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Erschienen in: Social Indicators Research 1/2016

05.04.2015

Perceptions of the Economic Crisis in Europe: Do Adults in Households with Children Feel a Greater Impact?

verfasst von: Yekaterina Chzhen

Erschienen in: Social Indicators Research | Ausgabe 1/2016

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Abstract

More than 5 years since the outbreak of the global financial crisis, a flurry of evidence is emerging on the effects of the ensuing economic downturn on unemployment and poverty rates in rich countries, but less is known about cross-country differences in subjective assessments of the crisis and whether adults in households with children were affected to a greater extent. This paper investigates differences in the perceived impact of the economic crisis between adults in households with and without children in 17 European countries, using data from the Life in Transition Survey 2010 in a multilevel modelling framework. It also explores differences in the coping strategies that households adopted to deal with the decline in income or economic activity. Everything else being equal, perceptions of the crisis were more widespread in countries with higher rates of child poverty, lower economic growth and lower GDP per capita. Across countries, perceptions of the crisis closely trailed subjective indicators of financial difficulties from other international surveys conducted in 2010. Adults in households with children were more likely to report an impact of the crisis, with larger differences in countries with higher rates of monetary child poverty. Adults in households with children also adopted a greater variety of coping strategies than the rest, prioritizing expenditure on basic necessities, while cutting back on luxuries and holidays. Nevertheless, many still reported reduced consumption of staple foods as a result of economic difficulties.

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Fußnoten
2
The European Social Survey covers more of the EU member states than the LiTS II and has richer socio-demographic information but it does not include questions about the effects of the crisis.
 
3
Financial fragility is defined as self-reported inability to raise $2000 in 30 days (Lusardi et al. 2011).
 
4
Estimated using the same poverty line in both years (60 % of the median equivalized disposable household income in 2008, uprated for inflation in 2012).
 
5
The Flash Eurobarometer 311 was in the field on October 6–10, 2010 (TNS Political & Social 2011: 99). The Gallup World Poll 2010 was conducted in the countries studied here at different times throughout the year, but generally in spring-summer 2010 (Gallup 2012).
 
6
Data are downloaded from Gallup Analytics via a paid institutional subscription.
 
7
The child poverty rate in 2010 is the proportion of children living in households with equivalent disposable income (after taxes and transfers but before housing costs) below 60 % of the 2008 national median uprated for consumer price inflation in the intervening years. This ‘anchored’ measure of poverty is suitable for the analysis of child poverty during the economic crisis because it avoids the problem of artificially reduced poverty rates due to the fall in median incomes (see Social Protection Committee 2014).
 
8
There is no data for Croatia and Turkey in the Flash Eurobarometer 311 (2010).
 
9
If the estimates are based on respondents with children in the household (under 18 in the LiTS II and under 15 in the Flash Eurobarometer 311), the correlation is roughly the same (r = 0.75).
 
10
Because Estonia and Latvia were not present in the 2010 World Gallup Poll survey, the average of the rates for 2009 and 2011 were used for these two countries instead.
 
11
A linear regression of the subjective impact of the crisis indicator on the child poverty rate has the adjusted R-squared of 0.35. The adjusted R-squared accounts for the number of predictors relative to the number of cases in the model. Thus, it is lower than the correlation coefficient squared (0.63^2 = 0.40).
 
12
Although in Croatia, Latvia and Lithuania increases in child poverty went hand in hand with widespread reports of impact of the crisis by adults with children, while Poland, Slovakia and Sweden, where child poverty decreased, recorded some of the lowest perceived effects of the crisis, there were two influential outliers. In spite of significant decreases in child poverty between 2008 and 2010, the vast majority of adults with children in Bulgaria (78 %) and Romania (74 %) reported having been affected by the crisis a fair amount or a great deal.
 
13
However, the effect of child poverty is marginally significant at p = 0.053 and the effect of GDP per capita is significant at p < 0.10.
 
14
For consistency with the EBRD (2011, p. 115), “democratic weights” adjusting for population size are used to estimate the combined sample average, i.e. rather than equal “federal” weights.
 
15
The percentage of non-valid responses (“Don’t know” or “Refused”) was under 6 % in all the countries except Poland (13 %). In Poland, respondents were more likely to withhold a valid answer if they lived in: female-headed households, those headed by an over-65-year-old, households without children, and those with the main sources of income coming from pensions.
 
16
EBRD (2011) and Bidani et al. (2012) also control for the household consumption level (terciles of the national equivalised household consumption distribution) and asset ownership (i.e. car, secondary residence, mobile phone, bank account). As these variables are measured contemporaneously with the subjective perceptions of the crisis, their effects on the crisis perceptions are likely to be endogenous. They are, therefore, excluded for the current analysis.
 
17
Exp(0.27) = 1.31.
 
18
Exp(10*0.04) = 1.49.
 
19
Full regression estimates available on request from the author.
 
20
Exp(0.16) = 1.17.
 
21
Exp(10*0.04) = 1.49.
 
22
The questionnaire does not specify the reasons these benefits were applied for: “In the past 12 months has anyone in your household applied for any of the following benefits? Unemployment benefit, housing benefit, child support, Targeted Social Assistance/Guaranteed Minimum Income.”
 
23
However, there were no significant differences between adults with children and the rest in the probability of reporting an active coping strategy among those who said they had been affected by the crisis a fair amount or a great deal.
 
24
40 % among adults with children who reported having been affected by the crisis a fair amount or a great deal.
 
25
Produced by averaging the rates across 15 countries.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Perceptions of the Economic Crisis in Europe: Do Adults in Households with Children Feel a Greater Impact?
verfasst von
Yekaterina Chzhen
Publikationsdatum
05.04.2015
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Social Indicators Research / Ausgabe 1/2016
Print ISSN: 0303-8300
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-0921
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-0956-z

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