Skip to main content

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

4. Nuclear Doctrine as a Continuation of Factional Politics by Other Means, 1964–1971

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This chapter analyses the period from 1964 to 1971, which followed the first nuclear test. This period was characterised by a very dangerous international environment (the Indochina War, the clash with the USSR on the Ussuri River, and paranoia about a possible Soviet decapitation nuclear attack), a complicated domestic situation (Cultural Revolution and the fall of Lin Biao) marked by hard factionalism, and a strategic debate captured by domestic struggle so that the development of the nuclear doctrine was a sort of continuation of “factionalism by other means”.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
General Curtis E. LeMay, Acting Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, to Secretary of Defence, “Study of Chinese Communist Vulnerability,” April 29, 1963, with report on “Chinese Communist Vulnerabilityattached, Top Secret (NSA: http://​nsarchive.​gwu.​edu/​NSAEBB/​NSAEBB38/​document6.​pdf).
 
2
Mao Zedong’s Talk at a Meeting of the Central Cultural Revolution Group (Excerpt), March 15, 1969 (WC/DAIHD: http://​digitalarchive.​wilsoncenter.​org/​document/​111241).
 
3
The invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968 by Warsaw Pact forces was an ominous reminder that this could really happen. As Chen Jian puts it (2001: 243): “During the height of the Cultural Revolution, and especially after the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia in August 1968, Beijing charged that the Soviet Union had become a ‘social imperialist country’. Consequently, both in the Chinese Communist definition of the ‘main contradiction’ in the world and in Chinese propaganda, ‘Soviet social-imperialism’ gradually replaced ‘US imperialism’ to become the primary and most dangerous enemy of the world proletarian revolution”.
 
4
U.S. State Department, Bureau of Intelligence and Research: Intelligence Note, “Communist China: Peking Inflates Soviet War Threat”, June 3, 1969 (NSA: http://​nsarchive.​gwu.​edu/​NSAEBB/​NSAEBB49/​sino.​sov.​4.​pdf).
 
5
Robert McNamara, Department of State Bulletin, October 9, 1967 (https://​archive.​org/​stream/​departmentofstat​571967unit#page/​442/​mode/​1up).
 
6
“According to leninist principles, party is the paramount authority of political system. It defines general guidelines, establish ‘political line’ that frames all sectorial policies and can order all other institutions to adapt to its orders” (Teiwes 2000: 113).
 
7
The charismatic nature of Maoist leadership was essential, according to Frederick Teiwes, to explaining the lack or reaction and the passive attitude of the old comrades vis-à-vis the personal attacks during the Cultural Revolution: “Undoubtedly many factors influenced the refusal to fight. The previously noted fear that a direct attack on the regime’s founder would severely damage the system served as a restraint. Another factor of some significance was the apparent belief or the hope within leading circles that, the vandalism of the Red Guards notwithstanding, Mao would ultimately act within the bounds of propriety toward long-standing comrades. Other considerations included the fact that the course of the movement would take was not clear at the outset […] Yet certainly, as at Lushan, more than fear and calculation were involved. Liu Shaoqi, Deng Xiaoping, and the others undoubtedly felt a sense of duty as they stepped off the political stage. Once again, charisma based on the revolutionary cum nationalist victory of 1949—with its traditional overtones of founding a dynasty as well—carried the day” (Teiwes 1984: 71).
 
8
Mao, when stepping down from all the main party positions, never relinquished his role as chairman of the Central Military Commission, which is the party organization that controls military power.
 
9
A faction is a social relation based on a “clientelistic tie”—a social exchange—between a political leader (who offers goods: tenure, money, security, etc.) and another actor (who offers political loyalty and support) (Nathan 1973). On the pervasiveness of factionalism in Chinese society, see also Pye (1981), and Unger (2002). For Lucien Pye, factionalism is the result of historical features of Chinese society: the search for security by politically weak peoples. For William Whitson, it is the result of the compartmentalization of the Red Army during the civil and anti-Japanese Wars: the strong links between the field armies and their commanders were the roots of the following factions (Whitson 1973).
 
10
For a convincing explanation of this attitude towards successors, based on structural characteristics of Chinese politics and not on Mao’s personality, see Huang Jing (2008).
 
