Skip to main content
Erschienen in: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 1/2022

28.05.2021

Price and Liquidity Dynamics for Single and Multi-Family Homes during Housing Market Shocks

verfasst von: Nicholas B. Irwin, Mitchell R. Livy

Erschienen in: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics | Ausgabe 1/2022

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Real estate research has primarily focused on examining aggregate shocks and dynamics to describe housing market trends; however, heterogeneity across housing types has been largely ignored especially on an intra-city level. In this paper, we address this heterogeneity through exploring how two different market types – single-family homes (SFH) and multi-family homes (MFH) within in a single metropolitan area – responded to the housing market bust and recovery between 2008 and 2016. Results from a robust series of specifications provide evidence that market dynamics of price, liquidity, and degree of overpricing deviated substantially both during the housing market bust and recovery period, and showed significant variation across housing types. These outcomes are novel in demonstrating that SFH and MFH are differentially affected by market shocks, and that a time-constant control for housing type may not accurately capture housing market dynamics in any single locale, potentially leading to erroneous conclusions about policy implementation.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Fußnoten
1
Depending on the definition of MFH applied (single-unit attached housing with or without 2–4-unit buildings which are often described as MFH homes on some MLS listings), they comprise 28.9 to 32.1 percent of housing units in the United States.
 
2
The counties are Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Harford, Howard, and Queen Anne’s.
 
3
These attached houses are the prototypical row houses that are common in many older cities in the Eastern United States, particularly Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia, among others.
 
4
Multi-unit apartments are typically sold as entire buildings, as opposed to individual units, which would prove difficult to determining a per-unit price for each apartment, while manufactured housing depreciates at a much faster rate than other housing types.
 
5
Our results are robust to extensively modifying these standard data cleaning procedures.
 
6
In Appendix A, we estimate a duration model to determine if different factors impact the likelihood of a specific house type selling during our study period. Utilizing data from the entire universe of houses ever listed on the MLS, the results indicate that MFH units had a lower likelihood of selling compared to SFH, all else being equal. We believe this result provides evidence that the SFH and MFH markets are distinct enough to warrant our further estimations.
 
