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Erschienen in: Mathematics and Financial Economics 2/2015

01.03.2015

Optimal acquisition of a partially hedgeable house

Erschienen in: Mathematics and Financial Economics | Ausgabe 2/2015

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Abstract

We characterize the optimal time to purchase a house by a risk-averse investor who has access to complete financial markets and whose objective is to maximize expected utility from wealth at some fixed horizon. The house purchase is financially attractive (due to high expected returns or tax deductions, for example), which provides an incentive to buy as soon as possible; however, its value is only partially correlated with financial markets and, therefore, its price risk cannot be perfectly hedged, which provides an incentive to delay purchase. Using martingale duality method, we fully characterize the optimal terminal wealth in the case of CARA utility, so that we can generate simple numerical solutions for different parameter values, and study the trade-off between the two conflicting incentives. We derive more explicit results when the price follows a Gaussian process. In particular, we identify conditions under which an optimal stopping time is deterministic.

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Fußnoten
1
According to the US Census, in 2009 about 2/3 of occupied homes were occupied by their owner. This is in line with rates for other developing countries.
 
2
For example, Piazzesi et al. [19] report a very low correlation—0.05—between stock market returns and returns on a widely used index of house prices. A similar result is reported by Flavin and Yamashita [10].
 
3
Unfortunately, the martingale duality method doesn’t seem to work when \(I(.)\) is also correlated with \(W^{2}.\)
 
4
Malliavin derivatives have become a standard tool in finance and can often be computed explicitly. For an introduction to the notion of Malliavin derivatives, see [1, 8, 9, 18].
 
5
See, for example, Schachermayer and Teichmann [20] for a similar result in comparing these two models in an option pricing application.
 
6
This is straightforward when we have an explicit expression for the Malliavin derivatives, as in the case of deterministic coefficients. Otherwise, it would also be possible to approximate numerically the Malliavin derivatives following the method described in [7].
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Optimal acquisition of a partially hedgeable house
Publikationsdatum
01.03.2015
Erschienen in
Mathematics and Financial Economics / Ausgabe 2/2015
Print ISSN: 1862-9679
Elektronische ISSN: 1862-9660
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11579-014-0137-x