11
For a different view that tends to minimize the Lin-Mao conflict on this occasion, see Teiwes and Sun (1996: 114).
 
12
On the real danger of a Soviet preventive attack against the Chinese nuclear arsenal, see the documents available at http://​nsarchive.​gwu.​edu/​NSAEBB/​NSAEBB49/​index2.​html.
 
13
As reported by Lewis and Xue: “Zhou (Enlai) summoned General Huang and four member of the CMC Administrative group and demanded to know the background of the order and its current status. Who, he asked, had named the directive ‘Vice-Chairman Lin’s No. 1 Order’, and why had they permitted secret military orders to reach the street? Whose name would be put on a possible No. 2 Order since Lin’s name has been given to the first one?” (Lewis and Xue 2006: 68).
 
14
At that time, the US intelligence community believed that the strife provoked by the Cultural Revolution had slightly retarded the implementation of the nuclear programme: “It would be reasonable to assume from these reports that the Cultural Revolution has at least lapped at the edges of the weapons program, and may indeed have penetrated deeply and perhaps disruptively into it. The extent of its interference with the program, however, and the duration of any deleterious effects are impossible to determine”. US Department of State. Director of Intelligence and Research, May 3, 1968 (NSA: http://​nsarchive.​gwu.​edu/​NSAEBB/​NSAEBB26/​docs/​doc10.​pdf).
 
15
See Chapters 1 and 3.
 
16
On this point, see Zagoria (1968), Ra’anan (1968), Yahuda (1972), Harding and Gurtov (1971), Gottlieb (1977), Gurtov and Hwang (1980).
 
17
The following section is mainly based on Gottlieb (1977).
 
19
TheGreat Proletarian Cultural Revolution.”—Abolition of Military Ranks.Purge of Communist Party, Press, and Universities.Dismissal of Mr. Peng Chen, Mr. Lu Ting-yi, and General Lo Jui-ching.Proposed Reform of Educational System.—“Anti-BourgeoisCampaign byRed Guards” (http://​www.​keesings.​com/​article/​19273).
 
20
Fourth Nuclear Test.Firing of Guided Missile with Nuclear Warhead (http://​www.​keesings.​com/​article/​55435).
 
23
In their opposition to the US, radicals were supported by the military of Lin Biao.
 
25
In early 1968, approximately 500,000 US soldiers were deployed in Vietnam.
 
26
The four marshals were Ye Jianying, Nie Rongzhen, Chen Yi and Xu Xiangqian.
 
27
Report by Four Chinese Marshals, Chen Yi, Ye Jianying, Xu Xiangqian, and Nie Rongzhen, to the Central Committee, “A Preliminary Evaluation of the War Situation(excerpt), July 11, 1969 (WC/DAIHD: http://​digitalarchive.​wilsoncenter.​org/​document/​117146).
 
28
See figures in Lewis (2007: 54).
 
29
The Lei Feng campaign is a case in point. In 1963, Lei Feng became the subject of a political propaganda campaign, “Follow the examples of Comrade Lei Feng”. Lei was portrayed as a model soldier and a good communist, and the masses were encouraged to emulate his altruism, modesty, political diligence, and devotion to Mao. The restoration of strong political control over the PLA began immediately after the dismissal of marshal Peng Dehuai in 1959 and the rise in the military ranks of Lin Biao. Lin, following Mao’s directive, immediately intensified the political education of the troops, in contrast with Luo Ruiqing, who was supportive of military training. In 1964, after three years of intensive political education, the campaign “to learn from the PLA” was launched (Gittings 1967: 254).
 
30
The following section on the Second Artillery is mainly based on Allen and Kivlehan-Wise (2005), and Lewis and Xue (2006: 174–178).
 
