Skip to main content

2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

ST-DenNetFus: A New Deep Learning Approach for Network Demand Prediction

verfasst von : Haytham Assem, Bora Caglayan, Teodora Sandra Buda, Declan O’Sullivan

Erschienen in: Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Network Demand Prediction is of great importance to network planning and dynamically allocating network resources based on the predicted demand, this can be very challenging as it is affected by many complex factors, including spatial dependencies, temporal dependencies, and external factors (such as regions’ functionality and crowd patterns as it will be shown in this paper). We propose a deep learning based approach called, ST-DenNetFus, to predict network demand (i.e. uplink and downlink throughput) in every region of a city. ST-DenNetFus is an end to end architecture for capturing unique properties from spatio-temporal data. ST-DenNetFus employs various branches of dense neural networks for capturing temporal closeness, period, and trend properties. For each of these properties, dense convolutional neural units are used for capturing the spatial properties of the network demand across various regions in a city. Furthermore, ST-DenNetFus introduces extra branches for fusing external data sources that have not been considered before in the network demand prediction problem of various dimensionalities. In our case, these external factors are the crowd mobility patterns, temporal functional regions, and the day of the week. We present an extensive experimental evaluation for the proposed approach using two types of network throughput (uplink and downlink) in New York City (NYC), where ST-DenNetFus outperforms four well-known baselines.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
In this paper terminology, we refer to both types of throughput, uplink and downlink as “Network Demand”.
 
