On the Rationality of Kidnaps, Blackguards, and Hostages

In recent years the problem of terrorism has been addressed within a game-theoretic framework. In particular Lapan and Sandler [1988] and Lee [1988] analyze optimal governmental antiterrorist policies confronting politically motivated terroristic acts like e.g. skyjacking. A distinguishing feature of those analyses is that the perception of success of a terroristic attack (e.g., anticipated concessions of the government) is not assumed to be the only reason why those attacks occur in the first place. According to this literature benefits derived from publicity or martyrdom going along with terroristic action could explain terrorist activity, no matter what reactions government might take. In particular a precommitment not to concede is not ueccessarily a cure-all policy to prevent terrorism.