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2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Maritime Passages of the Future

verfasst von : Heather A. Conley, Matthew Melino

Erschienen in: Arctic Summer College Yearbook

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Significant diminishment of the Arctic ice cap is propelling the advent of a new, blue water ocean and, with it, new commercial and economic opportunities. Abundant natural and mineral resources, as well as rich fishing stocks, encourage Arctic and non-Arctic nations to explore these resources through the enhanced use of Arctic maritime transportation routes which seek to connect geographically distant economies more directly. As a result, the evolving commercial dynamics of international Arctic shipping – both destinational and trans-shipment – are beginning to change. Once considered dangerous and non-commercial, Arctic shipping routes such as the Northern Sea Route (NSR) are increasingly scrutinized as potential economical alternatives to some of the world’s most popular maritime passages.
While nations like Russia are ambitious in their desire to see the Northern Sea Route become a “Suez of the North,” the United States has taken a more tempered approach to the region’s development, focusing on environmental protection. Although some maritime experts question whether the Northern Sea Route, and by extension the Bering Strait, will ever become a viable international maritime passage, a slow yet steady increase in global demand for natural, mineral, and fisheries resources will likely see the Northern Sea Route and Bering Strait experience a consistent increase in maritime traffic. Therefore, it is both a policy imperative and an opportune moment to construct the necessary infrastructure to improve readiness and domain awareness in the Bering Strait, to safely accommodate a likely increase in maritime traffic, and to strengthen U.S.-Russian cooperation in the Arctic.

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Fußnoten
1
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2
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3
Jonathan Masters, “The Thawing Arctic: Risks and Opportunities,” Council on Foreign Relations, December 16, 2013, http://​www.​cfr.​org/​arctic/​thawing-arctic-risks-opportunities/​p32082
 
4
Jeffrey Kuperman, “The Northern Sea Route: Could It Be The New Suez Canal?” Berkeley Political Review, December 22, 2014, https://​bpr.​berkeley.​edu/​2014/​12/​22/​the-northern-sea-route-the-new-suez-canal
 
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6
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7
Northern Sea Route Information Office: Data for 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016, http://​www.​arctic-lio.​com/​nsr_​transits
 
8
Lawson W. Brigham, “The Realities and Challenges of Russia’s Northern Sea Route,” Fletcher Security Review, March 6, 2016, https://​docs.​wixstatic.​com/​ugd/​c28a64_​5f89dffc2ff8432a​a92519125dfb9bbc​.​pdf
 
9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
Märta Carlsson and Niklas Granholm, “Russia and the Arctic: Analysis and Discussion of Russian Strategies,” Swedish Defence Research Agency, March 2013, pp. 24–25.
 
17
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18
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19
Heather A. Conley and Caroline Rohloff, “The New Ice Curtain: Russia’s Strategic Reach to the Arctic,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, August 2015, pp. XI, https://csis-prod.s3.ama-zonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/150826_Conley_NewIceCurtain_Web.pdf
 
21
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22
MarEx, “New Cranes Delivered to Russia’s Zvezda Yard,” The Maritime Executive, March 27, 2017, http://maritime-executive.com/article/new-cranes-delivered-to-russias-zvezda-yard
 
23
Märta Carlsson and Niklas Granholm, “Russia and the Arctic: Analysis and Discussion of Russian Strategies,” Swedish Defence Research Agency, March 2013, pp. 23.
 
24
Milosz Reterski, “Breaking the Ice: Why the United States Needs Nuclear-Powered Icebreakers,” Foreign Affairs, December 11, 2014, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2014-12-11/breaking-ice
 
25
“Russia floats out Arktika icebreaker, set to be world’s largest,” RT, June 16, 2016, https://www.rt.com/business/346997-russia-arktika-icebreaker-float/
 
26
Andrey Vokuev, “Russia opens first Arctic search and rescue center,” Barents Observer, August 27, 2013. http://barentsobserver.com/en/arctic/2013/08/russia-opens-first-arctic-search-and-rescue-center-27-08
 
27
“Search and Rescue,” Northern Sea Route Information Office, accessed April 24, 2017, http://www.arctic-lio.com/nsr_searchandrescue
 
28
Presentation by Sergey Balmasov, Head of the NSR Information Office, “Russia’s navigational aids and maritime communication system,” Centre for High North Logistics, October 15, 2015, http://www.chnl.no/publish_files/Russia_navigational_aids_and_maritime+communication_system.pdf
 
29
Atle Staalesen, “Government aims for redesign of Arctic administration,” The Barents Observer, May 5, 2017, https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/2017/05/government-aims-redesign-arctic-administration
 
30
Lassi Heininen, Alexander Sergunin and Gleb Yarovoy, “Russian Strategies in the Arctic: Avoiding a New Cold War,” Valdai Discussion Club, September 2014, pp. 67, http://www.uarctic.org/media/857300/arctic_eng.pdf
 
31
Ibid, pp. 67.
 
32
Thomson Reuters StreetEvents, “Edited Transcript of NVTK.MZ earnings conference call or presentation,” Yahoo Finance, April 27, 2017, https://finance.yahoo.com/news/edited-transcript-nvtk-mz-earnings-235951161.html
 
33
Oksana Kobzeva, “Russia’s Yamal LNG project on track and on budget, says Novatek,” Reuters, September 5, 2016, http://www.reuters.com/article/russia-vladivostok-forum-novatek-idUSL8N1BH1PE
 
34
B. Brunstad, ed., Arctic Shipping 2030: From Russia with Oil; Stormy Passage, or Arctic Great Game? (Oslo: Econ Poyry, 2007), 14.
 
