Skip to main content

2020 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

10. Marine Systems Risk Modelling

verfasst von : Jan-Erik Vinnem, Willy Røed

Erschienen in: Offshore Risk Assessment Vol. 1

Verlag: Springer London

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

One of the developments in the offshore petroleum industry in the past 15 years is that floating production facilities and subsea production systems are taking over more and more from surface installed facilities. Subsea production systems also imply use of floating installations, typically mobile drillings units. This is the main background for an increased focus on risk due to possible failures of marine systems i.e., systems such as ballast systems, anchoring systems, loss of buoyancy, weight control as well as structural and hull systems. Risk modelling for these systems is discussed in this chapter, with the main emphasis on ballast and station-keeping systems, dynamic positioning, shuttle tankers and loss of buoyancy.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2011) Framework regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger PSA (2011) Framework regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger
2.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2011) The management regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger PSA (2011) The management regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Kvitrud A, Nilsen LR, Næss TI, Dalsgaard LJ, Vinnem JE (2006) In service Experiences 1996–2005 in Norway, and risk analysis of anchoring systems. In: Soares C (ed). Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema: London Kvitrud A, Nilsen LR, Næss TI, Dalsgaard LJ, Vinnem JE (2006) In service Experiences 1996–2005 in Norway, and risk analysis of anchoring systems. In: Soares C (ed). Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema: London
5.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2015). Trends in risk levels, main report 2014 (In Norwegian only), Petroleum Safety Authority; 24.4.2015 PSA (2015). Trends in risk levels, main report 2014 (In Norwegian only), Petroleum Safety Authority; 24.4.2015
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Haugen S (1987) Risk assessment of buoyancy loss—introduction to analytical approach, paper to City University International conference on mobile units, London 14–17 September 1987 Vinnem JE, Haugen S (1987) Risk assessment of buoyancy loss—introduction to analytical approach, paper to City University International conference on mobile units, London 14–17 September 1987
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Lotsberg I, Olufsen O, Solland G, Dalane JI, Haver S (2004) Risk assessment of loss of structural integrity of a floating production platform due to gross errors. Mar Struct 17:551–573CrossRef Lotsberg I, Olufsen O, Solland G, Dalane JI, Haver S (2004) Risk assessment of loss of structural integrity of a floating production platform due to gross errors. Mar Struct 17:551–573CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat HSE (2005) Accident statistics for floating offshore units on the UK Continental Shelf (1980–2003). London; HMSO; 2005; RR353 HSE (2005) Accident statistics for floating offshore units on the UK Continental Shelf (1980–2003). London; HMSO; 2005; RR353
9.
Zurück zum Zitat MMS (2005) Multiple cable transit failures, safety alert No. 235, minerals management service, Washington; 2005 MMS (2005) Multiple cable transit failures, safety alert No. 235, minerals management service, Washington; 2005
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Nilsen LR (2005) Marine Systems in risk analyses for mobile units (In Norwegian only). University of Stavanger; M.Sc. thesis Nilsen LR (2005) Marine Systems in risk analyses for mobile units (In Norwegian only). University of Stavanger; M.Sc. thesis
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Haugen S (2005) Risk analysis of maritime systems. Trondheim; Safetec; 2005 Sep. Report No.: ST–20649–RS–3–Rev00 Haugen S (2005) Risk analysis of maritime systems. Trondheim; Safetec; 2005 Sep. Report No.: ST–20649–RS–3–Rev00
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Sklet S, Aven T, Hauge S, Vinnem JE (2005) Incorporating human and organizational factors in risk analyses for offshore installations. In: Kolowrochi K (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2005. Balkema, London Sklet S, Aven T, Hauge S, Vinnem JE (2005) Incorporating human and organizational factors in risk analyses for offshore installations. In: Kolowrochi K (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2005. Balkema, London
