Research on Quantitative Assessment Method for Fire Spread Risk in Enclosed Buildings

The main objective of this research is to establish a quantitative risk assessment method for fire spread in enclosed building scenarios. The enclosed building fire spread process is divided into three stages: fire fully developed in the fire compartment, failure of weak barrier, and combustibles ignited in the target compartment. The calculation method for fire spread is established, where the time for fire fully developed is calculated based on the t² fire, the barrier failure time is calculated based on the finite difference method, and the combustible ignition time is calculated based on the zone model. The linear regression model is formulated to ensure computational efficiency for fire spread time prediction. The enclosed building fire spread quantitative risk assessment method is proposed based on the Probit model. The effectiveness of the risk assessment method is validated through the enclosed building fire spread experiment, and the method is applied to assess the risk of fire spread in an office. The results demonstrate that the method could quantitatively assess fire spread risk under different conditions with high computational efficiency and excellent versatility, and it could provide guidance for fire prevention, building fire design, and fire rescue.