31
During the civil war, Xiang served in the second Field Army under Liu Bocheng and Deng Xiaoping.
 
32
“Thus, throughout its first decade, the Second Artillery struggled in near chaos to establish its professional military credentials and become a viable strategic force. Its senior officers wasted these years mostly jockeying for survival or launching political attack on their opponents, real or imagined. Even as Mao fretted about an ‘inevitable’ war with the Soviet Union and pressed the military to build a powerful strategic arsenal, his policies fostered indiscipline and indecision” (Lewis and Xue 2006: 178).
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Allen, K., & Kivlehan-Wise, M. (2005). Implementing PLA Second Artillery Doctrinal Reforms. In J. Mulvenon & D. Finkelstein (Eds.), China’s Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs: Emerging Trends in the Operational Art of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army. Santa Monica and Arlington: RAND Corporation and the CNA Corporation. Allen, K., & Kivlehan-Wise, M. (2005). Implementing PLA Second Artillery Doctrinal Reforms. In J. Mulvenon & D. Finkelstein (Eds.), China’s Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs: Emerging Trends in the Operational Art of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army. Santa Monica and Arlington: RAND Corporation and the CNA Corporation.
Zurück zum Zitat Bachman, D. (1998). Structure and Process in the Making of Chinese Foreign Policy. In S. Kim (Ed.), China and the World: Chinese Foreign Policy Faces the New Millennium. Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Bachman, D. (1998). Structure and Process in the Making of Chinese Foreign Policy. In S. Kim (Ed.), China and the World: Chinese Foreign Policy Faces the New Millennium. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, J. (2001). Mao’s China and the Cold War. Chapel Hill: The University of North Carolina Press. Chen, J. (2001). Mao’s China and the Cold War. Chapel Hill: The University of North Carolina Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Domes, J. (1968). The Cultural Revolution and the Army. Asian Survey, 8(5), 349–363.CrossRef Domes, J. (1968). The Cultural Revolution and the Army. Asian Survey, 8(5), 349–363.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fravel, M. T. (2005). Regime Insecurity and International Cooperation: Explaining China’s Compromises in Territorial Disputes. International Security, 30(2), 46–83.CrossRef Fravel, M. T. (2005). Regime Insecurity and International Cooperation: Explaining China’s Compromises in Territorial Disputes. International Security, 30(2), 46–83.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fravel, M. T. (2008). Strong Borders, Secure Nation: Cooperation and Conflict in China’s Territorial Disputes. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRef Fravel, M. T. (2008). Strong Borders, Secure Nation: Cooperation and Conflict in China’s Territorial Disputes. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fravel, M. T., & Medeiros, E. S. (2010). China’s Search for Assured Retaliation. The Evolution of Chinese Nuclear Strategy and Force Structure. International Security, 35(2), 48–87.CrossRef Fravel, M. T., & Medeiros, E. S. (2010). China’s Search for Assured Retaliation. The Evolution of Chinese Nuclear Strategy and Force Structure. International Security, 35(2), 48–87.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gill, B., & Mulvenon, J. (2002). Chinese Military-Related Think Tanks and Research Institutes. The China Quarterly, 171, 617–624.CrossRef Gill, B., & Mulvenon, J. (2002). Chinese Military-Related Think Tanks and Research Institutes. The China Quarterly, 171, 617–624.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gittings, J. (1967). The Role of the Chinese Army. London: Oxford University Press. Gittings, J. (1967). The Role of the Chinese Army. London: Oxford University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Goldstein, L. (2001). Return to Zhenbao Island: Who Started Shooting and Why It Matters. The China Quarterly, 168, 985–997. Goldstein, L. (2001). Return to Zhenbao Island: Who Started Shooting and Why It Matters. The China Quarterly, 168, 985–997.
Zurück zum Zitat Gottlieb, T. (1977). Chinese Foreign Policy Factionalism and the Origins of the Strategic Triangle. Santa Monica: RAND. Gottlieb, T. (1977). Chinese Foreign Policy Factionalism and the Origins of the Strategic Triangle. Santa Monica: RAND.