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Seljelid J, Aven T, Sklet S (2006) Analysis of barriers in operational risk assessment—a case study. In: Soares C (ed), Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London Vinnem JE, Seljelid J, Aven T, Sklet S (2006) Analysis of barriers in operational risk assessment—a case study. In: Soares C (ed), Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Ersdal G, Friis–Hansen P (2004) Safety barriers in offshore drill rigs derived from accident investigation. In: Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on offshore mechanics and artic engineering; Vancouver, Canada Ersdal G, Friis–Hansen P (2004) Safety barriers in offshore drill rigs derived from accident investigation. In: Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on offshore mechanics and artic engineering; Vancouver, Canada
15.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2012) Trends in risk levels, main report 2011 (In Norwegian only), Petroleum Safety Authority; 24.4.2012 PSA (2012) Trends in risk levels, main report 2011 (In Norwegian only), Petroleum Safety Authority; 24.4.2012
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Haver S, Vestbøstad TM, (2001) The storm outside mid Norway 10–11 November, 2001 (In Norwegian only). Stavanger; Statoil; 2001 Nov. Report No.: PTT–KU–MA–024 Haver S, Vestbøstad TM, (2001) The storm outside mid Norway 10–11 November, 2001 (In Norwegian only). Stavanger; Statoil; 2001 Nov. Report No.: PTT–KU–MA–024
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Denton N (2002) FPSO mooring system integrity study, Rev 02; Noble Denton, London; 2002 Report No.: 2002\A3792–02 Denton N (2002) FPSO mooring system integrity study, Rev 02; Noble Denton, London; 2002 Report No.: 2002\A3792–02
19.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2014) Trends in risk level in the petroleum activity, summary report—trends 2013, petroleum safety authority, 24.4.2014 PSA (2014) Trends in risk level in the petroleum activity, summary report—trends 2013, petroleum safety authority, 24.4.2014
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Lloyds Register Consulting (2005) Safety of DP operations on mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Lloyds Register Consulting; 2005 Dec. Kjeller, Norway; Report No.: 27.740.114/R5 Lloyds Register Consulting (2005) Safety of DP operations on mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Lloyds Register Consulting; 2005 Dec. Kjeller, Norway; Report No.: 27.740.114/R5
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen H, Moan T (2005) DP incidents on mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Kolowrochi K (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2005. Balkema, London Chen H, Moan T (2005) DP incidents on mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Kolowrochi K (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2005. Balkema, London
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen H (2006) Summary, safety of DP drilling operations. Kjeller; Lloyds register consulting; 2006 Jun. Report No.: 61.000.000 Chen H (2006) Summary, safety of DP drilling operations. Kjeller; Lloyds register consulting; 2006 Jun. Report No.: 61.000.000
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen H, Moan T, Verhoeven H (2006) Barriers to prevent loss of position for dynamically positioned mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Soares C (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London Chen H, Moan T, Verhoeven H (2006) Barriers to prevent loss of position for dynamically positioned mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Soares C (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen H, Moan, T Verhoeven H (2006) Critical DGPS failures on dynamically positioned mobile offshore drilling unit on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Soares C (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London Chen H, Moan, T Verhoeven H (2006) Critical DGPS failures on dynamically positioned mobile offshore drilling unit on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. In: Soares C (ed) Proceedings ESREL 2006. Balkema, London
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE (2000) Operational safety of FPSOs: initial summary report. OTO Report No.: 2000:086; HSE, 2001 Vinnem JE (2000) Operational safety of FPSOs: initial summary report. OTO Report No.: 2000:086; HSE, 2001
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Hauge S, Huglen Ø, Kieran O, Kirwan B, Rettedal WK et al (2000) Systematic analysis of operational safety of FPSOs reveals areas of improvement. In: SPE international conference on health, safety, and the environment in oil and gas exploration and production; 2000 June 26–28; Stavanger, Norway Vinnem JE, Hauge S, Huglen Ø, Kieran O, Kirwan B, Rettedal WK et al (2000) Systematic analysis of operational safety of FPSOs reveals areas of improvement. In: SPE international conference on health, safety, and the environment in oil and gas exploration and production; 2000 June 26–28; Stavanger, Norway
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Hokstad P, Saele H, Dammen T, Chen H et al (2002) Operational safety of FPSOs, shuttle tanker collision risk, main report. Trondheim; NTNU; 2002 Oct. Report No.: MK/R 152 Vinnem JE, Hokstad P, Saele H, Dammen T, Chen H et al (2002) Operational safety of FPSOs, shuttle tanker collision risk, main report. Trondheim; NTNU; 2002 Oct. Report No.: MK/R 152
