Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of Quantitative Economics 3/2018

15.09.2017 | Original Article

Performance and Persistence in Performance of Actively Managed Chinese Equity Funds

verfasst von: Zia-ur-Rehman Rao, Tanveer Ahsan, Muhammad Zubair Tauni, Muhammad Umar

Erschienen in: Journal of Quantitative Economics | Ausgabe 3/2018

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The aim of this study is to analyze performance of mutual funds of biggest emerging economy i.e. China. Examining Chinese mutual funds’ performance provides an opportunity to assess the ability of fund managers to outperform the benchmark market. We study the equity mutual funds of China by taking the sample of 707 funds for the period from 2004 to 2015 and evaluate their performance using Capital Asset Pricing Model, Fama–French three factor model and Carhart four factor model. It is found that mutual funds in China give better return than the benchmark market return which means that active management pays better than passive management in mutual fund industry. Moreover, this study also investigates the existence of persistence in the performance of mutual funds and findings indicate that mutual funds in China are not consistent in their performance. Winner (Top-Performing) funds of last year do not continue to be winner funds in the following year and loser funds of previous year give better return in the following year. Overall findings indicate the non-existence of persistence in the performance of Chinese mutual funds.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
In US, there were 26,708 funds at the end of year 2009, out of which 9713 funds were domestic equity funds and if those funds are excluded who invest less than 50% in common shares, the remaining funds were still 9204 whereas in China, the number of actively managed equity funds were fewer than 350 in year 2009 (Jun et al. 2014).
 
3
Survivorship bias is a big issue in empirical research of asset pricing. If inactive or liquidated funds are excluded from the sample, return on mutual funds exhibit upward bias. Mutual funds near to liquidation show inferior performance, otherwise they will survive successfully. Their omission results in the upward bias of mutual funds’ return (Brown and Goetzmann 1995).
 