7
For binary variables, we apply the standard correction from Halvorsen and Palmquist (1980).
 
8
A potential concern with our empirical approach is that the sample of housing transactions suffers from selection bias (Rutherford et al., 2005). To address this concern, we estimated a Heckman selection model (Heckman, 1978) and the results indicate that there is not significant selection that would bias our estimates. However, we note that our data does not have the full set of agent and tenancy variables contained in related papers that could impact the selection estimate (Rutherford et al., 2007).
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat American Housing Survey (AHS). (2018). National – General Housing Data – All Occupied Units. U.S. Census Bureau. American Housing Survey (AHS). (2018). National – General Housing Data – All Occupied Units. U.S. Census Bureau.
Zurück zum Zitat Archer, W. R., Ling, D. C., & Smith, B. C. (2010). Ownership duration in the residential housing market: The influence of structure, tenure, household and neighborhood factors. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 40(1), 41–61.CrossRef Archer, W. R., Ling, D. C., & Smith, B. C. (2010). Ownership duration in the residential housing market: The influence of structure, tenure, household and neighborhood factors. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 40(1), 41–61.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Atkinson-Palombo, C. (2010). Comparing the capitalisation benefits of light-rail transit and overlay zoning for single-family houses and condos by neighbourhood type in metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona. Urban Studies, 47(11), 2409–2426. Atkinson-Palombo, C. (2010). Comparing the capitalisation benefits of light-rail transit and overlay zoning for single-family houses and condos by neighbourhood type in metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona. Urban Studies, 47(11), 2409–2426.
Zurück zum Zitat Bailey, M. J., Muth, R. F., & Nourse, H. O. (1963). A regression method for real estate price index construction. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58, 933–942.CrossRef Bailey, M. J., Muth, R. F., & Nourse, H. O. (1963). A regression method for real estate price index construction. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58, 933–942.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Baltimore Housing Survey (AHS). (2013). General Housing Data - All Occupied Units from the U.S Census Bureau. Baltimore Housing Survey (AHS). (2013). General Housing Data - All Occupied Units from the U.S Census Bureau.
Zurück zum Zitat Belkin, J., Hempel, D. J., & McLeavey, D. W. (1976). An empirical study of time on market using multidimensional segmentation of housing markets. Real Estate Economics, 4(2), 57–75.CrossRef Belkin, J., Hempel, D. J., & McLeavey, D. W. (1976). An empirical study of time on market using multidimensional segmentation of housing markets. Real Estate Economics, 4(2), 57–75.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Campbell, J. Y., Giglio, S., & Pathak, P. (2011). Forced sales and house prices. American Economic Review, 101(5), 2108–2131.CrossRef Campbell, J. Y., Giglio, S., & Pathak, P. (2011). Forced sales and house prices. American Economic Review, 101(5), 2108–2131.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Case, K. E., & Shiller, R. J. (1989). The efficiency of the market for single-family homes. The American Economic Review, 79(1), 125–137. Case, K. E., & Shiller, R. J. (1989). The efficiency of the market for single-family homes. The American Economic Review, 79(1), 125–137.
Zurück zum Zitat Cutler, D. M., Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1991). Speculative dynamics. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(3), 529–546.CrossRef Cutler, D. M., Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1991). Speculative dynamics. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(3), 529–546.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cropper, M. L., Deck, L. B., & McConnell, K. (1988). On the choice of functional form for hedonic price functions. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 70(4), 668–675.CrossRef Cropper, M. L., Deck, L. B., & McConnell, K. (1988). On the choice of functional form for hedonic price functions. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 70(4), 668–675.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Diaz, A., & Jerez, B. (2013). House Prices, Sales, and Time on the Market: A Search-Theoretic Framework. International Economic Review, 54(3), 837–872.CrossRef Diaz, A., & Jerez, B. (2013). House Prices, Sales, and Time on the Market: A Search-Theoretic Framework. International Economic Review, 54(3), 837–872.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Glaeser, E. L., Gyourko, J., Morales, E., & Nathanson, C. G. (2014). Housing dynamics: An urban approach. Journal of Urban Economics, 81, 45–56.CrossRef Glaeser, E. L., Gyourko, J., Morales, E., & Nathanson, C. G. (2014). Housing dynamics: An urban approach. Journal of Urban Economics, 81, 45–56.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Glaeser, E. L., & Nathanson, C. G. (2017). An extrapolative model of house price dynamics. Journal of Financial Economics, 126(1), 147–170.CrossRef Glaeser, E. L., & Nathanson, C. G. (2017). An extrapolative model of house price dynamics. Journal of Financial Economics, 126(1), 147–170.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Halvorsen, R., & Palmquist, R. (1980). The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations. The American Economic Review, 70(3), 474–475. Halvorsen, R., & Palmquist, R. (1980). The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations. The American Economic Review, 70(3), 474–475.
Zurück zum Zitat Head, A., Lloyd-Ellis, H. & Sun, H. (2014). Search, liquidity, and the dynamics of house prices and construction. American Economic Review, 104(4), 1172–1210. Head, A., Lloyd-Ellis, H. & Sun, H. (2014). Search, liquidity, and the dynamics of house prices and construction. American Economic Review, 104(4), 1172–1210.
Zurück zum Zitat Heckman, J. J. (1978). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–161.CrossRef Heckman, J. J. (1978). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–161.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, J., & Palmquist, R. B. (2001). Environmental conditions, reservation prices, and time on the market for housing. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 22(2–3), 203–219.CrossRef Huang, J., & Palmquist, R. B. (2001). Environmental conditions, reservation prices, and time on the market for housing. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 22(2–3), 203–219.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Irwin, N. B., & Livy, M. R. (2021). Days and confused: Housing price and liquidity response to new local public schools. Journal of Real Estate Research, 43(1), 21–46.CrossRef Irwin, N. B., & Livy, M. R. (2021). Days and confused: Housing price and liquidity response to new local public schools. Journal of Real Estate Research, 43(1), 21–46.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Knight, J. R. (2002). Listing price, time on the market, and ultimate selling price: Causes and effects of listing price changes. Real Estate Economics, 30, 213–237.CrossRef Knight, J. R. (2002). Listing price, time on the market, and ultimate selling price: Causes and effects of listing price changes. Real Estate Economics, 30, 213–237.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Krainer, J. (2001). A theory of liquidity in residential real estate markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 49(1), 32–53.CrossRef Krainer, J. (2001). A theory of liquidity in residential real estate markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 49(1), 32–53.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Krainer, J. (2008). Falling house prices and rising time on the market. FRBSF Economic Letter. Krainer, J. (2008). Falling house prices and rising time on the market. FRBSF Economic Letter.
