2009 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Efficient Numerical Simulation
verfasst von : Christophe Andrieu, Arnaud Doucet, Roman Holenstein
Erschienen in: Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2008
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are the two most popular classes of algorithms used to sample from general high-dimensional probability distributions. The theoretical convergence of MCMC algorithms is ensured under weak assumptions, but their practical performance is notoriously unsatisfactory when the proposal distributions used to explore the space are poorly chosen and/or if highly correlated variables are updated independently. We show here how it is possible to systematically design potentially very efficient high-dimensional proposal distributions for MCMC by using SMC techniques. We demonstrate how this novel approach allows us to design effective MCMC algorithms in complex scenarios. This is illustrated by a problem of Bayesian inference for a stochastic kinetic model.