4
US mutual funds witness the compounded annual growth rate of 16% between 1980 and 2007 (Wahal and Wang 2011). Jun et al. (2014) find that Chinese mutual funds grow at 52.4% (compounded annual growth rate) from 2004 to 2009.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Abdel-Kader, M., and K.Y. Qing. 2007. Risk-adjusted performance, selectivity, timing ability, and performance persistence of Hong Kong mutual funds. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business 8 (2): 25–58.CrossRef Abdel-Kader, M., and K.Y. Qing. 2007. Risk-adjusted performance, selectivity, timing ability, and performance persistence of Hong Kong mutual funds. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business 8 (2): 25–58.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Agarwal, V., and N.Y. Naik. 2000. Multi-period Performance Persistence Analysis of Hedge Funds. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 35 (3): 327–342. Agarwal, V., and N.Y. Naik. 2000. Multi-period Performance Persistence Analysis of Hedge Funds. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 35 (3): 327–342.
Zurück zum Zitat Allen, D.E., and M.L. Tan. 1999. A Test of the Persistence in the Performance of UK Managed Funds. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 26 (5–6): 559–593.CrossRef Allen, D.E., and M.L. Tan. 1999. A Test of the Persistence in the Performance of UK Managed Funds. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 26 (5–6): 559–593.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Avramov, D., and W. Russ. 2006. Investing in mutual funds when returns are predictable. Journal of Financial Economics 81: 339–377.CrossRef Avramov, D., and W. Russ. 2006. Investing in mutual funds when returns are predictable. Journal of Financial Economics 81: 339–377.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Barras, L., O. Scaillet, and R. Wermers. 2010. False discoveries in mutual fund performance: measuring luck in estimated alphas. Journal of Finance 65: 179–216.CrossRef Barras, L., O. Scaillet, and R. Wermers. 2010. False discoveries in mutual fund performance: measuring luck in estimated alphas. Journal of Finance 65: 179–216.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Benos, E., and M. Jochec. 2011. Short term persistence in mutual fund market timing and stock selection abilities. Annals of Finance 7 (2): 221–246.CrossRef Benos, E., and M. Jochec. 2011. Short term persistence in mutual fund market timing and stock selection abilities. Annals of Finance 7 (2): 221–246.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Berk, J.B., R.C. Green, and V. Naik. 2004. Valuation and return dynamics of new ventures. Review of Financial Studies 17 (1): 1–35.CrossRef Berk, J.B., R.C. Green, and V. Naik. 2004. Valuation and return dynamics of new ventures. Review of Financial Studies 17 (1): 1–35.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bialkowski, J., and R. Otten. 2011. Emerging market mutual fund performance: Evidence for Poland. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance 22 (2): 118–130.CrossRef Bialkowski, J., and R. Otten. 2011. Emerging market mutual fund performance: Evidence for Poland. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance 22 (2): 118–130.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bollen, N.P.B., and J.A. Busse. 2005. Short-term persistence in mutual fund performance. Review of Financial Studies 18: 569–597.CrossRef Bollen, N.P.B., and J.A. Busse. 2005. Short-term persistence in mutual fund performance. Review of Financial Studies 18: 569–597.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Brown, S.J., and Goetzmann, W.N. 1995. Performance persistence.Journal of Finance 50 (2): 679–698. Brown, S.J., and Goetzmann, W.N. 1995. Performance persistence.Journal of Finance 50 (2): 679–698.
Zurück zum Zitat Brown, K.C., and F.K. Reily. 2009. Analysis of investments and management of portfolios. Singapore: South-Western Cengage Learning. Brown, K.C., and F.K. Reily. 2009. Analysis of investments and management of portfolios. Singapore: South-Western Cengage Learning.
Zurück zum Zitat Busse, J., A. Goyal, and S. Wahal. 2010. Performance and persistence in institutional investment management. Journal of Finance 65: 765–790.CrossRef Busse, J., A. Goyal, and S. Wahal. 2010. Performance and persistence in institutional investment management. Journal of Finance 65: 765–790.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Carhart, M.M. 1997. On persistence in mutual fund performance. The Journal of Finance 52 (1): 57–82.CrossRef Carhart, M.M. 1997. On persistence in mutual fund performance. The Journal of Finance 52 (1): 57–82.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Casarin, R. 2002. Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence. University of Venice. Working Paper. Casarin, R. 2002. Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence. University of Venice. Working Paper.