3
For same region, it could be classified as business district in the morning, eating in the afternoon and entertainment at night.
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Abou-Zeid, H., Hassanein, H.S.: Predictive green wireless access: exploiting mobility and application information. IEEE Wirel. Commun. 20(5), 92–99 (2013)CrossRef Abou-Zeid, H., Hassanein, H.S.: Predictive green wireless access: exploiting mobility and application information. IEEE Wirel. Commun. 20(5), 92–99 (2013)CrossRef
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Assem, H., Buda, T.S., O’sullivan, D.: RCMC: recognizing crowd-mobility patterns in cities based on location based social networks data. ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol. (TIST) 8(5), 70 (2017) Assem, H., Buda, T.S., O’sullivan, D.: RCMC: recognizing crowd-mobility patterns in cities based on location based social networks data. ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol. (TIST) 8(5), 70 (2017)
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Assem, H., O’Sullivan, D.: Discovering new socio-demographic regional patterns in cities. In: Proceedings of the 9th ACM SIGSPATIAL Workshop on Location-Based Social Networks, p. 1. ACM (2016) Assem, H., O’Sullivan, D.: Discovering new socio-demographic regional patterns in cities. In: Proceedings of the 9th ACM SIGSPATIAL Workshop on Location-Based Social Networks, p. 1. ACM (2016)
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Assem, H., Xu, L., Buda, T.S., O’Sullivan, D.: Spatio-temporal clustering approach for detecting functional regions in cities. In: 2016 IEEE 28th International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence (ICTAI), pp. 370–377. IEEE (2016) Assem, H., Xu, L., Buda, T.S., O’Sullivan, D.: Spatio-temporal clustering approach for detecting functional regions in cities. In: 2016 IEEE 28th International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence (ICTAI), pp. 370–377. IEEE (2016)
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Chai, T., Draxler, R.R.: Root mean square error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE)?-Arguments against avoiding RMSE in the literature. Geoscientific Model Dev. 7(3), 1247–1250 (2014)CrossRef Chai, T., Draxler, R.R.: Root mean square error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE)?-Arguments against avoiding RMSE in the literature. Geoscientific Model Dev. 7(3), 1247–1250 (2014)CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Cisco, I.: Cisco visual networking index: forecast and methodology, 2011–2016. CISCO White paper, pp. 2011–2016 (2012) Cisco, I.: Cisco visual networking index: forecast and methodology, 2011–2016. CISCO White paper, pp. 2011–2016 (2012)
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Dong, X., Fan, W., Gu, J.: Predicting lte throughput using traffic time series. ZTE Commun. 4, 014 (2015) Dong, X., Fan, W., Gu, J.: Predicting lte throughput using traffic time series. ZTE Commun. 4, 014 (2015)
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Hasan, Z., Boostanimehr, H., Bhargava, V.K.: Green cellular networks: a survey, some research issues and challenges. IEEE Commun. Surv. Tutorials 13(4), 524–540 (2011)CrossRef Hasan, Z., Boostanimehr, H., Bhargava, V.K.: Green cellular networks: a survey, some research issues and challenges. IEEE Commun. Surv. Tutorials 13(4), 524–540 (2011)CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat He, K., Zhang, X., Ren, S., Sun, J.: Deep residual learning for image recognition. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, pp. 770–778 (2016) He, K., Zhang, X., Ren, S., Sun, J.: Deep residual learning for image recognition. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, pp. 770–778 (2016)
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)CrossRef Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, G., Liu, Z., Weinberger, K.Q., van der Maaten, L.: Densely connected convolutional networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:1608.06993 (2016) Huang, G., Liu, Z., Weinberger, K.Q., van der Maaten, L.: Densely connected convolutional networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:​1608.​06993 (2016)
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Jain, V., et al.: Supervised learning of image restoration with convolutional networks. In: IEEE 11th International Conference on Computer Vision, ICCV 2007, pp. 1–8. IEEE (2007) Jain, V., et al.: Supervised learning of image restoration with convolutional networks. In: IEEE 11th International Conference on Computer Vision, ICCV 2007, pp. 1–8. IEEE (2007)
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Khan, L.U.: Performance comparison of prediction techniques for 3G cellular traffic. Int. J. Comput. Sci. Netw. Secur. (IJCSNS) 17(2), 202 (2017) Khan, L.U.: Performance comparison of prediction techniques for 3G cellular traffic. Int. J. Comput. Sci. Netw. Secur. (IJCSNS) 17(2), 202 (2017)
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E.: Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 1097–1105 (2012) Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E.: Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 1097–1105 (2012)
18.
Zurück zum Zitat LeCun, Y., Bengio, Y., Hinton, G.: Deep learning. Nature 521(7553), 436–444 (2015)CrossRef LeCun, Y., Bengio, Y., Hinton, G.: Deep learning. Nature 521(7553), 436–444 (2015)CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Makridakis, S., Wheelwright, S.C., Hyndman, R.J.: Forecasting Methods and Applications. Wiley, Hoboken (2008) Makridakis, S., Wheelwright, S.C., Hyndman, R.J.: Forecasting Methods and Applications. Wiley, Hoboken (2008)
