Skip to main content

2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Modeling and Simulation of Resource-Constrained Vaccination Strategies and Epidemic Outbreaks

verfasst von : Rehan Ashraf, Bushra Zafar, Sohail Jabbar, Mudassar Ahmad, Syed Hassan Ahmed

Erschienen in: Applications of Intelligent Technologies in Healthcare

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Ongoing research on epidemic modeling is seeking for interventions to contain epidemic spread. Developing countries are at high risk of epidemics and pose a threat to developed countries as well. We have developed an epidemic scenario simulator to assist in choice of optimal vaccination strategy in case of scarce resources. The objective of this model is to explore the impact of different strategies on virus spread for different diseases. It is known that due to limited resources, vaccination of whole population is not feasible. Our simulation explores the extent to which the effect of vaccination of a subset of population can be effective to minimize the spread of disease. Further at any point in time, the model gives information regarding the health status of population.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Inhorn, M. C., & Brown, P. J. (1990). The anthropology of infectious disease. Annual Review of Anthropology, 19, 89–117.CrossRef Inhorn, M. C., & Brown, P. J. (1990). The anthropology of infectious disease. Annual Review of Anthropology, 19, 89–117.CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat WHO. (2008). Global burden of disease 2004 update: Selected figures and tables. Geneva: World Health Organization. WHO. (2008). Global burden of disease 2004 update: Selected figures and tables. Geneva: World Health Organization.
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Cohen, J., & Enserink, M. (2002). Rough-and-tumble behind Bush’s smallpox policy. Science, 298, 2312–2316.CrossRef Cohen, J., & Enserink, M. (2002). Rough-and-tumble behind Bush’s smallpox policy. Science, 298, 2312–2316.CrossRef
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Feldmann, H., Jones, S., Klenk, H.-D., & Schnittler, H.-J. (2003). Ebola virus: From discovery to vaccine. Nature Reviews Immunology, 3, 677–685CrossRef Feldmann, H., Jones, S., Klenk, H.-D., & Schnittler, H.-J. (2003). Ebola virus: From discovery to vaccine. Nature Reviews Immunology, 3, 677–685CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Yorke, J. A., Nathanson, N., Pianigiani, G., & Martin, J. (1979). Seasonality and the requirements for perpetuation and eradication of viruses in populations. American Journal of Epidemiology, 109, 103–123.CrossRef Yorke, J. A., Nathanson, N., Pianigiani, G., & Martin, J. (1979). Seasonality and the requirements for perpetuation and eradication of viruses in populations. American Journal of Epidemiology, 109, 103–123.CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S., & Lash, T. L. (2008). Modern epidemiology. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. Rothman, K. J., Greenland, S., & Lash, T. L. (2008). Modern epidemiology. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Allen, L. J., Brauer, F., Van den Driessche, P., & Wu, J. (2008). Mathematical epidemiology. Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer. Allen, L. J., Brauer, F., Van den Driessche, P., & Wu, J. (2008). Mathematical epidemiology. Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer.
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Holzmann, H., Hengel, H., Tenbusch, M., Doerr, H. W. (2016). Eradication of measles: Remaining challenges. Medical Microbiology and Immunology, 205, 201–208.CrossRef Holzmann, H., Hengel, H., Tenbusch, M., Doerr, H. W. (2016). Eradication of measles: Remaining challenges. Medical Microbiology and Immunology, 205, 201–208.CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Osterholm, M., Moore, K., Ostrowsky, J., Kimball Baker, K., Farrar, J., & Wellcome Trust-CIDRAP Ebola Vaccine Team. (2016). The Ebola Vaccine Team B: A model for promoting the rapid development of medical countermeasures for emerging infectious disease threats. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 16, e1–e9.CrossRef Osterholm, M., Moore, K., Ostrowsky, J., Kimball Baker, K., Farrar, J., & Wellcome Trust-CIDRAP Ebola Vaccine Team. (2016). The Ebola Vaccine Team B: A model for promoting the rapid development of medical countermeasures for emerging infectious disease threats. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 16, e1–e9.CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Prada, J., Metcalf, C., Takahashi, S., Lessler, J., Tatem, A., & Ferrari, M. (2017). Demographics, epidemiology and the impact of vaccination campaigns in a measles-free world Can elimination be maintained? Vaccine, 35, 1488–1493.CrossRef Prada, J., Metcalf, C., Takahashi, S., Lessler, J., Tatem, A., & Ferrari, M. (2017). Demographics, epidemiology and the impact of vaccination campaigns in a measles-free world Can elimination be maintained? Vaccine, 35, 1488–1493.CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Alexander, M., Moghadas, S., Rohani, P., Summers, A. (2006). Modelling the effect of a booster vaccination on disease epidemiology. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 52, 290–306.MathSciNetCrossRef Alexander, M., Moghadas, S., Rohani, P., Summers, A. (2006). Modelling the effect of a booster vaccination on disease epidemiology. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 52, 290–306.MathSciNetCrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Laskowski, M., Xiao, Y., Charland, N., Moghadas, S. (2015). Strategies for early vaccination during novel influenza outbreaks. Scientific Reports, 5, 1–13.CrossRef Laskowski, M., Xiao, Y., Charland, N., Moghadas, S. (2015). Strategies for early vaccination during novel influenza outbreaks. Scientific Reports, 5, 1–13.CrossRef
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Libster, R. (2014). The power of herd immunity. Available: https://www.ted.com/talks/romina-libster-the-power-of-herd-immunity/transcript?language=enTEDxRiodelaPlata 14:41 Filmed Nov 2014 Libster, R. (2014). The power of herd immunity. Available: https://​www.​ted.​com/​talks/​romina-libster-the-power-of-herd-immunity/​transcript?​language=​enTEDxRiodelaPla​ta 14:41 Filmed Nov 2014
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Atkinson, W. L., Pickering, L. K., Schwartz, B., Weniger, B. G., Iskander, John K., & Watson, J. C. (2002). General recommendations on immunization. Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) and the American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) MMWR Recomm Rep, 51, 1–35. Atkinson, W. L., Pickering, L. K., Schwartz, B., Weniger, B. G., Iskander, John K., & Watson, J. C. (2002). General recommendations on immunization. Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) and the American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) MMWR Recomm Rep, 51, 1–35.
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Johnson, M., Gilliam, T., & Karsai, I. (2009). The effect of infectiousness, duration of sickness, and chance of recovery on a population: A simulation study. Bios, 80, 99–104.CrossRef Johnson, M., Gilliam, T., & Karsai, I. (2009). The effect of infectiousness, duration of sickness, and chance of recovery on a population: A simulation study. Bios, 80, 99–104.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Modeling and Simulation of Resource-Constrained Vaccination Strategies and Epidemic Outbreaks
verfasst von
Rehan Ashraf
Bushra Zafar
Sohail Jabbar
Mudassar Ahmad
Syed Hassan Ahmed
Copyright-Jahr
2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96139-2_13

Neuer Inhalt