Zurück zum Zitat Chieh-TseHou, T. 2012. Return persistence and investment timing decisions in Taiwanese domestic equity mutual funds. Managerial Finance 38 (9): 873–891.CrossRef Chieh-TseHou, T. 2012. Return persistence and investment timing decisions in Taiwanese domestic equity mutual funds. Managerial Finance 38 (9): 873–891.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Christensen, M. 2013. Danish mutual fund performance. Applied Economics Letters 20 (8): 818–820.CrossRef Christensen, M. 2013. Danish mutual fund performance. Applied Economics Letters 20 (8): 818–820.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cumby, R.E., and J.D. Glen. 1990. Evaluating the performance of international mutual funds. The Journal of Finance 45 (2): 497–521.CrossRef Cumby, R.E., and J.D. Glen. 1990. Evaluating the performance of international mutual funds. The Journal of Finance 45 (2): 497–521.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Droms, W.G., and D.A. Walker. 1994. Investment performance of international mutual funds. Journal of Financial Research 17 (1): 1–14.CrossRef Droms, W.G., and D.A. Walker. 1994. Investment performance of international mutual funds. Journal of Financial Research 17 (1): 1–14.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Elton, E.J., M.J. Gruber, S. Das, and C. Blake. 1996. The persistence of risk-adjusted mutualfund performance. Journal of Business 69: 133–57.CrossRef Elton, E.J., M.J. Gruber, S. Das, and C. Blake. 1996. The persistence of risk-adjusted mutualfund performance. Journal of Business 69: 133–57.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Eun, C.S., R. Kolodny, and B.G. Resnick. 1991. US-based international mutual funds: A performance evaluation. The Journal of Portfolio Management 17 (3): 88–94.CrossRef Eun, C.S., R. Kolodny, and B.G. Resnick. 1991. US-based international mutual funds: A performance evaluation. The Journal of Portfolio Management 17 (3): 88–94.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fama, E., and K. French. 2010. Luck versus skill in the cross section of mutual fund returns. Journal of Finance 65: 1915–1947.CrossRef Fama, E., and K. French. 2010. Luck versus skill in the cross section of mutual fund returns. Journal of Finance 65: 1915–1947.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fan, Y., and H.L. Addams. 2012. United States-based international mutual funds: Performance and persistence. Financial Services Review 21 (1): 51. Fan, Y., and H.L. Addams. 2012. United States-based international mutual funds: Performance and persistence. Financial Services Review 21 (1): 51.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferreira, M.A., A.F. Miguel, and S. Ramos. 2006. The determinants of mutual fund performance: A crosscountry study. Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper 30. Ferreira, M.A., A.F. Miguel, and S. Ramos. 2006. The determinants of mutual fund performance: A crosscountry study. Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper 30.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferreira, M.A., A. Keswani, A.F. Miguel, and S.B. Ramos. 2013. The Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance: A Cross Country Study. Review of Finance 17 (2): 483–525.CrossRef Ferreira, M.A., A. Keswani, A.F. Miguel, and S.B. Ramos. 2013. The Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance: A Cross Country Study. Review of Finance 17 (2): 483–525.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fortin, R., and S. Michelson. 2005. Active international mutual fund management; can managers neat the index? Managerial Finance 31 (1): 41–51.CrossRef Fortin, R., and S. Michelson. 2005. Active international mutual fund management; can managers neat the index? Managerial Finance 31 (1): 41–51.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gil-Bazo, J., and P.A.B.L.O. Ruiz-Verdú. 2009. The relation between price and performance in the mutual fund industry. The Journal of Finance 64 (5): 2153–2183.CrossRef Gil-Bazo, J., and P.A.B.L.O. Ruiz-Verdú. 2009. The relation between price and performance in the mutual fund industry. The Journal of Finance 64 (5): 2153–2183.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Grinblatt, M., and S. Titman. 1992. The persistence of mutual fund performance. The Journal of Finance 47 (5): 1977–1984.CrossRef Grinblatt, M., and S. Titman. 1992. The persistence of mutual fund performance. The Journal of Finance 47 (5): 1977–1984.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gruber, M. 1996. Another Puzzle: The Growth in Actively Managed Mutual Funds. Journal of Finance 51: 783–810.CrossRef Gruber, M. 1996. Another Puzzle: The Growth in Actively Managed Mutual Funds. Journal of Finance 51: 783–810.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guo, F. 2010. An empirical study on the performance and market timing ability of Chinese mutual funds. Journal of Harbin University of Commerce (Social Science Edition) 6: 22–27. Guo, F. 2010. An empirical study on the performance and market timing ability of Chinese mutual funds. Journal of Harbin University of Commerce (Social Science Edition) 6: 22–27.
