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2021 | Buch

Money and Mathematics

A Conversational Approach to Modern Financial Mathematics and Insurance

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Über dieses Buch

This book follows a conversational approach in five dozen stories that provide an insight into the colorful world of financial mathematics and financial markets in a relaxed, accessible and entertaining form. The authors present various topics such as returns, real interest rates, present values, arbitrage, replication, options, swaps, the Black-Scholes formula and many more. The readers will learn how to discover, analyze, and deal with the many financial mathematical decisions the daily routine constantly demands.

The book covers a wide field in terms of scope and thematic diversity. Numerous stories are inspired by the fields of deterministic financial mathematics, option valuation, portfolio optimization and actuarial mathematics. The book also contains a collection of basic concepts and formulas of financial mathematics and of probability theory. Thus, also readers new to the subject will be provided with all the necessary information to verify the calculations.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter

Income Taxes, Lottery, and Lion Hunting—Elementary Mathematics

Frontmatter
1. “We Take over Your VAT!” How Big Is the Actual Discount?

If a retailer takes over the VAT, then the actual discount granted is different, where the discount is smaller.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
2. Millions Every Week, but Not for Me. Six Numbers in the Lottery

Like winning the lottery is synonymous with improbability, and yet there are winners almost every week. We explain why and propose a strategy for improving the chances of better gains.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
3. Where Did My Money Go? Loss Compensation After a Price Drop

By what percentage must a share price rise again to return to its old level after a price slump?

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
4. How Do You Catch a Lion? Finding a Zero by Halving the Interval

In many problems of financial mathematics, the solution cannot be achieved by formula conversion, but only by numerical solution methods. A simple method of this kind is clearly presented.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
5. Upside Down and Up Again. How Many Zeros Does a Polynomial Have?

To calculate the yield of bonds or other financial products, polynomial equations usually have to be solved. It is important to know how many (positive) zeros they have.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
6. “According to Adam Ries, that Comes to …” About Fusti, Freight, and Cartage

Even 500 year old tasks of the German reckoner Adam Ries are still of great interest today. They show how practice-oriented this medieval master of arithmetic was, who can quite rightly be called a business mathematician.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
7. How to Invest? The Cost-Average Effect

What is the best way to invest in fund savings plans in order to achieve a high return?

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
8. § 32a, the Politician and the Coaster. Calculating the Income Tax of a Person

Law texts can also contain mathematics. In this story, the not so simple calculation of income tax serves as an example.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
9. This Makes the Taxpayer Shudder. What Does “Cold Progression” Actually Mean?

The phenomenon of cold progression is studied in detail on a simplified tax scale.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

Interest Rates, Prices, Yields—Classical Financial Mathematics

Frontmatter
10. A Fair Deal? Or: There’s Nothing Like Starting Young

In many everyday situations one cannot avoid interest calculations. This story is about linear interest.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
11. Should I Pay the Bill Quickly? Cash Discount

An interesting, practice-relevant example of linear interest is the discount on an invoice amount.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
12. The Children of the Interest Rate Are the Grand-Children of the Capital. Compound Interest

The most common form of interest in daily life is the compound (geometric) interest. An easy way to understand introduction is given.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
13. When Will Scrooge McDuck Be Satisfied? The Doubling Problem

A frequently asked question is that of doubling a capital at a given interest rate.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
14. How Real Is Nominal? The Actual Rate of Return on a Principal

In the real development of a capital one has to take into account not only the interest rate but also inflation, which is usually forgotten or simply not considered.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
15. “Have I Learned to Calculate Correctly?” Why Dr. X. from Gifhorn Was Wrong

A very important factor in financial mathematics is time. The value of a deposit or a withdrawal always depends on the point of time when it is made. Not taking into account or not correctly including the date inevitably leads to wrong results.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
16. “What, I Have to Pay that Long?” Full Repayment of a Loan

