Skip to main content

2018 | Buch

Problems, Philosophy and Politics of Climate Science

insite
SUCHEN

Über dieses Buch

This book is a critical appraisal of the status of the so-called Climate Sciences (CS). These are contributed by many other basic sciences like physics, geology, chemistry and as such employ theoretical and experimental methods. In the last few decades most of the CS have been identified with the global warming problem and numerical models have been used as the main tool for their investigations. The produced predictions can only be partially tested against experimental data and may represent one of the reasons CS are drifting away from the route of the scientific method. On the other hand the study of climate faces many other interesting and mostly unsolved problems (think about ice ages) whose solution could clarify how the climatic system works. As for the global warming, while its existence is largely proved, scientifically it can be solved only with a large experimental effort carried out for a few decades. Problems can arise when not proved hypotheses are adopted as the basis for public policy without the recognition that they may be on shaky ground. The strong interactions of the Global Warming (GW) with the society create another huge problem of political nature for the CS.

The book argues that the knowledge gained so far on the specific GW problem is enough for the relevant political decisions to be taken and that Climate Science should resume the study of the climate system with appropriate means and methods. The book introduces the most relevant concepts needed for the discussion in the text or in appropriate appendices and it is directed to the general public with upper undergraduate background. Each chapter closes with a debate between a climate scientist and a humanist to reflect the discussions between climate science and philosophy or climate scientists and society.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. A Summary of the Problem
Abstract
Any discussion needs a base of knowledge and this chapter is necessary to summarize a few things that are essential in the debate on the climate change.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 2. How Climate Is Studied
Abstract
The study of climate includes a large number of methods and techniques.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 3. Modeling the Environment
Abstract
Our objective is to show that there is basic philosophical problem about the verification and the credibility of climate predictions.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 4. What Is Climate Science
Abstract
At this point it may be worthwhile to ask what is the position that climate sciences occupy in the more general field of sciences.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 5. Experimental Data and Climate
Abstract
Physical sciences can be grouped in two categories: the experimental sciences (chemistry and physics) based on the simplest form of evidence.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 6. The BayesBayes statistics Statistics and the Climate
Abstract
Before we continue we need to make some point on the state of our work. We have an idea of the connection between what we are attempting and Beven’s book on Environmental Modelling. Beven does not try to offer solutions.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 7. Statistics and Climate
Abstract
Keeping in mind the famous definition of statistics (referred by Maynard Smith 1986) as that branch of mathematics which enables a man to do 20 experiments a year and publish one false result in Nature, nevertheless statistics has a growing influence in the climate science.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 8. Recent Developments
Abstract
Climate science as any other “scientific” endeavor manifest itself through publications and a simple statistics of them gives a faithful idea of what are the most discussed topics. There are two hot and recent development in the climate sciences which are the warming hiatus and the geoengineering. We will deal at length with them in the chapter but just to summarize, the warming hiatus is an apparent pause in the global warming which started at the end of last century and has been going on since then. Geoengineering is the purposeful modification of the environment to correct the effects of the anthropogenic activity. Both of these fields are quite controversial and they have produced a large number of publications. A statistics prepared in 2015 at the University of Texas, Austin uses the three key words, pause, slow down, or hiatus to recover that the total number of publications from 1990 to 2015 amount to 213 concentrated between 2013 and 2015. In the same time span, the citations reached a peak of roughly 850. Belter and Seidel 2013 published a bibliometric analysis on geoengineering examing the papers published between 1988 and 2011 for a total of 750 articles.
Guido Visconti
Chapter 9. Some Conclusion
Abstract
The following was the opening remarks that Harold Schiff (a famous atmospheric chemist) made in 1973 at the IAGA (International Association of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy) held in Kyoto.
Guido Visconti
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Problems, Philosophy and Politics of Climate Science
verfasst von
Prof. Guido Visconti
Copyright-Jahr
2018
Electronic ISBN
978-3-319-65669-4
Print ISBN
978-3-319-65668-7
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65669-4