Zurück zum Zitat Gurtov, M., & Hwang, B. M. (1980). China Under Threat: The Politics of Strategy and Diplomacy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. Gurtov, M., & Hwang, B. M. (1980). China Under Threat: The Politics of Strategy and Diplomacy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Harding, H. (1997). The Chinese State in Crisis, 1966–9. In R. MacFarquhar (Ed.), The Politics of China. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Harding, H. (1997). The Chinese State in Crisis, 1966–9. In R. MacFarquhar (Ed.), The Politics of China. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Harding, H., & Gurtov, M. (1971). The Purge of Lo Jui-Ch`Ing: The Politics of Chinese Strategic Planning. Santa Monica: RAND. Harding, H., & Gurtov, M. (1971). The Purge of Lo Jui-Ch`Ing: The Politics of Chinese Strategic Planning. Santa Monica: RAND.
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, J. (2008). Factionalism in Chinese Communist Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Huang, J. (2008). Factionalism in Chinese Communist Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Johnston, A. I. (1998). China’s Interstate Dispute Behaviour 1949–1992: A First Cut at the Data. The China Quarterly, 193, 1–30.CrossRef Johnston, A. I. (1998). China’s Interstate Dispute Behaviour 1949–1992: A First Cut at the Data. The China Quarterly, 193, 1–30.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jones, D. M., Bremer, S. A., & Singer, J. D. (1996). Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816–1992: Rationale, Coding Rules, and Empirical Patterns. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 15, 163–212.CrossRef Jones, D. M., Bremer, S. A., & Singer, J. D. (1996). Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816–1992: Rationale, Coding Rules, and Empirical Patterns. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 15, 163–212.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lewis, J. (2007). The Minimum Means of Reprisal. China’s Search for Security in the Nuclear Age. Chicago: MIT Press. Lewis, J. (2007). The Minimum Means of Reprisal. China’s Search for Security in the Nuclear Age. Chicago: MIT Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Lewis, J. W., & Hua, Di. (1992). China’s Ballistic Missile Programs: Technologies, Strategies, Goals. International Security, 17(2), 5–40.CrossRef Lewis, J. W., & Hua, Di. (1992). China’s Ballistic Missile Programs: Technologies, Strategies, Goals. International Security, 17(2), 5–40.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lewis, J. W., & Xue, L. (2006). Imagined Enemies: China Prepares for Uncertain War. Stanford: Stanford University Press. Lewis, J. W., & Xue, L. (2006). Imagined Enemies: China Prepares for Uncertain War. Stanford: Stanford University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Lobell, S. E. (2009). Threat Assessmnet, the State, and Foreign Policy: A Neoclassical Realist Model. In S. E. Lobell, N. M. Ripsman, & J. W. Taliaferro (Eds.), Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Lobell, S. E. (2009). Threat Assessmnet, the State, and Foreign Policy: A Neoclassical Realist Model. In S. E. Lobell, N. M. Ripsman, & J. W. Taliaferro (Eds.), Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat MacFarquhar, R. (1997). The Succession to Mao and the End of Maoism, 1969–82. In R. MacFarquhar (Ed.), The Politics of China. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. MacFarquhar, R. (1997). The Succession to Mao and the End of Maoism, 1969–82. In R. MacFarquhar (Ed.), The Politics of China. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat MacFarquhar, R., & Shoenhals, M. (2008). Mao’s Last Revolution. New York: Belknap Press. MacFarquhar, R., & Shoenhals, M. (2008). Mao’s Last Revolution. New York: Belknap Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Nathan, A. J. (1973). A Factionalism Model for CCP Politics. The China Quarterly, 53, 34–66. Nathan, A. J. (1973). A Factionalism Model for CCP Politics. The China Quarterly, 53, 34–66.
Zurück zum Zitat Nie, R. (1988). Inside the Red Star: The Memoirs of Marshal Nie Rongzhen. Beijing: New World Press. Nie, R. (1988). Inside the Red Star: The Memoirs of Marshal Nie Rongzhen. Beijing: New World Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Pye, L. (1981). The Dynamics of Chinese Politics. Cambridge: Oelgeschlager, Gunn & Hain. Pye, L. (1981). The Dynamics of Chinese Politics. Cambridge: Oelgeschlager, Gunn & Hain.
