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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Satellite Based Nowcasting of PV Energy over Peninsular Spain

verfasst von : Alejandro Catalina, Alberto Torres-Barrán, José R. Dorronsoro

Erschienen in: Advances in Computational Intelligence

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In this work we will study the use of satellite-measured irradiances as well as clear sky radiance estimates as features for the nowcasting of photovoltaic energy productions over Peninsular Spain. We will work with three Machine Learning models (Lasso and linear and Gaussian Support Vector Regression-SVR) plus a simple persistence model. We consider prediction horizons of up to three hours, for which Gaussian SVR is the clear winner, with a quite good performance and whose errors increase slowly with time. Possible ways to further improve these results are also proposed.

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Metadaten
Titel
Satellite Based Nowcasting of PV Energy over Peninsular Spain
verfasst von
Alejandro Catalina
Alberto Torres-Barrán
José R. Dorronsoro
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59153-7_59