Skip to main content

2013 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Rainfall Threshold Analysis and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Wudu County

verfasst von : Shibiao Bai, Jian Wang, Thomas Glade, Rainer Bell, Benni Thiebes

Erschienen in: Landslide Science and Practice

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is the analysis of rainfall thresholds and landslide susceptibility mapping in order to assist the prediction, mitigation and management of slope instability in the Wudu county in China. Firstly, the rainfall thresholds were assessed using the Antecedent soil water status (ASWS) model based on landslides induced by multi-temporal rainfall events in the Wudu county. Secondly, three separate susceptibility maps were produced using historic landslide inventories, and inventories reflecting single landslide triggering events, i.e. the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and heavy rain storms. The separate maps were combined to illustrate the maximum landslide probability of all three landslide susceptibility maps. The results show that rainfall thresholds could be applied to forecast rainfall-induced landslides, and the integrated landslide susceptibility map could be used for planning of spatial development as well as emergency response actions.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aleotti P (2004) A warning system for rainfall-induced shallow failures. Eng Geol 73:247–265CrossRef Aleotti P (2004) A warning system for rainfall-induced shallow failures. Eng Geol 73:247–265CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Aleotti P, Chowdhury R (1999) Landslide hazard assessment: summary review and new perspectives. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58:21–44CrossRef Aleotti P, Chowdhury R (1999) Landslide hazard assessment: summary review and new perspectives. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58:21–44CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Atkinson PM, Massari R (1998) Generalized linear modeling of susceptibility to landsliding in the central Apennines. Italy Comput Geosci 24:373–385CrossRef Atkinson PM, Massari R (1998) Generalized linear modeling of susceptibility to landsliding in the central Apennines. Italy Comput Geosci 24:373–385CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ayalew L (1999) The effect of seasonal rainfall on landslides in the highland of Ethiopia. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58(1):9–19CrossRef Ayalew L (1999) The effect of seasonal rainfall on landslides in the highland of Ethiopia. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58(1):9–19CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bai SB, Wang J, Glade T, Bell R (2010a) Comparison on landslide susceptibility assessments before and after 5.12 WenChuan Earthquake at Lognan in China. In: Malet JP, Glade T, Casagli N (eds) Proceedings of the international conference ‘Mountain risks: bringing science to society’, Firenze, 24–26 Nov 2010, pp 87–94 Bai SB, Wang J, Glade T, Bell R (2010a) Comparison on landslide susceptibility assessments before and after 5.12 WenChuan Earthquake at Lognan in China. In: Malet JP, Glade T, Casagli N (eds) Proceedings of the international conference ‘Mountain risks: bringing science to society’, Firenze, 24–26 Nov 2010, pp 87–94
Zurück zum Zitat Bai SB, Wang J, Lu GN, Zhou PG, Hou SS, Xu SN (2010b) GIS-based and logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of Zhongxian segment in the Three Gorge area, China. Geomorphology 115:23–31CrossRef Bai SB, Wang J, Lu GN, Zhou PG, Hou SS, Xu SN (2010b) GIS-based and logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of Zhongxian segment in the Three Gorge area, China. Geomorphology 115:23–31CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bai SB, Wang J, Lü GN, Zhou PG, Hou SS, Xu SN (2009) GIS-based and data-driven bivariate landslide-susceptibility mapping in the Three Gorges Area, China. Pedosphere 19(1):14–20CrossRef Bai SB, Wang J, Lü GN, Zhou PG, Hou SS, Xu SN (2009) GIS-based and data-driven bivariate landslide-susceptibility mapping in the Three Gorges Area, China. Pedosphere 19(1):14–20CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bai SB, Lu GN, Wang J, Ding L, Zhou PG (2011) GIS-based rare events logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of Lianyungang, China. Environ Earth Sci 62:139–149CrossRef Bai SB, Lu GN, Wang J, Ding L, Zhou PG (2011) GIS-based rare events logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping of Lianyungang, China. Environ Earth Sci 62:139–149CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bai SB, Wang J, Lu GN, Kanevski M, Pozdnoukhov A (2008) Validation of spatial prediction models for landslide susceptibility Maps. In: The eighth international symposium on spatial accuracy assessment in natural resources and environmental sciences, World Academic Union Press, Shanghai, 25–27 June 2008 Bai SB, Wang J, Lu GN, Kanevski M, Pozdnoukhov A (2008) Validation of spatial prediction models for landslide susceptibility Maps. In: The eighth international symposium on spatial accuracy assessment in natural resources and environmental sciences, World Academic Union Press, Shanghai, 25–27 June 2008
Zurück zum Zitat Bell R, Glade T (2004) Quantitative risk analysis for landslides – examples from Bdudalur, NW-Iceland. Nat Hazard Earth Syst Sci 4(1):117–131CrossRef Bell R, Glade T (2004) Quantitative risk analysis for landslides – examples from Bdudalur, NW-Iceland. Nat Hazard Earth Syst Sci 4(1):117–131CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Borga M, Dalla FG, de Ros ML (1998) Shallow landslide hazard assessment using a physically based model and digital elevation data. Environ Geol 35(2–3):81–88CrossRef Borga M, Dalla FG, de Ros ML (1998) Shallow landslide hazard assessment using a physically based model and digital elevation data. Environ Geol 35(2–3):81–88CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Brabb EE, Harrod BL (eds) (1989) Landslides: extent and economic significance. A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, 85 Brabb EE, Harrod BL (eds) (1989) Landslides: extent and economic significance. A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, 85
Zurück zum Zitat Brand EW, Premchitt J, Phillipson HB (1984) Relationship between rainfall and landslide in Hong Kong. In: Proceedings of the 4th international symposium on landslides, Thomas Telford, Toronto, pp 377–384 Brand EW, Premchitt J, Phillipson HB (1984) Relationship between rainfall and landslide in Hong Kong. In: Proceedings of the 4th international symposium on landslides, Thomas Telford, Toronto, pp 377–384
Zurück zum Zitat Caine N (1980) The rainfall intensity duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows. Geogr Ann 62:23–27CrossRef Caine N (1980) The rainfall intensity duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows. Geogr Ann 62:23–27CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chung CF, Kojima H, Fabbri AG (2002) Stability analysis of prediction models for landslide hazard mapping. In: Allison RJ (ed) Applied geomorphology: theory and practice. Wiley, London, pp 1–19 Chung CF, Kojima H, Fabbri AG (2002) Stability analysis of prediction models for landslide hazard mapping. In: Allison RJ (ed) Applied geomorphology: theory and practice. Wiley, London, pp 1–19
Zurück zum Zitat Crosta GB, Dal Negro P, Frattini P (2004) Distributed modeling of shallow landsliding in volcanoclastic soils. Eng Geol 73(3–4):277–295 Crosta GB, Dal Negro P, Frattini P (2004) Distributed modeling of shallow landsliding in volcanoclastic soils. Eng Geol 73(3–4):277–295
Zurück zum Zitat Crozier MJ, Eyles RJ (1980) Assessing the probability of rapid mass movement. In: Proceedings of the 3rd Australian New Zealand conference on geomechanics, New Zealand Institute of Engineers, Wellington, pp 247–251 Crozier MJ, Eyles RJ (1980) Assessing the probability of rapid mass movement. In: Proceedings of the 3rd Australian New Zealand conference on geomechanics, New Zealand Institute of Engineers, Wellington, pp 247–251
Zurück zum Zitat Crozier MJ (1999) Prediction of rainfall-triggered landslides: a test of the antecedent water status model. Earth Surf Proc Land 24:825–833CrossRef Crozier MJ (1999) Prediction of rainfall-triggered landslides: a test of the antecedent water status model. Earth Surf Proc Land 24:825–833CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cruden DM, Varnes DJ (1996) Landslide types and processes. In: Turner AK, Shuster RL (eds) Landslides: investigation and mitigation. Transportation Research Board, Special Report 247, pp 36–75 Cruden DM, Varnes DJ (1996) Landslide types and processes. In: Turner AK, Shuster RL (eds) Landslides: investigation and mitigation. Transportation Research Board, Special Report 247, pp 36–75
