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Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 1/2017

26.07.2016 | Original Research

Modelling optimal asset allocation when households experience health shocks

verfasst von: Jiapeng Liu, Rui Lu, Ronghua Yi, Ting Zhang

Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Ausgabe 1/2017

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Abstract

Health status is an important factor in household portfolio decision-making. We develop a theoretical framework to model how households make optimal asset allocation decisions in response to health risks. Our two- and three-asset models both suggest that the maximum utility is derived when households allocate a majority of their assets to human capital. When households experience acute illness shocks, their welfare and portfolio values reduce, and they need to increase their investment in human capital. When an expensive health catastrophe befalls member(s) of households, the optimal decision for asset-rich households is to undertake medical treatment, whereas for asset-poor households it is to forgo treatment. Asset-poor households in particular require public financial assistance to enable them to invest in human capital.

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Fußnoten
1
When a cubic equation has a discriminant of \(D = \left( {\frac{q}{2}} \right)^{2} + \left( {\frac{p}{3}} \right)^{3} < 0\), \(x^{3} + px + q = 0\) has three unequal real roots. Equation (8) can be converted into \(x^{3} - 16x + 16 = 0\) and the solution can be obtained as: \(\left\{ \begin{aligned} h_{1} { = 0} . 9 2 7 3\hfill \\ h_{2} { = 0} . 2 9 8 5\hfill \\ h_{3} { = - 0} . 2 2 5 8\hfill \\ \end{aligned} \right.\).
 
2
For example, China’s Ministry of Health (2008) estimated that the total economic cost from cancer was 86.85 billion RMB (or US$10 billion) in 2003. According to a World Bank report (Wagstaff 2006, 2007), the large or “catastrophic” out-of-pocket medical spending for rural households due to severe illnesses has pushed more than 4.5 million people in China below poverty line in 2006.
 
3
This assumption is rather conservative. Featherstone and Whitham (2000) estimate that in the UK losses in productivity to cancer survivors (paid and unpaid work) are about £5.49 billion, or 30 % of total cost of £18.33 billion.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Modelling optimal asset allocation when households experience health shocks
verfasst von
Jiapeng Liu
Rui Lu
Ronghua Yi
Ting Zhang
Publikationsdatum
26.07.2016
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting / Ausgabe 1/2017
Print ISSN: 0924-865X
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7179
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-016-0589-6

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