Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Quality & Quantity 2/2019

18.06.2018

On the relationship between weather and Agricultural Commodity Index in India: a study with reference to Dhaanya of NCDEX

verfasst von: Chinnadurai Kathiravan, Murugesan Selvam, Desti Kannaiah, Kasilingam Lingaraja, Vadivel Thanikachalam

Erschienen in: Quality & Quantity | Ausgabe 2/2019

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This paper proposes to investigate the Co Movement and Causal Relationship, among the three weather factors (temperature, humidity, and wind speed) and the returns of the Agriculture Commodity Index called Dhaanya, in India. The study employed the secondary daily data of weather in five sample cities (Chennai, Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata and Hyderabad), and Agriculture Commodity Index called Dhaanya, in India. Statistical tools like Descriptive Statistics, Unit Root, Correlation Matrix, and Granger Causality Test were employed. This study found that the temperature and wind speed influenced the investors’ mood in Chennai and Mumbai, in respect of Agriculture Commodity Index, namely Dhaanya. The findings of this study would help the investors in making investment decisions rationally, on the basis of weather condition.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Cao, M., Wei, J.: Stock market returns: a note on temperature anomaly. J. Bank. Finance 29(6), 1559–1573 (2005)CrossRef Cao, M., Wei, J.: Stock market returns: a note on temperature anomaly. J. Bank. Finance 29(6), 1559–1573 (2005)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cunningham, M.R.: Weather, mood, and helping behavior: quasi experiments with the sunshine Samaritan. J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 37(11), 1947 (1979)CrossRef Cunningham, M.R.: Weather, mood, and helping behavior: quasi experiments with the sunshine Samaritan. J. Pers. Soc. Psychol. 37(11), 1947 (1979)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dowling, M., , B.M.: Weather, biorhythms, beliefs and stock returns – some preliminary Irish evidence. Int. Rev. Financial Anal. 14(3), 337–355 (2005)CrossRef Dowling, M., , B.M.: Weather, biorhythms, beliefs and stock returns – some preliminary Irish evidence. Int. Rev. Financial Anal. 14(3), 337–355 (2005)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Etzioni, A.: Moral Dimension: Toward A New Economics. Free Press, Nariman Point (2010) Etzioni, A.: Moral Dimension: Toward A New Economics. Free Press, Nariman Point (2010)
Zurück zum Zitat Gilbert, C.L., Morgan, C.W.: Food price volatility. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 365, 3023–3034 (2010)CrossRef Gilbert, C.L., Morgan, C.W.: Food price volatility. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 365, 3023–3034 (2010)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Headey, D., Fan, S.: Anatomy of a crisis: the causes and consequences of surging food prices. Agric. Econ. 39(supplement), 275–391 (2008) Headey, D., Fan, S.: Anatomy of a crisis: the causes and consequences of surging food prices. Agric. Econ. 39(supplement), 275–391 (2008)
Zurück zum Zitat Hirshleifer, D., Shumway, T.: Good day sunshine: stock returns and the weather. J. Financ. 58(3), 1009–1032 (2003)CrossRef Hirshleifer, D., Shumway, T.: Good day sunshine: stock returns and the weather. J. Financ. 58(3), 1009–1032 (2003)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Howarth, E., Hoffman, M.S.: A multidimensional approach to the relationship between mood and weather. Br. J. Psychol. 75(1), 15–23 (1984)CrossRef Howarth, E., Hoffman, M.S.: A multidimensional approach to the relationship between mood and weather. Br. J. Psychol. 75(1), 15–23 (1984)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Isen, A.M.: The influence of positive affect on cognitive organization: some implications for consumer decision making in response to advertising. In: Mitchell, A. (ed.) Advertising Exposure, Memory, and Choice, pp. 239–258. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates Inc, Hillsdale, NJ (1993) Isen, A.M.: The influence of positive affect on cognitive organization: some implications for consumer decision making in response to advertising. In: Mitchell, A. (ed.) Advertising Exposure, Memory, and Choice, pp. 239–258. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates Inc, Hillsdale, NJ (1993)