Zurück zum Zitat Hayat, R., and R. Kraeussl. 2011. Risk and return characteristics of Islamic equity funds. Emerging Markets Review 12 (2): 189–203.CrossRef Hayat, R., and R. Kraeussl. 2011. Risk and return characteristics of Islamic equity funds. Emerging Markets Review 12 (2): 189–203.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat He, W., B. Cao, and H.K. Baker. 2015. The performance and market timing ability of Chinese mutual funds. Financial Services Review 24 (3): 289. He, W., B. Cao, and H.K. Baker. 2015. The performance and market timing ability of Chinese mutual funds. Financial Services Review 24 (3): 289.
Zurück zum Zitat Hendricks, D., Patel, J., and R. Zeckhauser. 1993. Hot hands in mutual funds: Short-run persistence of relative performance, 1974–1988. Journal of Finance 93–130. Hendricks, D., Patel, J., and R. Zeckhauser. 1993. Hot hands in mutual funds: Short-run persistence of relative performance, 1974–1988. Journal of Finance 93–130.
Zurück zum Zitat Henriksson, R. 1984. Market timing and mutual fund performance: an empirical Investigation. Journal of Business 57: 73–97.CrossRef Henriksson, R. 1984. Market timing and mutual fund performance: an empirical Investigation. Journal of Business 57: 73–97.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, J., K.D. Wei, and H. Yan. 2007. Participation costs and the sensitivity of fund flows to past performance. The Journal of Finance 62 (3): 1273–1311.CrossRef Huang, J., K.D. Wei, and H. Yan. 2007. Participation costs and the sensitivity of fund flows to past performance. The Journal of Finance 62 (3): 1273–1311.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Huij, J., and T. Post. 2011. On the performance of emerging market equity mutual funds. Emerging Markets Review 12 (3): 238–249.CrossRef Huij, J., and T. Post. 2011. On the performance of emerging market equity mutual funds. Emerging Markets Review 12 (3): 238–249.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jiang, B.B., J. Laurenceson, and K.K. Tang. 2008. Share reform and the performance of China’s listed companies. China Economic Review 19 (3): 489–501.CrossRef Jiang, B.B., J. Laurenceson, and K.K. Tang. 2008. Share reform and the performance of China’s listed companies. China Economic Review 19 (3): 489–501.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jun, X., M. Li, and J. Shi. 2014. Volatile market condition and investor clientele effects on mutual fund flow performance relationship. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 29: 310–334.CrossRef Jun, X., M. Li, and J. Shi. 2014. Volatile market condition and investor clientele effects on mutual fund flow performance relationship. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 29: 310–334.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Khorana, A., H. Servaes, and P. Tufano. 2005. Explaining the size of the mutual fund industry around the world. Journal of Financial Economics 78 (1): 145–185.CrossRef Khorana, A., H. Servaes, and P. Tufano. 2005. Explaining the size of the mutual fund industry around the world. Journal of Financial Economics 78 (1): 145–185.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kiymaz, H. 2015. A performance evaluation of Chinese mutual funds.International Journal of Emerging Markets 10(4). Kiymaz, H. 2015. A performance evaluation of Chinese mutual funds.International Journal of Emerging Markets 10(4).
Zurück zum Zitat Kosowski, R., A. Timmermann, R. Wermers, and H. White. 2006. Can mutual fund stars really pick stocks? New evidence from a bootstrap analysis. Journal of Finance 61: 2551–2595.CrossRef Kosowski, R., A. Timmermann, R. Wermers, and H. White. 2006. Can mutual fund stars really pick stocks? New evidence from a bootstrap analysis. Journal of Finance 61: 2551–2595.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lai, M.M., and S.H. Lau. 2010. Evaluating mutual fund performance in an emerging Asian economy: The Malaysian experience. Journal of Asian Economics 21 (4): 378–390.CrossRef Lai, M.M., and S.H. Lau. 2010. Evaluating mutual fund performance in an emerging Asian economy: The Malaysian experience. Journal of Asian Economics 21 (4): 378–390.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Li, N., and C.Y. Lin. 2011. Understanding emerging market equity mutual funds: The case of China. Financial Services Review 20 (1): 1–19. Li, N., and C.Y. Lin. 2011. Understanding emerging market equity mutual funds: The case of China. Financial Services Review 20 (1): 1–19.
Zurück zum Zitat Lin, W. 2006. Performance of institutional Japanese equity fund managers. The Journal of Portfolio Management 32 (4): 117–127.CrossRef Lin, W. 2006. Performance of institutional Japanese equity fund managers. The Journal of Portfolio Management 32 (4): 117–127.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Olivier, J., and A. Tay. 2009. Time-varying incentives in the mutual fund industry. Working paper. Social Science Electronic Publishing. Olivier, J., and A. Tay. 2009. Time-varying incentives in the mutual fund industry. Working paper. Social Science Electronic Publishing.