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Hokstad P, Dammen T, Saele H, Chen H, Haver S et al (2003) Operational safety analysis of FPSO—shuttle tanker collision risk reveals areas of improvement, OTC paper 15317. OTC conference 2003; Houston, USA Vinnem JE, Hokstad P, Dammen T, Saele H, Chen H, Haver S et al (2003) Operational safety analysis of FPSO—shuttle tanker collision risk reveals areas of improvement, OTC paper 15317. OTC conference 2003; Houston, USA
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Tveit O (2003) Private communication with O Tveit, Statoil Tveit O (2003) Private communication with O Tveit, Statoil
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Safetec Nordic AS (1996) Coast database, Rev. 1. Trondheim; Safetec Safetec Nordic AS (1996) Coast database, Rev. 1. Trondheim; Safetec
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Wiik O (2003) Private communication with Olav Wiik, Navion Wiik O (2003) Private communication with Olav Wiik, Navion
32.
Zurück zum Zitat PSA (2011) Activity regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger PSA (2011) Activity regulations; petroleum safety authority, Norwegian pollution control authority and the Norwegian social and health directorate; Stavanger
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Oil & Gas UK (2002) FPSO tandem loading guidelines. Oil & Gas UK, London; 2002 Oil & Gas UK (2002) FPSO tandem loading guidelines. Oil & Gas UK, London; 2002
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE (2003) Operational safety of FPSOs, shuttle tanker collision risk, summary report, RR113. HMSO: London Vinnem JE (2003) Operational safety of FPSOs, shuttle tanker collision risk, summary report, RR113. HMSO: London
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen H (2002) Probabilistic evaluation of FPSO—tanker collision in tandem off–loading operation. Trondheim; NTNU. During thesis Chen H (2002) Probabilistic evaluation of FPSO—tanker collision in tandem off–loading operation. Trondheim; NTNU. During thesis
36.
Zurück zum Zitat Lundborg ME (2014) Human technical factors in FPSO-shuttle tanker interactions and their influence on the collision risk during operation in the North Sea, MSc thesis, NTNU, June 2014 Lundborg ME (2014) Human technical factors in FPSO-shuttle tanker interactions and their influence on the collision risk during operation in the North Sea, MSc thesis, NTNU, June 2014
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Personal communication with PhD student Anna Dong, NTNU Personal communication with PhD student Anna Dong, NTNU
38.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE, Utne IB (2015) Risk reduction for floating offshore installations through barrier management. In: Proceedings of the ASME 2015 34th international conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE2015, May 31-June 5, 2015, St. John’s, Newfoundland, Canada Vinnem JE, Utne IB (2015) Risk reduction for floating offshore installations through barrier management. In: Proceedings of the ASME 2015 34th international conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE2015, May 31-June 5, 2015, St. John’s, Newfoundland, Canada
40.
Zurück zum Zitat Dong Y, Vinnem JE, Utne IB (2017) Improving safety of DP operations: learning from accidents and Incidents during Offshore Loading Operations. EURO journal on decision processes, vol 5CrossRef Dong Y, Vinnem JE, Utne IB (2017) Improving safety of DP operations: learning from accidents and Incidents during Offshore Loading Operations. EURO journal on decision processes, vol 5CrossRef
41.
Zurück zum Zitat Sandvik P (1988) Hydrodynamic effects from subsea gas blowouts. Safetec Nordic, Trondheim; 1988 Feb. Report No.: ST–87–RR–007–02. Appendix 2 to RABL project report No 1 Sandvik P (1988) Hydrodynamic effects from subsea gas blowouts. Safetec Nordic, Trondheim; 1988 Feb. Report No.: ST–87–RR–007–02. Appendix 2 to RABL project report No 1
42.
Zurück zum Zitat Vinnem JE (1988) Risk assessment of buoyancy loss, summary report. Safetec Nordic, Trondheim, Norway; 1988; Report No.: ST–87–RF–024–01 Vinnem JE (1988) Risk assessment of buoyancy loss, summary report. Safetec Nordic, Trondheim, Norway; 1988; Report No.: ST–87–RF–024–01
43.
Zurück zum Zitat Trbojevic VM et al (1994) Methodology for the analysis of risks during the construction and installation phases of an Offshore Platform. J Loss Prev Process Ind 7(4):350–359CrossRef Trbojevic VM et al (1994) Methodology for the analysis of risks during the construction and installation phases of an Offshore Platform. J Loss Prev Process Ind 7(4):350–359CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Marine Systems Risk Modelling
verfasst von
Jan-Erik Vinnem
Willy Røed
Copyright-Jahr
2020
Verlag
Springer London
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-7444-8_10

Neuer Inhalt