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Erschienen in: Theory and Decision 3/2016

30.07.2015

Risk preferences of Australian academics: where retirement funds are invested tells the story

verfasst von: Pavlo R. Blavatskyy

Erschienen in: Theory and Decision | Ausgabe 3/2016

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Abstract

Risk preferences of Australian academics are elicited by analyzing the aggregate distribution of their retirement funds (superannuation) across available investment options. Not more than 10 % of retirement funds are invested as if their owners maximize expected utility under the assumption of constant relative risk aversion with an empirically plausible level of risk aversion. An implausibly high level of risk aversion is required to rationalize any investment into bonds when stocks are available. Not more than 36.54 % of all investments can be rationalized by a model of loss averse preferences. Moreover, the levels of loss aversion typically reported in the experimental studies imply overinvestment in bonds, which is not observed in the data. Up to 67.18 % of all investments can be rationalized by rank-dependent utility or Yaari’s (Econometrica 55:95–115 1987) dual model with empirically plausible parameters. A median Australian academic behaves as if maximizing rank-dependent utility with parameter \(\gamma \in [0.76, 0.79]\) in a Tversky and Kahneman (J Risk Uncertain 5:297–323 1992) probability weighting function.

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Fußnoten
1
Abdellaoui (2000) subsequently extended the method to eliciting a probability weighting function. Blavatskyy (2006) optimized the method to address the problem of error propagation in chained elicitation questions.
 
2
Dave et al. (2010) and Reynaud and Couture (2012) compared this method with multiple price list format of Holt and Laury (2002).
 
3
A parametric form of prospect theory often uses a power coefficient \(\alpha =1-r\). We use coefficient \(r=1-{\alpha }\) to facilitate the comparison of results with the previous section.
 
4
Alternative functional forms were proposed by Goldstein and Einhorn (1987), Prelec (1998) and Blavatskyy (2014).
 
5
This special case is known as Yaari’s (1987) dual model.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Risk preferences of Australian academics: where retirement funds are invested tells the story
verfasst von
Pavlo R. Blavatskyy
Publikationsdatum
30.07.2015
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Theory and Decision / Ausgabe 3/2016
Print ISSN: 0040-5833
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7187
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-015-9511-2

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