Zurück zum Zitat Otten, R., and D. Bams. 2002. European mutual fund performance. European Financial Management 8 (1): 75–101.CrossRef Otten, R., and D. Bams. 2002. European mutual fund performance. European Financial Management 8 (1): 75–101.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ramos, S.B. 2009. The size and structure of the world mutual fund industry. European Financial Management 15 (1): 145–180.CrossRef Ramos, S.B. 2009. The size and structure of the world mutual fund industry. European Financial Management 15 (1): 145–180.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Reid, B.K., and J.D. Rea. 2003. Mutual fund distribution channels and distribution. Investment Company Institute Perspective 9 (3). Reid, B.K., and J.D. Rea. 2003. Mutual fund distribution channels and distribution. Investment Company Institute Perspective 9 (3).
Zurück zum Zitat Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance 19 (3): 425–442. Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance 19 (3): 425–442.
Zurück zum Zitat Shen, W.T., and X.R. Huang. 2001. An empirical study and appraisal on the performance of Chinese mutual funds. Economic Research Journal 9: 22–30. Shen, W.T., and X.R. Huang. 2001. An empirical study and appraisal on the performance of Chinese mutual funds. Economic Research Journal 9: 22–30.
Zurück zum Zitat Shukla, R., and S. Singh. 1997. A performance evaluation of global equity mutual funds: Evidence from 1988–1995. Global Finance Journal 8 (2): 279–293.CrossRef Shukla, R., and S. Singh. 1997. A performance evaluation of global equity mutual funds: Evidence from 1988–1995. Global Finance Journal 8 (2): 279–293.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Swinkels, L., and P. Rzezniczak. 2009. Performance evaluation of Polish mutual fund managers. International Journal of Emerging Markets 4 (1): 26–42.CrossRef Swinkels, L., and P. Rzezniczak. 2009. Performance evaluation of Polish mutual fund managers. International Journal of Emerging Markets 4 (1): 26–42.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tang, K., W. Wang, and R. Xu. 2012. Size and performance of Chinese mutual funds: The role of economy of scale and liquidity. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 20 (2): 228–246.CrossRef Tang, K., W. Wang, and R. Xu. 2012. Size and performance of Chinese mutual funds: The role of economy of scale and liquidity. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 20 (2): 228–246.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tiwari, A., and A.M. Vijh. 2001. Sector Fund Performance. Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa City. Working Paper. Tiwari, A., and A.M. Vijh. 2001. Sector Fund Performance. Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa City. Working Paper.
Zurück zum Zitat Treynor, J., and K. Mazuy. 1966. Can mutual funds outguess the market? Harvard Business Review 44 (4): 131–136. Treynor, J., and K. Mazuy. 1966. Can mutual funds outguess the market? Harvard Business Review 44 (4): 131–136.
Zurück zum Zitat Tufano, P., and M. Sevick. 1997. Board structure and fee-setting in the US mutual fund industry. Journal of Financial Economics 46 (3): 321–355.CrossRef Tufano, P., and M. Sevick. 1997. Board structure and fee-setting in the US mutual fund industry. Journal of Financial Economics 46 (3): 321–355.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wahal, S., and A.Y. Wang. 2011. Competition among mutual funds. Journal of Financial Economics 99 (1): 40–59.CrossRef Wahal, S., and A.Y. Wang. 2011. Competition among mutual funds. Journal of Financial Economics 99 (1): 40–59.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yu, L., and Y. Du. 2008. Stocks selectivity and market timing ability of Chinese open-end funds. Security Markets 342: 93–96. (In Chinese). Yu, L., and Y. Du. 2008. Stocks selectivity and market timing ability of Chinese open-end funds. Security Markets 342: 93–96. (In Chinese).
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, X., and S.M. Du. 2002. Can Chinese mutual funds beat the market? Journal of Financial Research 1: 1–22. Zhang, X., and S.M. Du. 2002. Can Chinese mutual funds beat the market? Journal of Financial Research 1: 1–22.
Metadaten
Titel
Performance and Persistence in Performance of Actively Managed Chinese Equity Funds
verfasst von
Zia-ur-Rehman Rao
Tanveer Ahsan
Muhammad Zubair Tauni
Muhammad Umar
Publikationsdatum
15.09.2017
Verlag
Springer India
Erschienen in
Journal of Quantitative Economics / Ausgabe 3/2018
Print ISSN: 0971-1554
Elektronische ISSN: 2364-1045
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40953-017-0104-5

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2018

Journal of Quantitative Economics 3/2018 Zur Ausgabe