Zurück zum Zitat Jolejole-Foreman, M., and Mallory, M.: Analyzing Market Price Transmission, Government Intervention and Weather Shocks for Rice Market in the Philippines. [Selected Paper prepared for Presentation at the Agricultural & Applied Economics Association’s 2011 AAEA & NAREA Joint Annual Meeting, Pittsburgh, July 24–26, 2011] (2011) Jolejole-Foreman, M., and Mallory, M.: Analyzing Market Price Transmission, Government Intervention and Weather Shocks for Rice Market in the Philippines. [Selected Paper prepared for Presentation at the Agricultural & Applied Economics Association’s 2011 AAEA & NAREA Joint Annual Meeting, Pittsburgh, July 24–26, 2011] (2011)
Zurück zum Zitat Jung, K., Park, H.W.: Interaction among networks in the age of “Big Data”: social, knowledge, innovation, and triple-helix networks. J. Contemp. East. Asia 13(1), 1–4 (2014)CrossRef Jung, K., Park, H.W.: Interaction among networks in the age of “Big Data”: social, knowledge, innovation, and triple-helix networks. J. Contemp. East. Asia 13(1), 1–4 (2014)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kals, W.S.: Your Health, Your Moods and the Weather. Doubleday, New York, NY (1982) Kals, W.S.: Your Health, Your Moods and the Weather. Doubleday, New York, NY (1982)
Zurück zum Zitat Kamstra, M.J., Kramer, L.A., Levi, M.D.: Winter blues: a SAD stock market cycle. Am. Econ. Rev. 93(1), 324–343 (2003)CrossRef Kamstra, M.J., Kramer, L.A., Levi, M.D.: Winter blues: a SAD stock market cycle. Am. Econ. Rev. 93(1), 324–343 (2003)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kathiravan, C., Selvam, M., Venkateswar, S., Lingaraja, K., Oli, S.M.: Effect of temperature on stock market indices: a study on BSE and NSE in India. Int. J. Econ. Res. 14(18), 171–181 (2017) Kathiravan, C., Selvam, M., Venkateswar, S., Lingaraja, K., Oli, S.M.: Effect of temperature on stock market indices: a study on BSE and NSE in India. Int. J. Econ. Res. 14(18), 171–181 (2017)
Zurück zum Zitat Kathiravan, C., Selvam, M., Venkateswar, S., Lingaraja, K., Vasani, S.A., Kannaiah, D.: An empirical investigation of the inter-linkages of stock returns and the weather at the Indian stock exchange. Acad. Strateg. Manag. J. 17(1), 1–14 (2018) Kathiravan, C., Selvam, M., Venkateswar, S., Lingaraja, K., Vasani, S.A., Kannaiah, D.: An empirical investigation of the inter-linkages of stock returns and the weather at the Indian stock exchange. Acad. Strateg. Manag. J. 17(1), 1–14 (2018)
Zurück zum Zitat Lingaraja, K., Selvam, M., Vasanth, V.: Co movements and inter-linkages among emerging and developed stock markets in Asia with reference to Singapore stock exchange. Int. Res. J. Financ. Econ. 122, 102–120 (2014) Lingaraja, K., Selvam, M., Vasanth, V.: Co movements and inter-linkages among emerging and developed stock markets in Asia with reference to Singapore stock exchange. Int. Res. J. Financ. Econ. 122, 102–120 (2014)
Zurück zum Zitat Loewenstein, G.F., Weber, E.U., Hsee, C.K., Welch, N.: Risk as feelings. Psychol. Bull. 127(2), 267 (2001)CrossRef Loewenstein, G.F., Weber, E.U., Hsee, C.K., Welch, N.: Risk as feelings. Psychol. Bull. 127(2), 267 (2001)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lu, J., Chou, R.K.: Does the weather have impacts on returns and trading activities in order-driven stock markets? Evidence from China. J. Empir. Finance 19(1), 79–93 (2012)CrossRef Lu, J., Chou, R.K.: Does the weather have impacts on returns and trading activities in order-driven stock markets? Evidence from China. J. Empir. Finance 19(1), 79–93 (2012)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mehra, R., Sah, R.: Mood fluctuations, projection bias, and volatility of equity prices. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 26(5), 869–887 (2002)CrossRef Mehra, R., Sah, R.: Mood fluctuations, projection bias, and volatility of equity prices. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 26(5), 869–887 (2002)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Park, H.W.: Youtubers’ networking activities during the 2016 South Korea earthquake. Quality & quantity. Int. J. Methodol. 52(3), 1057–1068 (2018) Park, H.W.: Youtubers’ networking activities during the 2016 South Korea earthquake. Quality & quantity. Int. J. Methodol. 52(3), 1057–1068 (2018)