35
B. Brunstad, ed., Arctic Shipping 2030: From Russia with Oil; Stormy Passage, or Arctic Great Game? (Oslo: Econ Poyry, 2007), 14.
 
36
“Yamal LNG infrastructure,” Novatek, 2017. http://www.novatek.ru/en/business/yamal-lng/yamal_infrastructure
 
37
AV Malte Humpert, “Two new Arctic emergency centers to open along Northern Sea Route,” High North News, January 30, 2017, http://www.highnorthnews.com/two-new-arctic-emergency-centers-to-open-along-northern-sea-route/
 
38
Bjørn Gunnarsson, “Future Development of the Northern Sea Route,” The Maritime Executive, February 28, 2016, http://www.maritime-executive.com/editorials/future-development-of-the-northern-sea-route
 
39
Interview with President Vladimir Putin, “The Arctic: Territory of Dialogue International Forum,” Office of the President of Russia, Marcy 30, 2017, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/54149
 
40
Ibid.
 
41
Sierra Fletcher, “Bering Sea Vessel Traffic: Risk Analysis,” Nuka Research and Planning Group LLC and Ocean Conservancy, December 2016, pp. 16, http://www.oceanconservancy.org/places/arctic/bering-sea-vessel-traffic.pdf
 
42
“United States Coast Guard Arctic Strategy,” United States Coast Guard, May 2013, pp. 22. https://www.uscg.mil/seniorleadership/docs/cg_arctic_strategy.pdf
 
43
“National Plan to Achieve Maritime Domain Awareness,” United States Coast Guard, October 2005, pp. 1, https://www.uscg.mil/hq/cg5/docs/MDA%20Plan%20Oct05-3.pdf
 
44
“Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment 2009 Report,” Protection of the Arctic Marine Environment Working Group, The Arctic Council, April 29, 2009, pp. 5, https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/arctic-zone/detect/documents/AMSA_2009_Report_2nd_print.pdf
 
45
Henry P. Huntington, Raychelle Daniel, Andrew Hartsig, Kevin Harun, Marilyn Heiman, Rosa Meehan, George Noongwook, Leslie Pearson, Melissa Prior-Parks, Martin Robards and George Stetson, “Vessels, risks, and rules: Planning for safe shipping in Bering Strait,” Marine Policy, 2015, vol. 51, issue C, pp. 119–127. http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0308597X14002012/1-s2.0-S0308597X14002012-main.pdf?_tid=1bc6c77a-4625-11e7-82ee-00000aab0f26&acdnat=1496251265_cda17dc55b5aae3e27d44b39f0ff1aa4
 
46
“Red Dog Mine,” Ground Truth Trekking, November 7, 2014, http://www.groundtruthtrekking.org/Issues/MetalsMining/RedDogMine.html
 
47
“Factsheet: Red Dog and the Northwest Arctic Borough,” Teck, 2015, http://www.teck.com/media/Red-Dog-Fact-Sheet.pdf
 
48
Caroline McGuire, “Life in the freezer: Inside the northernmost city on Earth whose residents endure −55 °C temperatures and 2 months of total darkness every year,” Daily Mail, January 31, 2016, http://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-3416963/Think-s-cold-Spare-thought-residents-Norilsk-northernmost-city-world-endure-temperatures-55-C-two-months-24-7-darkness-year.html
 
49
Vladislav Vorotnikov, “Norilsk Nickel Turns its Attention to the Environment and Tier 1 Assets,” Engineering and Mining Journal, February 21, 2014, http://www.e-mj.com/features/3736-norilsk-nickel-turns-its-attention-to-the-environment-and-tier-1-assets.html#.WS784uvysdU
 
50
Ilya Khrennikov, “Norilsk to Invest $370 Million to Double Shipments Across Arctic” Bloomberg, June 28, 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2011-06-28/russia-s-norilsk-plans-to-invest-370-million-to-double-arctic-shipments
 
51
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52
Dr. Alyson J. Azzara, Dr. Haifeng Wang, and Dr. Daniel Rutherford, “A 10-Year Projection Of Maritime Activity In The U.S. Arctic Region,” The International Council on Clean Transportation, U.S. Committee on the Marine Transportation System, January 1, 2015, pp. 21, http://www.cmts.gov/downloads/CMTS_10-Year_Arctic_Vessel_Projection_Report_1.1.15.pdf
 
53
Ibid, pp. 27.
 
54
Henry P. Huntington, Raychelle Daniel, Andrew Hartsig, Kevin Harun, Marilyn Heiman, Rosa Meehan, George Noongwook, Leslie Pearson, Melissa Prior-Parks, Martin Robards and George Stetson, “Vessels, risks, and rules: Planning for safe shipping in Bering Strait,” Marine Policy, 2015, vol. 51, issue C, pp. 119–127. http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0308597X14002012/1-s2.0-S0308597X14002012-main.pdf?_tid=1bc6c77a-4625-11e7-82ee-00000aab0f26&acdnat=1496251265_cda17dc55b5aae3e27d44b39f0ff1aa4
 
55
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Metadaten
Titel
Maritime Passages of the Future
verfasst von
Heather A. Conley
Matthew Melino
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-66459-0_5