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Erschienen in: Empirical Economics 1/2021

12.01.2021

Modal regression for fixed effects panel data

verfasst von: Aman Ullah, Tao Wang, Weixin Yao

Erschienen in: Empirical Economics | Ausgabe 1/2021

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Abstract

Most research on panel data focuses on mean or quantile regression, while there is not much research about regression methods based on the mode. In this paper, we propose a new model named fixed effects modal regression for panel data in which we model how the conditional mode of the response variable depends on the covariates and employ a kernel-based objective function to simplify the computation. The proposed modal regression can complement the mean and quantile regressions and provide better central tendency measure and prediction performance when the data are skewed. We present a linear dummy modal regression method and a pseudo-demodeing two-step method to estimate the proposed modal regression. The computations can be easily implemented using a modified modal–expectation–maximization algorithm. We investigate the asymptotic properties of the modal estimators under some mild regularity conditions when the number of individuals, N, and the number of time periods, T, go to infinity. The optimal bandwidths with order \((NT)^{-1/7}\) are obtained by minimizing the asymptotic weighted mean squared errors. Monte Carlo simulations and two real data analyses of a public capital productivity study and a carbon dioxide emissions study are presented to demonstrate the finite sample performance of the newly proposed modal regression.

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Fußnoten
1
Modal regression can complement mean and quantile regressions and provide some other useful information regarding the features of conditional distributions that the existing regression models might miss, especially for the skewed dataset. For example, assume Y and X satisfy \(Y=X^{T} \beta _m+\sigma (X) \xi ,\) where \(\xi \) has a density with mean 0 and mode 1, \(\beta _m\) is a vector of coefficients, \(\sigma (X)=m(X)-X^{T} \beta _m\) in which m(X) is a nonlinear function, and \(X^{T}\) denotes the transpose of X. Then, \({\mathbb {E}}(Y \mid X)=X^{T} \beta _m,\) while \({Mode}(Y \mid X)=m(X)\). The mean regression is linear, but the modal regression could be nonlinear. Similarly, it is also possible that the mean regression is nonlinear, but the modal regression is linear.
 
2
Theorem 2.1 in Yao and Li (2014) indicates that Algorithm 1 will monotonically non-decrease the objective function (4), which means that MEM algorithm has the ascending property.
 
3
For example, if we consider \(Y_{it}=X^T_{it}\beta +\mu _i+v_{it}\) with \(Mode(v_{it}\mid X_{it},\mu _i)=0\), applying the first-difference transformation on equation yields \(Y_{it}-Y_{it-1}=(X^T_{it}-X^T_{it-1})\beta +v_{it}-v_{it-1}\) in which we cannot guarantee \(Mode(v_{it}-v_{it-1}\mid X_{it})=0\). The same problem arises if we apply the mean difference transformation.
 
4
If \(X \sim Ga(\alpha , \theta )\) and \(Y \sim Ga(\beta , \theta )\) are independently distributed with the same scale parameter, then \(X+Y\) follows \(Ga(\alpha +\beta , \theta )\) with variance \((\alpha +\beta )\theta ^2\).
 
5
*: \(p<0.1\); **: \(p <0.05\); ***: \(p<0.01\).
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Modal regression for fixed effects panel data
verfasst von
Aman Ullah
Tao Wang
Weixin Yao
Publikationsdatum
12.01.2021
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Empirical Economics / Ausgabe 1/2021
Print ISSN: 0377-7332
Elektronische ISSN: 1435-8921
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01999-w

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