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Erschienen in: Finance and Stochastics 2/2013

01.04.2013

Market selection with learning and catching up with the Joneses

verfasst von: Roman Muraviev

Erschienen in: Finance and Stochastics | Ausgabe 2/2013

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Abstract

We study the market selection hypothesis in complete financial markets, populated by heterogeneous agents. We allow for a rich structure of heterogeneity: individuals may differ in their beliefs concerning the economy, information and learning mechanism, risk aversion, impatience and ‘catching up with the Joneses’ preferences. We develop new techniques for studying the long-run behavior of such economies, based on Strassen’s functional law of the iterated logarithm. In particular, we explicitly determine an agent’s survival index and show how the latter depends on the agent’s characteristics. We use these results to study the long-run behavior of the equilibrium interest rate and the market price of risk.

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Fußnoten
1
An agent is said to survive in the long run if the ratio of his consumption to the aggregate consumption stays positive with positive probability as time goes to infinity.
 
2
We assume that the mean growth rate follows an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.
 
3
This is a realistic assumption as correlations are extremely difficult to estimate empirically.
 
4
In our model, the effective risk aversion depends on the level of habit formation (see (4.1)).
 
5
Bhamra and Uppal [5], Dumas [13] and Wang [29] considered the same model, but with only two agent types and heterogeneity coming only from risk aversion.
 
6
In this setting, the model can be implemented by a complete securities market with a unique state price density derived in equilibrium (as for instance in Duffie and Huang [12]). More specifically, the filtration \(\mathcal{G}\) is generated by the Brownian motion s (which is interpreted as a public signal) and the aggregate endowment process D. Nevertheless, as explained in Remark 2.6, the filtration \(\mathcal{G}\) is also generated by the Brownian motions s and W (0). Thereby, the market can be completed by adding one additional security to S. However, since the price of this security would be determined endogenously, one would have to verify endogenous completeness. This can be done by using the techniques of Hugonnier et al. [17]. Otherwise, we can just assume that there are sufficiently many (derivative) assets, completing the market.
 
7
This paradigm of a utility function was first introduced in Abel [1], and is commonly referred to in the literature as a utility with exogenous habits. This specification describes a decision maker who experiences an impact of the ‘standard of living’ index.
 
8
One can check that the process (Z it ) t∈[0,∞) is a true martingale by verifying Novikov’s condition on a small interval and then applying a similar argument to the one used in Example 3 in Sect. 6.2 in Liptser and Shiryaev [23].
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Market selection with learning and catching up with the Joneses
verfasst von
Roman Muraviev
Publikationsdatum
01.04.2013
Verlag
Springer-Verlag
Erschienen in
Finance and Stochastics / Ausgabe 2/2013
Print ISSN: 0949-2984
Elektronische ISSN: 1432-1122
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-012-0187-y

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