef

Center for Soil Research (1978) National land classification system. Soil Research Center, Bogor

Center for Soil Research (1982) National land classification system. Soil Research Center, Bogor

Collins WJ, Bellouin N, Doutriaux-Boucher M, Gedney N, Halloran P, Hinton T, Hughes J, Jones CD, Joshi M, Liddicoat S, Martin G, O'Connor F, Rae J, Senior C, Sitch S, Totterdell I, Wiltshire A, Woodward S (2011) Development and evaluation of an earth-system model- HadGEM2. Geosci Model Dev 4(4):1051–1075CrossRef

Crowe TJ (2009) Coffee pests in Africa. In: Wintgnes JN (ed) Coffee: growing, processing, sustainable production, 2nd edn. Willey-VCH Verlag GmbH &Cp. KGaA, Weinheim, pp 425–462. https://doi.org/10.1002/9783527619627CrossRef

Damatta FM, Ramalho JDC (2006) Impacts of drought and temperature stress on coffe physiology and production: a review. Braz J Plant Physiol 18(1):55–81. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1677-04202006000100006CrossRef

Descroix F, Snoeck J (2012) Environmental factors suitable for coffee cultivation. In: Wintgens JN (ed) Coffee: growing, processing, sustainable production, 2nd Rev edn. Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim. ISBN:978-3-527-33253-3

Dingemanse NJ, Kalkman V (2008) Changing temperature regimes have advanced the phenology of Odonata in the Netherlands. Ecol Entomol 33:394–402. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2311.2007.00982.xCrossRef

Erdiansyah NP, Soemarno D, Mawardi S (2016) Sidikalang coffee production in North Sumatra. Indonesian Coffee Cocoa Res Inst Newslett 25:10–14

Faqih A, Hidayat R, Jadmiko SD, Radini (2016) Historical climate and future climate scenarios in Indonesia: climate modelling and analysis. United Nation Development Program (UNDP), Ministry of Environment and Forestry (KLHK)

Funk C, Peterson P, Landsfeld M, Pedreros D, Verdin J, Rowland J, Romero B, Husak G, Michaelsen J, Verdin A (2014) A quasi-global precipitation time series for drought monitoring. Data Ser (832):4. https://doi.org/10.3133/ds832

Funk C, Peterson P, Landsfeld M, Pedreros D, Verdin J, Shukla S, Husak G, Rowland J, Harrison L, Hoell A, Michaelsen J (2015) The climate hazards infrared precipitation with stations-a new environmental record for monitoring extremes. Sci Data 2:150066. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2015.66CrossRef

Gomi T, Nagasaka M, Fukuda T, Higahara H (2007) Shifting of the life cycle and life history traits of the fall webworm in relation to climate change. Entomol Exp Appl 125:179–184. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1570-7458.2007.00616.xCrossRef

Haggar J, Barrios M, Bolaños M, Merlo M, Moraga P, Munguia R, Ponce A, Romero S, Soto G, Staver C, de M. F. Virginio E (2011) Coffee agroecosystem performance under full sun, shade, conventional and organic management regimes in Central America. Agrofor Syst 82:285–301. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-011-9392-5CrossRef

Harni R, Samsudin WA, Indriati G, Soesanthy F, Khaerati ET, Hasibuan AM, Hapsari AD (2015) Technology of pest and disease control on coffee plantation. IAARD Press, Jakarta

ICC (2009) Climate change and coffee. International Coffee Council, 103rd session, 23–25 September 2009. http://www.ico.org/documents/icc-103-6-r1e-climate-change.pdf. Accessed 8 Jan 2016

Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research Center (Puslitkoka) (2013) Practical guidelines for cultivation and maintenance of coffee plants. Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research Center, Jember

IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014: synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds)]. IPCC, Geneva, 151 pp

Jadmiko SD, Murdiyarso D, Faqih A (2017) Bias correction of regional climate model outputs for drought analysis. Indonesian Soil Clim J 41(1):25–36. https://doi.org/10.2017/jti.v41i1.5983CrossRef

Jaramillo J, Chabi-Olaye A, Kamonjo C, Jaramillo A, Vega F, Poehling H, Borgemeister C (2009) Thermal tolerance of the coffee berry borer Hypothenemus hampei: predictions of climate change impact on a tropical insect pest. PLoS One 4:e6487. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0006487CrossRef

Kiritani K (2006) Predicting impacts of global warming on population dynamics and distribution of arthropods in Japan. Popul Ecol 48:5–12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10144-005-0225-0CrossRef

Kiritani K (2007) Pest status of rice and fruit bugs (Heteroptera) in Japan. Glob Chang Biol 13:1586–1595CrossRef

Kiritani K (2013) Different effects of climate change on the population dynamics of insects. Appl Entomol Zool 48:97–104. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13355-012-0158-yCrossRef

Lan CC, Wintgens JN (2009) Major pests of coffee in the Asia-Pacific region. In: Wintgnes JN (ed) Coffee: growing, processing, sustainable production, 2nd edn. Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH &Cp. KGaA, Weinheim, pp 463–477

Lenderink G, Buishand A, Van Deusen W (2007) Estimate of future discharges of the river Rhine using two scenarios methodologies: direct versus delta approach. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11:1145–1159. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-11-1145-2007CrossRef