A descriptive introduction to redemption calculation using the annuity amortization is given. In practical problems, one often encounters results, which are surprising for a layperson, e.g. concerning the time until full repayment or the total sum of all payments.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
17. The Widow of the General and the Painter. A Loan à la Chekhov

Also in novels one occasionally founds extremely interesting financial mathematical problems. For example, from a narrative written by the famous Russian novelist Chekhov one can deduce several problems of annuity calculation.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
18. Why Does Nominal not Equal Effective? The Effective Interest Rate of an Immediate Loan

Why do nominal interest rates usually differ from effective interest rates? Sub-annual interest calculation or payments during year are possible reasons.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
19. Sandwich with a Car Inside. Financing with Hooks and Eyes

Financing offers from car or furniture dealers often sound very attractive. But are they really always beneficial?

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
20. The Assiduous Clerk. Capital Certificates and Federal Bonds

The analysis of cash flows is well suited for the calculation of yields. However, the calculation is not always easy.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
21. 7500 Euros Monthly: A Lifetime. Or Better Yet, Two Millions Right Away?

In financial mathematics, the present value concept plays a central role. It is often not easy to understand it correctly because the time factor is underestimated and the timing of payments is not taken into account.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
22. Financing a Car with Zero Percent: A Bargain?

Does a zero-percent financing really always mean that the underlying interest rate is zero? An answer can be found in the calculation of yields.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
23. Interest Payments Anytime: Isn’t That Wonderful? Continuous Compounding of Interest

We give a vivid introduction to continuous interest, which is often used in financial market models.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
24. Bearer Bonds and Coupons. Bond Prices and Returns of Bonds

The financial product bond is examined in detail. Important terms are explained in a clear way.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
25. Oops! A Law Containing Formulas and Numerical Methods? The Calculation of the Effective Interest Rate According to the German Price Indication Ordinance

In the legal text of the German Price Indication Ordinance, the mathematically interested person will find detailed formulas and calculation rules for determining the effective interest rate of loans. Central terms here are the equivalence principle and the comparison of present values.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

Financial Products and Strategies—Modern Financial Mathematics

Frontmatter
26. Fair Prices and Market Prices

What is the difference between fair (i. e. theoretical) and practical prices of financial products?

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
27. The Short End and the Long End. Yield Curves, Spot Rates, and Forward Rates

Interest rates generally depend on the maturity of the considered products. While in classical financial mathematics the interest rate is usually assumed to be a fixed value, one encounters numerous situations where more detailed considerations are needed. The concept of the yield curve plays an important role here.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
28. Simple as Vanilla Ice Cream. On Standard Financial Products

The actors at the financial markets often speak of plain-vanilla products. This notion refers to products that are as simple as possible and do not have any special features.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
29. Exchanges for Mutual Benefit. Swaps

A swap is an interesting and often used financial instrument, which consists in the exchange of different cash flows for mutual benefit.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
30. The Telescope That Has Been Pushed Together. How to Calculate a Swap Rate?

In connection with swaps, the swap rate is important as the interest rate to be paid. The calculation of the swap rate leads to an interesting mathematical phenomenon—the telescope sum.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
31. Pull out Yourself of the Swamp by Your Own Hair. The Bootstrapping Method

In order to construct yield curves, one needs the corresponding spot rates. In this story we describe how spot rates can be obtained from swap rates observable at the financial markets.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
32. No Risk, No Fun! Risk Indicators of Fixed-Income Securities

The value of a bond or an other fixed-interest security changes when market interest rates change. So-called risk indicators are used to describe these changes.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
33. Sleep Well Despite Turbulent Markets? The Immunization Property of the Duration

A frequently used risk measure is duration. This quantity has several interesting features such as the immunization property.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
34. Rising Like a Phoenix from the Ashes. New Shine for Your Depot?

Certificates are financial products that are often not easy to understand. The mathematical calculation of key parameters are complicated, too.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
35. The Crop of Standing Corn. Are Speculators Really Bad People?

