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Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation 3/2013

01.03.2013 | Original Paper

Occupancy modelling as a new approach to assess supranational trends using opportunistic data: a pilot study for the damselfly Calopteryx splendens

verfasst von: Arco J. van Strien, Tim Termaat, Vincent Kalkman, Marijn Prins, Geert De Knijf, Anne-Laure Gourmand, Xavier Houard, Brian Nelson, Calijn Plate, Stephen Prentice, Eugenie Regan, David Smallshire, Cédric Vanappelghem, Wouter Vanreusel

Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation | Ausgabe 3/2013

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Abstract

There is limited information available on changes in biodiversity at the European scale, because there is a lack of data from standardised monitoring for most species groups. However, a great number of observations made without a standardised field protocol is available in many countries for many species. Such opportunistic data offer an alternative source of information, but unfortunately such data suffer from non-standardised observation effort and geographical bias. Here we describe a new approach to compiling supranational trends using opportunistic data which adjusts for these two major imperfections. The non-standardised observation effort is dealt with by occupancy modelling, and the unequal geographical distribution of sites by a weighting procedure. The damselfly Calopteryx splendens was chosen as our test species. The data were collected from five countries (Ireland, Great Britain, the Netherlands, Belgium and France), covering the period 1990–2008. We used occupancy models to estimate the annual number of occupied 1 × 1 km sites per country. Occupancy models use presence-absence data, account for imperfect detection of species, and thereby correct for between-year variability in observation effort. The occupancy models were run per country in a Bayesian mode of inference using JAGS. The occupancy estimates per country were then aggregated to assess the supranational trend in the number of occupied 1 × 1 km2. To adjust for the unequal geographical distribution of surveyed sites, we weighted the countries according to the number of sites surveyed and the range of the species per country. The distribution of C. splendens has increased significantly in the combined five countries. Our trial demonstrated that a supranational trend in distribution can be derived from opportunistic data, while adjusting for observation effort and geographical bias. This opens new perspectives for international monitoring of biodiversity.

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Metadaten
Titel
Occupancy modelling as a new approach to assess supranational trends using opportunistic data: a pilot study for the damselfly Calopteryx splendens
verfasst von
Arco J. van Strien
Tim Termaat
Vincent Kalkman
Marijn Prins
Geert De Knijf
Anne-Laure Gourmand
Xavier Houard
Brian Nelson
Calijn Plate
Stephen Prentice
Eugenie Regan
David Smallshire
Cédric Vanappelghem
Wouter Vanreusel
Publikationsdatum
01.03.2013
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Biodiversity and Conservation / Ausgabe 3/2013
Print ISSN: 0960-3115
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9710
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-013-0436-1

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