Problems of Population Reproduction in the Cities of Siberia

The main problems of natural and mechanical reproduction of the population of the cities of the Siberian Federal District in the first twenty years of the 21st century are characterized. Insufficient (narrowed) natural reproduction of the population was revealed in large administrative centers - Novosibirsk, Krasnoyarsk and Irkutsk. There was a positive balance of migration during almost the entire observation period in Krasnoyarsk. In Irkutsk, a negative balance of migration was recorded between 2000 and 2007 and 2016 and 2020. In Novosibirsk, a negative balance of migration was registered between 2002 and 2005. The features of the demographic development of the industrial cities of Siberia are demonstrated on the example of the city of Angarsk. During the first twenty years of the 21st century, the processes of natural and mechanical reproduction of the population in large administrative and industrial cities of Siberia are unfavorable. Indicators of mechanical reproduction of the population are characterized either by the predominance of migration outflow (Irkutsk), or by a consistent decrease in migration inflow, started in 2015 (Krasnoyarsk and Novosibirsk). Ensuring an increase in the demographic potential of Siberian cities by increasing natural reproduction is not possible due to the small number of contingents of the population of reproductive age. The only possible way to solve this problem is migration policy. It is necessary to move from the compensatory model of the economy to the model of advanced development of human potential.