Zurück zum Zitat Fell R, Cororninas J, Bonnard C, Cascini L, Leroi E, Savage WZ (2008) Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk-zoning for land use planning. Eng Geol 102:85–98CrossRef Fell R, Cororninas J, Bonnard C, Cascini L, Leroi E, Savage WZ (2008) Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk-zoning for land use planning. Eng Geol 102:85–98CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fukuzono T (1985) A new method for predicting the failure time of a slope. In: Proceedings of the 4th international conference field workship landslide, Japan Landslide Society, Tokyo, pp 145–150 Fukuzono T (1985) A new method for predicting the failure time of a slope. In: Proceedings of the 4th international conference field workship landslide, Japan Landslide Society, Tokyo, pp 145–150
Zurück zum Zitat Glade T (2000a) Modelling landslide triggering rainfall thresholds at a range of complexities. In: Proceedings of the 8th international symposium on landslides, Thomas Telford, Cardiff, pp 633–640 Glade T (2000a) Modelling landslide triggering rainfall thresholds at a range of complexities. In: Proceedings of the 8th international symposium on landslides, Thomas Telford, Cardiff, pp 633–640
Zurück zum Zitat Glade T (2000b) Modelling landslide-triggering rainfalls in different regions of New Zealand-the soil water status model. Z Geomorphol NF 122:63–84 Glade T (2000b) Modelling landslide-triggering rainfalls in different regions of New Zealand-the soil water status model. Z Geomorphol NF 122:63–84
Zurück zum Zitat Glade T (2005) Linking debris-flow hazard assessments with geomorphology. Geomorphology 66:189–213CrossRef Glade T (2005) Linking debris-flow hazard assessments with geomorphology. Geomorphology 66:189–213CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Glade T, Crozier MJ, Smith P (2000) Applying probability determination to refine landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds using an empirical “Antecedent Daily Rainfall Model”. Pure Appl Geophys 157(6–8):1059–1079CrossRef Glade T, Crozier MJ, Smith P (2000) Applying probability determination to refine landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds using an empirical “Antecedent Daily Rainfall Model”. Pure Appl Geophys 157(6–8):1059–1079CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guidicini G, Iwasa OY (1987) Tentative correlation between rainfall and landslides in a humid tropical environment. Bull Eng Geol Environ 16(1):13–20 Guidicini G, Iwasa OY (1987) Tentative correlation between rainfall and landslides in a humid tropical environment. Bull Eng Geol Environ 16(1):13–20
Zurück zum Zitat Guzzetti F (1998) Hydrological triggers of diffused landsliding. Environ Geol 35(2–3):79–80CrossRef Guzzetti F (1998) Hydrological triggers of diffused landsliding. Environ Geol 35(2–3):79–80CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guzzetti F, Carrara A, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P (1999) Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, central Italy. Geomorphology 31:181–216CrossRef Guzzetti F, Carrara A, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P (1999) Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, central Italy. Geomorphology 31:181–216CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guzzetti F (2000) Landslide fatalities and evaluation of landslide risk in Italy. Eng Geol 58:89–107CrossRef Guzzetti F (2000) Landslide fatalities and evaluation of landslide risk in Italy. Eng Geol 58:89–107CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guzzetti P, Reichenbach M, Cardinali M, Galli F, Ardizzone F (2005) Landslide hazard assessment in the Staffora basin, northern Italian Apennines. Geomorphology 72:272–299CrossRef Guzzetti P, Reichenbach M, Cardinali M, Galli F, Ardizzone F (2005) Landslide hazard assessment in the Staffora basin, northern Italian Apennines. Geomorphology 72:272–299CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hu XL, Tang HM (2005) Research on the GIS system of slope engineering GIS and its application. China University of Geosciences Press, pp 1–36 Hu XL, Tang HM (2005) Research on the GIS system of slope engineering GIS and its application. China University of Geosciences Press, pp 1–36