Martin GM, Bellouin N, Collins WJ, Culverwell ID, Halloran PR, Hardiman SC, Hinton TJ, Jones CD, McDonald RE, McLaren AJ, O’Connor FM, Roberts MJ, Rodriguez JM, Woodward S, Best MJ, Brooks ME, Brown AR, Butchart N, Dearden C, Derbyshire SH, Dharssi I, Doutriaux-Boucher M, Edwards JM, Falloon PD, Gedney N, Gray LJ, Hewitt HT, Hobson M, Huddleston MR, Hughes J, Ineson S, Ingram WJ, James PM, Johns TC, Johnson CE, Jones A, Jones CP, Joshi MM, Keen AB, Liddicoat S, Lock AP, Maidens AV, Manners JC, Milton SF, Rae JGL, Ridley JK, Sellar A, Senior CA, Totterdell IJ, Verhoef A, Vidale PL, Wiltshire A (2011) The HadGEM2 family of met office unified model climate configurations. Geosci Model Dev 4(3):723–757CrossRef

Ministry of Agriculture (2017) Agricultural statistics 2017. Center for Agricultural Data and Information System: Ministry of Agriculture, Jakarta

Ministry of Environment (2014) Rescue movement of Lake Toba (GERMADANI). Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta

Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, Van Vuuren SP, Carter TR, Emori S, Kainuma M, Kram T, Meehl GA, Mitchel JFB, Nakicennovic N, Riahi K, Smith SJ, Stouffer RJ, Thomson AM, Weyant JP, Wilbanks TJ (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463:747–756. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823CrossRef

Nur AM (2000) Impact of La Nina on Robusta coffee production. Indonesian Coffee Cocoa Res Inst Newslett 16(1):50–58

Prastowo B, Karmawati E, Rubijo S, Indrawanto C, Munaro SJ (2010) Coffee cultivation and post-harvest. Indonesian Center for Estate Crops Research and Development, Bogor

Pratama SW, Aini FN (2016) Main diseases of coffee plants. In: Coffee. Gadjah Mada University Press, Yogyakarta, p 15

PT Perkebunan Nusantara XII (Persero) (2013) Guidelines for managing Arabica coffee plants. PT Perkebunan Nusantara XII (Persero), Surabaya

Pujiyanto (2016) Water stress on coffee plant. In: Wahyudi T, Pujiyanto M (eds) Coffee; history, botany, production process, processing, downstream products, and partnership systems. Gadjah Mada University Press, Yogyakarta, pp 382–401

Puslitkoka (2013) Practical guidelines for cultivation and maintenance of coffee plants. Indonesian Research Center for Coffee and Cacao, Jember

Rahayu DS, Wiryadiputra S (2016) Main insect pest and it’s control. In: Coffee. Gadjah Mada University Press, Yogyakarta

Rayner RW (1961) Spore liberation and dispersal of coffee rust Hemileia vastatrix B.et Br. Nature 191:725CrossRef

Samsudin, Soesanthy F (2012) Coffee berry borer and its control: technology innovation for community coffee plantation. Indonesian Spices and Industrial Plants Research Institute, Sukabumi, pp 121–130

Semangun H (2000) Plantation plant diseases in Indonesia. Gadjah Mada University Press, 835pp

Soenarjo (1975) Effect of climate anomaly on coffee production. Indonesian J Biotechnol Res Estate Crops 43(2):79–91

Sulistyowati E, Mangoendihardjo S, Wagiman FX (1999) Functional response of parasitoid Cephalonomia stephanoderis Betr. against coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei Ferr.). Coffee Cocoa Res J 15(2):101–108

Susilo AW (2008) Resistance of coffee plants (Coffea spp.) from coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei Ferr.). Rev Coffee Cocoa Res 24(1):1–15

Syakir M, Surmaini E (2017) Climate change in the context of the coffee production and development system in Indonesia. Agric Res J 36(2):77–90

Waller JM (1985) Control of coffee diseases. In: Clifford MN, Willson KC (eds) Coffee: botany, biochemistry and production of beans and beverage. AVI Publishing Company, Connecticut, pp 219–229CrossRef

Waller JM, Bigger M, Hillocks RJ (2007) Coffee pests, diseases and their management. CAB International, Wallingford, p 400. ISBN-10: 1 84593 129 7 and ISBN-13: 978 1 84593 129 2CrossRef

Wilson KC (1985) Climate and soil. In: Clifford MN, Wilson KC (eds) Coffee: botany, biochemistry, and production of beans and beverage. AVI Publishing Company, Connecticut, pp 97–107CrossRef

Wintgens JN (2009) Coffee: growing, processing, sustainable production. 2. Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Cp. KGaA, Weinheim

Wiryadiputra (2012) Effectiveness of Cyantraniliprole insecticides on coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei Ferr.) in Arabica coffee. Coffee Cocoa Res J 28:103–114

Wiryadiputra S, Tran LK (2008) Indonesia and Vietnam. In: Souza RM (ed) Plant-parasitic nematodes of coffee. Springer, Dordrecht

Yahmadi M (1973) Effect of long drought on coffee plantation. Indonesian J Biotechnol Res Estate Crops 41:235–240

Yuliasmara F, Suhartono, Hulupi R (2016) Pruning on coffee plants. In: Wahyudi T, Pujiyanto M (eds) Coffee: history, botany, production process, processing, downstream products, and partnership systems. Gadjah Mada University Press, Yogyakarta, pp 195–217

Zeng F, Pederson G, Ellsbury M, Davis F (1993) Demographic statistics for the pea aphid (Homoptera: Aphididae) on resistant and susceptible red clovers. J Econ Entomol 86(6):1852–1856CrossRef

Titel: Managing Climate Risk in a Major Coffee-Growing Region of Indonesia
verfasst von: Rizaldi Boer
Syamsu Dwi Jadmiko
Purnama Hidayat
Ade Wachjar
Muhammad Ardiansyah
Dewi Sulistyowati
Anter Parulian Situmorang
Verlag: Springer Singapore
Buch: Global Climate Change and Environmental Policy
Print ISBN: 978-981-13-9569-7

Electronic ISBN: 978-981-13-9570-3

Copyright-Jahr: 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9570-3_5

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"