Forward transactions serve both hedging and speculation purposes. The sale of crop of standing corn is one of the historically first commodity futures transactions. In his novel “Buddenbrooks” Thomas Mann impressively describes how such transactions can end.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
36. Orange Juice and Pork Bellies. Forward Transactions

Not everyone who enters into commodity futures transactions actually wants to purchase the goods. Often, buying and selling (closing out) are merely for speculation.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
37. Empty Pockets and No Money. About Short Sales and No-Arbitrage Portfolios

An arbitrage possibility describes the situation if one can profit from (usually very small) price differences at different markets. In theoretical studies it is usually assumed that such possibilities do not exist. Under this assumption, fair (theoretical) prices of complicated financial products can be determined.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
38. Earning Money Without Capital and Risk. Arbitrage Transactions and Fair Prices

In practice, price differences can occur at different markets, at least for a short time. By taking advantage of arbitrage, one may be able to benefit from this phenomenon.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
39. Fibonacci and His Rabbits. A Few Words About Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis is a methodology for predicting price trends through the analysis of previous market behaviour. Fibonacci numbers play an important role in this.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

Only Rights, No Obligations—Options

Frontmatter
40. A Trip Around the World: Different Types of Options

Options are conditional forward transactions. Different types of options are presented in this story.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
41. Two Triumvirates: From Arbitrage to Speculation

The terms of yield, risk and liquidity as well as arbitrage, hedging and speculation are closely related to each other.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
42. Nothing Is for Free: The Arbitrage Principle

Does the financial market live only on gut decisions and speculation? We explain that simple principles can even lead to the Nobel Prize.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
43. How Much Do I Have to Pay for My Right? Option Pricing According to Black and Scholes

The Black–Scholes formula is a famous relation for calculating option prices. This is explained in this story using a simple example.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
44. It Takes Two: Option Pricing in the Binomial Model

We present principles of stock-price modelling with the help of the binomial model as the simplest but popular stock price model used in practice.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
45. Safe Behind the Hedge: Hedging of Stock Positions

In addition to speculation, the strategy of hedging is a common method of investing money.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
46. Wrong Calculation—Right Result: Can This Really Be? The Correct Derivation of the Risk Measure Delta

The fact that it is sometimes possible to arrive at the right result even with a wrong calculation is shown using the example of the risk indicator delta for stock options.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
47. The Greeks and the Risk: About Risk Indicators for Stock Options

The price of options changes when certain influencing factors change. So-called risk indicators are used to describe these price changes.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
48. “In, At and Out of the Money”: The Language of the Actors at the Financial Markets

Each professional discipline has its own language. Thus, the actors at the financial markets often use terms that are unusual for the layman.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
49. Volatility Determines the Option Price—Really?

The term of volatility is one of the most commonly used mathematical terms in options trading. The fact that it is sometimes used ambiguously leads to confusion, which we clarify in this story.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
50. Speculating with Options: Rich by Using Leverage?

“Only with options you can make fast money, and mainly when you buy options with a big leverage.” What sounds like a stock market wisdom is examined in detail in this story. And a big lever can also lead to really fast losses.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

It Is All in the Mix—Portfolio Theory

Frontmatter
51. A Portfolio of Shares

A brief introduction to portfolio optimization and the Markowitz model is given.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
52. Risky Investments: Everything Under Control

“You once wanted to explain to me how to get as rich as possible with mathematics. Or did you want to keep it to yourself?,” is a question that a financial mathematician is often asked. And of course, the financial mathematician’s answer will be more detailed, referring to profits and losses and pointing to balancing opportunities and risks, e. g. with the help of the Markowitz approach.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
53. Negative with a Positive Impact: Risk Reduction Using Correlation

Why do investors look for shares that develop in opposite directions? We explain the attractiveness of negative correlation and also why Markowitz received the Nobel Prize.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
54. Above Your Needs and Maybe Even More? The CPPI Strategy

Beat the market and still risk nothing is an unattainable goal. But staying above a given asset level and still participating in equity gains is the most attractive feature of the CPPI strategy explained here.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
55. High Risk Pays Off!? Sometimes: On Strategies in Stock Market Games

