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2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Supply Chain Risk Management: Bullwhip Effect and Ripple Effect

verfasst von : Dmitry Ivanov

Erschienen in: Structural Dynamics and Resilience in Supply Chain Risk Management

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Uncertainty is a system property characterizing the incompleteness of our knowledge about the system and the conditions of its development. Uncertainty is a polysemic term (poly – many, sema – a sign). Historically, the first terms related to uncertainty were accident, probability and possibility, which we relate to Aristotle. Up to the twentieth century, the mathematical basics of uncertainty factor description were founded on probability–frequency interpretation and are related to Pascal, Ferma, Bernoulli and Laplace. Modern probability theory is based on the research of Kolmogorov, who introduced an axiomatic definition of probability as a measure related to a system of axioms of a so-called probability space.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Supply Chain Management and Structural Dynamics Control

Nächstes Kapitel Supply Chain Resilience: Modelling, Management, and Control

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Titel: Supply Chain Risk Management: Bullwhip Effect and Ripple Effect
verfasst von: Dmitry Ivanov
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Buch: Structural Dynamics and Resilience in Supply Chain Risk Management
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69304-0

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-69305-7

Copyright-Jahr: 2018
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69305-7_2

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