Zurück zum Zitat Ra’anan, U. (1968). Peking’s Foreign Policy Debate, 1965–66. In T. Tsou (Ed.), China in Crisis (Vol. 2). Chicago: Chicago University Press. Ra’anan, U. (1968). Peking’s Foreign Policy Debate, 1965–66. In T. Tsou (Ed.), China in Crisis (Vol. 2). Chicago: Chicago University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Robinson, T. (2003). The Sino-Soviet Border Conflict of 1969: New Evidence Three Decades Later. In M. A. Ryan, D. M. Finklestein, & M. McDevitt (Eds.), Chinese Warfighting: The PLA Experience Since 1949. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe. Robinson, T. (2003). The Sino-Soviet Border Conflict of 1969: New Evidence Three Decades Later. In M. A. Ryan, D. M. Finklestein, & M. McDevitt (Eds.), Chinese Warfighting: The PLA Experience Since 1949. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.
Zurück zum Zitat Schwartz, B. (1960). Totalitarian Consolidation and the Chinese Model. The China Quarterly, (1, 2): 18–21, 35–42. Schwartz, B. (1960). Totalitarian Consolidation and the Chinese Model. The China Quarterly, (1, 2): 18–21, 35–42.
Zurück zum Zitat Shambaugh, D. (2002). Modernizing China’s Military. Berkeley: University of California Press. Shambaugh, D. (2002). Modernizing China’s Military. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Teiwes, F. C. (1984). Leadership, Legitimacy, and Conflict in China: From a Charismatic Mao to the Politics of Succession. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.CrossRef Teiwes, F. C. (1984). Leadership, Legitimacy, and Conflict in China: From a Charismatic Mao to the Politics of Succession. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Teiwes, F. C. (1993). Politics and Purge in China. Rectifications and the Decline of Party Norms. 1950–1965. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe. Teiwes, F. C. (1993). Politics and Purge in China. Rectifications and the Decline of Party Norms. 1950–1965. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.
Zurück zum Zitat Teiwes, F. C. (2000). The Chinese State During the Maoist Era. In D. Shambaugh (Ed.), The Modern Chinese State. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Teiwes, F. C. (2000). The Chinese State During the Maoist Era. In D. Shambaugh (Ed.), The Modern Chinese State. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Teiwes, F. C., & Sun, W. (1996). Riding the Tiger During the Cultural Revolution. The Tragedy of Lin Biao. Honolulu: The University of Hawaii Press. Teiwes, F. C., & Sun, W. (1996). Riding the Tiger During the Cultural Revolution. The Tragedy of Lin Biao. Honolulu: The University of Hawaii Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Tsou, T. (2002). Chinese Politics at the Top: Factionalism or Informal Politics? Balance-of-Power or a Game to Win All? In J. Unger (Ed.), The Nature of Chinese Politics: From Mao to Jiang. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe. Tsou, T. (2002). Chinese Politics at the Top: Factionalism or Informal Politics? Balance-of-Power or a Game to Win All? In J. Unger (Ed.), The Nature of Chinese Politics: From Mao to Jiang. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.
Zurück zum Zitat Unger, J. (Ed.). (2002). The Nature of Chinese Politics: From Mao to Jiang. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe. Unger, J. (Ed.). (2002). The Nature of Chinese Politics: From Mao to Jiang. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.
Zurück zum Zitat Whiting, A. S. (1975). The Chinese Calculus of Deterrence. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. Whiting, A. S. (1975). The Chinese Calculus of Deterrence. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Whiting, A. S. (2001). China’s Use of Force, 1950–1996, and Taiwan. International Security, 26(2), 103–131.CrossRef Whiting, A. S. (2001). China’s Use of Force, 1950–1996, and Taiwan. International Security, 26(2), 103–131.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xu, J. (2015). Analysis of 1969’s ‘Order Number One’. In X. Zhang (Ed.), Selected Essays on the History of Contemporary China. Leiden: Brill. Xu, J. (2015). Analysis of 1969’s ‘Order Number One’. In X. Zhang (Ed.), Selected Essays on the History of Contemporary China. Leiden: Brill.
Zurück zum Zitat Yahuda, M. (1972). Kremlinology and the Chinese Strategic Debate, 1965–66. China Quarterly, 49, 32–75.CrossRef Yahuda, M. (1972). Kremlinology and the Chinese Strategic Debate, 1965–66. China Quarterly, 49, 32–75.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zagoria, D. (1968). The Strategic Debate in Peking. In T. Tsou (Ed.), China in Crisis (Vol. 2). Chicago: Chicago University Press. Zagoria, D. (1968). The Strategic Debate in Peking. In T. Tsou (Ed.), China in Crisis (Vol. 2). Chicago: Chicago University Press.
Metadaten
Titel
Nuclear Doctrine as a Continuation of Factional Politics by Other Means, 1964–1971
verfasst von
Paolo Rosa
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78640-7_4