Why do teams with extremely risky strategies almost always win at stock market games? Why is it not worth it for yourself? We explain why a cautious approach to risk is usually more recommendable when playing with real, own money.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

The Collective Against Risks—Insurance

Frontmatter
56. A Duo Taming Uncertainty: The Law of Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem

Probability theory is a young branch of mathematics and was only accepted in Europe as a fully-fledged mathematical subject from the second half of the last century onwards. Conversely, entire branches of the finance and insurance industry would be unthinkable without two of the most prominent results of probability theory—the Law of Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
57. Do You like Classics? A German Life Insurance Concept

“Not life insurance! It’s absolutely outdated and it doesn’t give you a good return either.” That is a common saying these days. We show that the product of a classic life insurance is not at all that simple and has some features that are attractive to customers, especially if you can take advantage of the German Riester premium.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
58. More Opportunities: Dynamic Hybrid Products

Modern Riester products often contain strategies with which one can participate in the stock market but still have the guarantee of having all paid-in premiums and received subsidies available at the beginning of the pension phase. We describe dynamic three-pot hybrids.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
59. A Million Dollar Roulette in the Financial and Insurance Market? The Monte Carlo Method

Often one reads or hears about the application of so-called Monte Carlo methods in extensive calculations in the finance and insurance industry. Should it really be the case that money is put at risk by a kind of roulette in the truest sense of the word?

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
60. Insurance for Millions–Billions for the Insurer

Everyone has an insurance, be it only health insurance, liability insurance, or automobile insurance. If the premiums paid in by the insured in Germany are added up, it is easy to see that the sum reaches the billion euro range. We present some impressive figures.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
61. CRK: One Number for Risk and Return. Classification of Pension Products

Opportunities and risks play a decisive role in old-age provision products. With the help of the opportunity-risk-class, a number is presented that should allow the end consumers to decide about the pension product that fits their needs best.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
62. Living with the Mortality Table

The most important variable for the calculations of a life insurer is the expected (remaining) life time of a policyholder. The more accurately the insurer can predict it, the better it can estimate its financial risks in terms of its future payment obligations. A suitable life table is used for this purpose.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
63. What Relates Honoré de Balzac and 30 Young Geneva Girls with Life Annuities and Life Tables?

Sometimes one can find interesting financial mathematical problems in the literature. The great French novelist Balzac, for example, had an excellent knowledge of bills of exchange or life annuities, while finance ministers and bankers at that time were very creative in generating money.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
64. Sometimes It Clicks and Sometimes Not. A Riester Pension Product with Index Participation

Index participations are a modern Riester pension product. We explain how the product works and describe the role of the cliquet option, which is typically purchased once a year.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer

Theoretical Foundations—Classical and Stochastic Financial Mathematics

Frontmatter
65. Classical Financial Mathematics

A detailed description of the most important parts of classical financial mathematics is given. For linear and compound interest, special attention is paid to the final and the present value. Moreover, sub-annual and continuously compounded interest are described. In annuity calculation we consider annuities in arrears and in advance as well as the percent annuity. Finally, in price calculation the price of a general cashflow as well as the price of a (zero) bond are derived.

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
66. Stochastic Financial Mathematics

We give an overview of basic notions from probability theory including discrete probability distribution and probability distributions with density. We explain the Law of Large Numbers, the central Limit Theorem as well as the Theorem of de Moivre-Laplace. Moreover, stochastic modeling of stock prices is described with a special focus on geometric Brownian motion. Further, we give an insight into mathematical foundations of option pricing (e.g. the risk-neutral market model and the Black-Scholes formula).

Ralf Korn, Bernd Luderer
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Money and Mathematics
verfasst von
Prof. Dr. Ralf Korn
Prof. Dr. Bernd Luderer
Copyright-Jahr
2021
Electronic ISBN
978-3-658-34677-5
Print ISBN
978-3-658-34676-8
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-34677-5