Zurück zum Zitat Kuminoff, N. V., Parmeter, C. F., & Pope, J. C. (2010). Which hedonic models can we trust to recover the marginal willingness to pay for environmental amenities. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 60(3), 145–160.CrossRef Kuminoff, N. V., Parmeter, C. F., & Pope, J. C. (2010). Which hedonic models can we trust to recover the marginal willingness to pay for environmental amenities. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 60(3), 145–160.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lee, S. W., Myers, D., & Park, H. S. (2000). An econometric model of homeownership: single family and multifamily housing option. Environment and Planning A, 32(11), 1959–1976. Lee, S. W., Myers, D., & Park, H. S. (2000). An econometric model of homeownership: single family and multifamily housing option. Environment and Planning A, 32(11), 1959–1976.
Zurück zum Zitat Lee, S., Ries, J., & Somerville, C. T. (2013). Repairs under imperfect information. Journal of Urban Economics, 73(1), 43–56. Lee, S., Ries, J., & Somerville, C. T. (2013). Repairs under imperfect information. Journal of Urban Economics, 73(1), 43–56.
Zurück zum Zitat Liu, C.H., Nowak, A. & Rosenthal, S.S. (2016). Housing price bubbles, new supply, and within city dynamics. Journal of Urban Economics, 96, 55–72. Liu, C.H., Nowak, A. & Rosenthal, S.S. (2016). Housing price bubbles, new supply, and within city dynamics. Journal of Urban Economics96, 55–72.
Zurück zum Zitat Livy, M.R. (2018). Intra-school district capitalization of property tax rates. Journal of Housing Economics, 41, 227–236. Livy, M.R. (2018). Intra-school district capitalization of property tax rates. Journal of Housing Economics, 41, 227–236.
Zurück zum Zitat Meldrum, J. R. (2016). Floodplain price impacts by property type in Boulder county, Colorado: Condominiums versus standalone properties. Environmental and Resource Economics, 64(4), 725–750. Meldrum, J. R. (2016). Floodplain price impacts by property type in Boulder county, Colorado: Condominiums versus standalone properties. Environmental and Resource Economics, 64(4), 725–750.
Zurück zum Zitat Noss, A. (2013). American Community Survey Briefs – Household Income: 2012. U.S. Census Bureau. Noss, A. (2013). American Community Survey Briefs – Household Income: 2012. U.S. Census Bureau.
Zurück zum Zitat Piazzesi, M., Schneider, M., & Stroebel, J. (2020). Segmented housing search. American Economic Review, 110(3), 720–59. Piazzesi, M., Schneider, M., & Stroebel, J. (2020). Segmented housing search. American Economic Review110(3), 720–59.
Zurück zum Zitat Rutherford, R. C., Springer, T. M., & Yavas, A. (2005). Conflicts between principals and agents: evidence from residential brokerage. Journal of Financial Economics, 76(3), 627–665.CrossRef Rutherford, R. C., Springer, T. M., & Yavas, A. (2005). Conflicts between principals and agents: evidence from residential brokerage. Journal of Financial Economics, 76(3), 627–665.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rutherford, R. C., Springer, T. M., & Yavas, A. (2007). Evidence of information asymmetries in the market for residential condominiums. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 35(1), 23–38.CrossRef Rutherford, R. C., Springer, T. M., & Yavas, A. (2007). Evidence of information asymmetries in the market for residential condominiums. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 35(1), 23–38.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Turnbull, G. & J. Dombrow, J. (2006). Spatial competition and shopping externalities: Evidence from the housing market. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 32(4), 391–408. Turnbull, G. & J. Dombrow, J. (2006). Spatial competition and shopping externalities: Evidence from the housing market. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 32(4), 391–408.
Zurück zum Zitat Turnbull, G., & Dombrow, J. (2007). Individual agents, firms, and the real estate brokerage process. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 35(1), 57–76.CrossRef Turnbull, G., & Dombrow, J. (2007). Individual agents, firms, and the real estate brokerage process. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 35(1), 57–76.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Turnbull, G., Zahirovic-Herbert, V., & Mothorpe, C. (2013). Flooding and liquidity on the Bayou: The capitalization of flood risk into house value and ease-of-sale. Real Estate Economics, 41(1), 103–129.CrossRef Turnbull, G., Zahirovic-Herbert, V., & Mothorpe, C. (2013). Flooding and liquidity on the Bayou: The capitalization of flood risk into house value and ease-of-sale. Real Estate Economics, 41(1), 103–129.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wentland, S., Waller, B., & Brastow, R. (2014). Estimating the effect of crime risk on property values and time on market: Evidence from Megan’s law in Virginia. Real Estate Economics, 42(1), 223–251.CrossRef Wentland, S., Waller, B., & Brastow, R. (2014). Estimating the effect of crime risk on property values and time on market: Evidence from Megan’s law in Virginia. Real Estate Economics, 42(1), 223–251.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yavas, A., & Yang, S. (1995). The strategic role of listing price in marketing real estate: Theory and evidence. Real Estate Economics, 23(3), 347–368.CrossRef Yavas, A., & Yang, S. (1995). The strategic role of listing price in marketing real estate: Theory and evidence. Real Estate Economics, 23(3), 347–368.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zahirovic-Herbert, V., & Turnbull, G. K. (2008). School quality, house prices and liquidity. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 37(2),113-130 Zahirovic-Herbert, V., & Turnbull, G. K. (2008). School quality, house prices and liquidity. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 37(2),113-130
Metadaten
Titel
Price and Liquidity Dynamics for Single and Multi-Family Homes during Housing Market Shocks
verfasst von
Nicholas B. Irwin
Mitchell R. Livy
Publikationsdatum
28.05.2021
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics / Ausgabe 1/2022
Print ISSN: 0895-5638
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-045X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-021-09846-0

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2022

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 1/2022 Zur Ausgabe