Zurück zum Zitat Porter, J.R., Xie, L., Challinor, A.J., Cochrane, K., Howden, S.M., Iqbal, M.M., Lobell, D.B., Travasso, M.I.: Food security and food production systems. In: Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J., Mach, K.J., Mastrandrea, M.D., Bilir, T.E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K.L., Estrada, Y.O., Genova, R.C., Girma, B., Kissel, E.S., Levy, A.N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P.R., White, L.L. (eds.) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 485–533. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2014) Porter, J.R., Xie, L., Challinor, A.J., Cochrane, K., Howden, S.M., Iqbal, M.M., Lobell, D.B., Travasso, M.I.: Food security and food production systems. In: Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J., Mach, K.J., Mastrandrea, M.D., Bilir, T.E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K.L., Estrada, Y.O., Genova, R.C., Girma, B., Kissel, E.S., Levy, A.N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P.R., White, L.L. (eds.) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 485–533. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2014)
Zurück zum Zitat Romer, P.M.: Thinking and feeling. Am. Econ. Rev. 90(2), 439–443 (2000)CrossRef Romer, P.M.: Thinking and feeling. Am. Econ. Rev. 90(2), 439–443 (2000)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Saunders, E.M.: Stock prices and wall street weather. Am. Econ. Rev. 83(5), 1337–1345 (1993) Saunders, E.M.: Stock prices and wall street weather. Am. Econ. Rev. 83(5), 1337–1345 (1993)
Zurück zum Zitat Schwarz, N.: Feelings as information: information and motivational functions of affective states. Handb. Motiv. Cognit. 2, 527–561 (1990) Schwarz, N.: Feelings as information: information and motivational functions of affective states. Handb. Motiv. Cognit. 2, 527–561 (1990)
Zurück zum Zitat Shapiro, M.A., Park, H.W.: Climate change and youtube: deliberation potential in post-video discussions. Environ. Commun. 12(1), 115–131 (2018)CrossRef Shapiro, M.A., Park, H.W.: Climate change and youtube: deliberation potential in post-video discussions. Environ. Commun. 12(1), 115–131 (2018)CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Torero, M., von Braun, J. Alternative mechanisms to reduce food price volatility and price spikes. In: Paper Presented at the International Food & Agricultural Trade Policy Council. May 2010. Barcelona, Spain (2010) Torero, M., von Braun, J. Alternative mechanisms to reduce food price volatility and price spikes. In: Paper Presented at the International Food & Agricultural Trade Policy Council. May 2010. Barcelona, Spain (2010)
Zurück zum Zitat Viswanathan, P.N., Krishnamurti, C.R.: Effects of temperature and humidity on ecotoxicology of chemicals, pp. 139–154. Wiley, New York (1989) Viswanathan, P.N., Krishnamurti, C.R.: Effects of temperature and humidity on ecotoxicology of chemicals, pp. 139–154. Wiley, New York (1989)
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, Y.-H., Lin, C.-T., Lin, J.D.: Does weather impact the stock market? Empirical evidence in Taiwan. Qual Quant. 46, 695–703 (2012)CrossRef Wang, Y.-H., Lin, C.-T., Lin, J.D.: Does weather impact the stock market? Empirical evidence in Taiwan. Qual Quant. 46, 695–703 (2012)CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
On the relationship between weather and Agricultural Commodity Index in India: a study with reference to Dhaanya of NCDEX
verfasst von
Chinnadurai Kathiravan
Murugesan Selvam
Desti Kannaiah
Kasilingam Lingaraja
Vadivel Thanikachalam
Publikationsdatum
18.06.2018
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Quality & Quantity / Ausgabe 2/2019
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0782-x

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 2/2019

Quality & Quantity 2/2019 Zur Ausgabe