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2014 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

6. Regional Highlights of Climate Change

verfasst von : David L. Peterson, Jane M. Wolken, Teresa N. Hollingsworth, Christian P. Giardina, Jeremy S. Littell, Linda A. Joyce, Christopher W. Swanston, Stephen D. Handler, Lindsey E. Rustad, Steven G. McNulty

Erschienen in: Climate Change and United States Forests

Verlag: Springer Netherlands

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Abstract

Climatic extremes, ecological disturbance, and their interactions are expected to have major effects on ecosystems and social systems in most regions of the United States in the coming decades. In Alaska, where the largest temperature increases have occurred, permafrost is melting, carbon is being released, and fire regimes are changing, leading to a transition from conifers to hardwoods in some forests. In Hawaii and the U.S.-affiliated Pacific islands, an altered climate and sea level rise are changing hydrology and fire regimes, affecting both forest ecosystems and human communities. In the Northwest, insect outbreaks (already prominent) and increased area burned, in combination with declining snowpack, are expected to have a major effect on dry, interior forests. In the Southwest, recent large wildfires and forest dieback in pinyon pine exemplify the kinds of changes that may occur in arid and semi-arid forests if droughts become more common in the future. In the Great Plains, where trees currently occupy only a small portion of the landscape, warmer temperature and non-native insects could reduce the amount of forested area and alter species distribution. In the Midwest, warmer temperature is expected to affect the distribution and abundance of many tree species, associated habitat, and human use of forests in a region where private lands are mixed with public lands. In the Northeast, warmer temperature is expected to affect the distribution and abundance of many tree species, although the productivity of hardwood species may increase significantly. In the Southeast, biodiversity and productivity may be affected by a combination of warmer climate, altered fire regimes, and invasive plants and insects.

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Zurück zum Zitat Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation. (2010). Montana’s state assessment of forest resources: Base findings and GIS methodology (29pp). Missoula: Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation. Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation. (2010). Montana’s state assessment of forest resources: Base findings and GIS methodology (29pp). Missoula: Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation.
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Zurück zum Zitat Motyka, R. J., O’Neel, S., Conner, C. L., & Echelmeyer, K. A. (2002). Twentieth century thinning of Mendenhall Glacier, Alaska, and its relationship to climate, lake calving, and glacier run-off. Global and Planetary Change, 35, 93–112. Motyka, R. J., O’Neel, S., Conner, C. L., & Echelmeyer, K. A. (2002). Twentieth century thinning of Mendenhall Glacier, Alaska, and its relationship to climate, lake calving, and glacier run-off. Global and Planetary Change, 35, 93–112.
Zurück zum Zitat Nelson, M. D., Liknes, G. C., & Butler, B. J. (2010). Map of forest ownership in the conterminous United States [Scale 1:7,500,000] (Research Map NRS-2). Newtown Square: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. Nelson, M. D., Liknes, G. C., & Butler, B. J. (2010). Map of forest ownership in the conterminous United States [Scale 1:7,500,000] (Research Map NRS-2). Newtown Square: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station.
Zurück zum Zitat Norby, R., DeLucia, E., Gielen, B., et al. (2005). Forest response to elevated CO2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 102, 18052–18056. Norby, R., DeLucia, E., Gielen, B., et al. (2005). Forest response to elevated CO2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 102, 18052–18056.
Zurück zum Zitat Norton, C. W., Chu, P. S., & Schroeder, T. A. (2011). Projecting changes in future heavy rainfall events for Oahu, Hawaii: A statistical downscaling approach [Abstract]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D17110. Norton, C. W., Chu, P. S., & Schroeder, T. A. (2011). Projecting changes in future heavy rainfall events for Oahu, Hawaii: A statistical downscaling approach [Abstract]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D17110.
Zurück zum Zitat Nowacki, G. J., & Abrams, M. D. (2008). The demise of fire and “mesophication” of forests in the eastern United States. BioScience, 58, 123–138. Nowacki, G. J., & Abrams, M. D. (2008). The demise of fire and “mesophication” of forests in the eastern United States. BioScience, 58, 123–138.
Zurück zum Zitat Oki, D. S. (2004). Trends in streamflow characteristics at long-term gaging stations, Hawaii. (Scientific Investigations Report 2004–5080, 120pp). Denver: U.S. Geological Survey. Oki, D. S. (2004). Trends in streamflow characteristics at long-term gaging stations, Hawaii. (Scientific Investigations Report 2004–5080, 120pp). Denver: U.S. Geological Survey.
Zurück zum Zitat Ollinger, S. V., Goodale, C. L., Hayhoe, K., & Jenkins, J. P. (2008). Potential effects of climate change and rising CO2 on ecosystem processes in northeastern U.S. forests. Mitigating Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 13, 467–485. Ollinger, S. V., Goodale, C. L., Hayhoe, K., & Jenkins, J. P. (2008). Potential effects of climate change and rising CO2 on ecosystem processes in northeastern U.S. forests. Mitigating Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 13, 467–485.
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Zurück zum Zitat Powell, J., & Logan, J. (2005). Insect seasonality: Circle map analysis of temperature-driven life cycles. Theoretical Population Biology, 67, 161–179. Powell, J., & Logan, J. (2005). Insect seasonality: Circle map analysis of temperature-driven life cycles. Theoretical Population Biology, 67, 161–179.
Zurück zum Zitat Prasad, A. M., Iverson, L. R., Matthews, S., & Peters, M. (2007-ongoing). A climate change atlas for 134 forest tree species of the eastern United States. Delaware: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. Database at http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/atlas/tree. Prasad, A. M., Iverson, L. R., Matthews, S., & Peters, M. (2007-ongoing). A climate change atlas for 134 forest tree species of the eastern United States. Delaware: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. Database at http://​www.​nrs.​fs.​fed.​us/​atlas/​tree.
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Zurück zum Zitat Rehfeldt, G. E., Crookston, N. L., Warwell, M. V., & Evans, J. S. (2006). Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States. International Journal of Plant Sciences, 167, 1123–1150. Rehfeldt, G. E., Crookston, N. L., Warwell, M. V., & Evans, J. S. (2006). Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States. International Journal of Plant Sciences, 167, 1123–1150.
Zurück zum Zitat Rehfeldt, G. E., Ferguson, D. E., & Crookston, N. L. (2008). Quantifying the abundance of co-occurring conifers along Inland Northwest (USA) climate gradients. Ecology, 89, 2127–2139. Rehfeldt, G. E., Ferguson, D. E., & Crookston, N. L. (2008). Quantifying the abundance of co-occurring conifers along Inland Northwest (USA) climate gradients. Ecology, 89, 2127–2139.
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Metadaten
Titel
Regional Highlights of Climate Change
verfasst von
David L. Peterson
Jane M. Wolken
Teresa N. Hollingsworth
Christian P. Giardina
Jeremy S. Littell
Linda A. Joyce
Christopher W. Swanston
Stephen D. Handler
Lindsey E. Rustad
Steven G. McNulty
Copyright-Jahr
2014
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7515-2_6