Zurück zum Zitat Jakob M, Weatherly H (2003) A hydroclimatic threshold for landslide initiation on North Shore mountains of Vancouver, British Columbia. Geomorphology 54(3–5):137–156, 920CrossRef Jakob M, Weatherly H (2003) A hydroclimatic threshold for landslide initiation on North Shore mountains of Vancouver, British Columbia. Geomorphology 54(3–5):137–156, 920CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Keefer DK, Wilson RC, Mark RK (1987) Real time landslide warning system during heavy rainfall. Science 238(4829):921–925CrossRef Keefer DK, Wilson RC, Mark RK (1987) Real time landslide warning system during heavy rainfall. Science 238(4829):921–925CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Keefer DK, Larsen MC (2007) Assessing landslide hazards. Science 25:1136–1138CrossRef Keefer DK, Larsen MC (2007) Assessing landslide hazards. Science 25:1136–1138CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Meng H, Dong Y, Hu SE (2004) Main types and characteristics of geo-hazard in China-based on the results of geo-hazard survey in 290 counties (in Chinese). Chinese J Geol Hazard Contr 15(2):29–34 Li Y, Meng H, Dong Y, Hu SE (2004) Main types and characteristics of geo-hazard in China-based on the results of geo-hazard survey in 290 counties (in Chinese). Chinese J Geol Hazard Contr 15(2):29–34
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Yang XD (2006) Research on the forecasting and early warning of the regional precipitation-induced landslide (in Chinese). Hydrogeol Eng Geol 33(2):101–103 Li Y, Yang XD (2006) Research on the forecasting and early warning of the regional precipitation-induced landslide (in Chinese). Hydrogeol Eng Geol 33(2):101–103
Zurück zum Zitat Liu CZ, Wen MS, Tang C (2004) Meteorological early warning of geo-hazard in China based on raining forecast (in Chinese). Geol Bull China 23(4):303–307 Liu CZ, Wen MS, Tang C (2004) Meteorological early warning of geo-hazard in China based on raining forecast (in Chinese). Geol Bull China 23(4):303–307
Zurück zum Zitat Liu GR, Yan EC (2002) Discussion on classification of landslides (in Chinese). J Eng Geol 10(4):339–342 Liu GR, Yan EC (2002) Discussion on classification of landslides (in Chinese). J Eng Geol 10(4):339–342
Zurück zum Zitat Lumb P (1975) Slope failures in Hong Kong. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 81(1):31–65CrossRef Lumb P (1975) Slope failures in Hong Kong. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 81(1):31–65CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scheidegger AE, Ai NS (1987) Clay slides and debris flow in Wudu region. J Soil Water Conserv 1(2):19–27 Scheidegger AE, Ai NS (1987) Clay slides and debris flow in Wudu region. J Soil Water Conserv 1(2):19–27
Zurück zum Zitat Wang HB, Sassa K (2006) Rainfall-induced landslide hazard assessment using artificial neural networks. Earth Surf Proc Land 31:235–247CrossRef Wang HB, Sassa K (2006) Rainfall-induced landslide hazard assessment using artificial neural networks. Earth Surf Proc Land 31:235–247CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wieczorek GF, Glade T (2005) Climatic factors influencing occurrence of debris flows. In: Jakob M, Hungr O (eds) Debris flow hazards and related phenomena. Springer, Berlin, pp 325–362CrossRef Wieczorek GF, Glade T (2005) Climatic factors influencing occurrence of debris flows. In: Jakob M, Hungr O (eds) Debris flow hazards and related phenomena. Springer, Berlin, pp 325–362CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Van Westen CJ, Getahun FL (2003) Analyzing the evolution of the Tessina landslide using aerial photographs and digital elevation models. Geomorphology 54:77–89CrossRef Van Westen CJ, Getahun FL (2003) Analyzing the evolution of the Tessina landslide using aerial photographs and digital elevation models. Geomorphology 54:77–89CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Van Westen CJ, Castellanos E, Kuriakose SL (2008) Spatial data for landslide susceptibility, hazard, and vulnerability assessment: an overview. Eng Geol 102:112–131CrossRef Van Westen CJ, Castellanos E, Kuriakose SL (2008) Spatial data for landslide susceptibility, hazard, and vulnerability assessment: an overview. Eng Geol 102:112–131CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang Z, Li SH, Ma L (2005) Probability analysis of relationship between landslide and rainfall in chongqing area (in Chinese). Chinese J Rock Mech Eng 24(17):3185–3191 Zhang Z, Li SH, Ma L (2005) Probability analysis of relationship between landslide and rainfall in chongqing area (in Chinese). Chinese J Rock Mech Eng 24(17):3185–3191
Metadaten
Titel
Rainfall Threshold Analysis and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Wudu County
verfasst von
Shibiao Bai
Jian Wang
Thomas Glade
Rainer Bell
Benni Thiebes
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31445-2_86