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Mathieu, M., Couprie, C., LeCun, Y.: Deep multi-scale video prediction beyond mean square error. arXiv preprint arXiv:1511.05440 (2015) Mathieu, M., Couprie, C., LeCun, Y.: Deep multi-scale video prediction beyond mean square error. arXiv preprint arXiv:​1511.​05440 (2015)
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Mikolov, T., Karafiát, M., Burget, L., Cernockỳ, J., Khudanpur, S.: Recurrent neural network based language model. In: Interspeech, vol. 2, p. 3 (2010) Mikolov, T., Karafiát, M., Burget, L., Cernockỳ, J., Khudanpur, S.: Recurrent neural network based language model. In: Interspeech, vol. 2, p. 3 (2010)
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Najafabadi, M.M., Villanustre, F., Khoshgoftaar, T.M., Seliya, N., Wald, R., Muharemagic, E.: Deep learning applications and challenges in big data analytics. J. Big Data 2(1), 1 (2015)CrossRef Najafabadi, M.M., Villanustre, F., Khoshgoftaar, T.M., Seliya, N., Wald, R., Muharemagic, E.: Deep learning applications and challenges in big data analytics. J. Big Data 2(1), 1 (2015)CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Oh, E., Krishnamachari, B., Liu, X., Niu, Z.: Toward dynamic energy-efficient operation of cellular network infrastructure. IEEE Commun. Mag. 49(6), 56–61 (2011)CrossRef Oh, E., Krishnamachari, B., Liu, X., Niu, Z.: Toward dynamic energy-efficient operation of cellular network infrastructure. IEEE Commun. Mag. 49(6), 56–61 (2011)CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Papagiannaki, K., Taft, N., Zhang, Z.L., Diot, C.: Long-term forecasting of internet backbone traffic. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. 16(5), 1110–1124 (2005)CrossRef Papagiannaki, K., Taft, N., Zhang, Z.L., Diot, C.: Long-term forecasting of internet backbone traffic. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. 16(5), 1110–1124 (2005)CrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Paul, U., Subramanian, A.P., Buddhikot, M.M., Das, S.R.: Understanding traffic dynamics in cellular data networks. In: 2011 Proceedings IEEE INFOCOM, pp. 882–890. IEEE (2011) Paul, U., Subramanian, A.P., Buddhikot, M.M., Das, S.R.: Understanding traffic dynamics in cellular data networks. In: 2011 Proceedings IEEE INFOCOM, pp. 882–890. IEEE (2011)
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Sadek, N., Khotanzad, A.: Multi-scale high-speed network traffic prediction using k-factor Gegenbauer ARMA model. In: 2004 IEEE International Conference on Communications, vol. 4, pp. 2148–2152. IEEE (2004) Sadek, N., Khotanzad, A.: Multi-scale high-speed network traffic prediction using k-factor Gegenbauer ARMA model. In: 2004 IEEE International Conference on Communications, vol. 4, pp. 2148–2152. IEEE (2004)
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Sayeed, Z., Liao, Q., Faucher, D., Grinshpun, E., Sharma, S.: Cloud analytics for wireless metric prediction-framework and performance. In: 2015 IEEE 8th International Conference on Cloud Computing (CLOUD), pp. 995–998. IEEE (2015) Sayeed, Z., Liao, Q., Faucher, D., Grinshpun, E., Sharma, S.: Cloud analytics for wireless metric prediction-framework and performance. In: 2015 IEEE 8th International Conference on Cloud Computing (CLOUD), pp. 995–998. IEEE (2015)
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Simonyan, K., Zisserman, A.: Very deep convolutional networks for large-scale image recognition. arXiv preprint arXiv:1409.1556 (2014) Simonyan, K., Zisserman, A.: Very deep convolutional networks for large-scale image recognition. arXiv preprint arXiv:​1409.​1556 (2014)
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Szegedy, C., et al.: Going deeper with convolutions. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, pp. 1–9 (2015) Szegedy, C., et al.: Going deeper with convolutions. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, pp. 1–9 (2015)
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Wu, J., Wei, S.: Time Series Analysis. Hunan Science and Technology Press, ChangSha (1989) Wu, J., Wei, S.: Time Series Analysis. Hunan Science and Technology Press, ChangSha (1989)
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Yao, J., Kanhere, S.S., Hassan, M.: Improving QoS in high-speed mobility using bandwidth maps. IEEE Trans. Mob. Comput. 11(4), 603–617 (2012)CrossRef Yao, J., Kanhere, S.S., Hassan, M.: Improving QoS in high-speed mobility using bandwidth maps. IEEE Trans. Mob. Comput. 11(4), 603–617 (2012)CrossRef
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Yu, Y., Song, M., Fu, Y., Song, J.: Traffic prediction in 3G mobile networks based on multifractal exploration. Tsinghua Sci. Technol. 18(4), 398–405 (2013)CrossRef Yu, Y., Song, M., Fu, Y., Song, J.: Traffic prediction in 3G mobile networks based on multifractal exploration. Tsinghua Sci. Technol. 18(4), 398–405 (2013)CrossRef
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D.: Deep spatio-temporal residual networks for citywide crowd flows prediction. In: AAAI, pp. 1655–1661 (2017) Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D.: Deep spatio-temporal residual networks for citywide crowd flows prediction. In: AAAI, pp. 1655–1661 (2017)
38.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D., Li, R., Yi, X., Li, T.: Predicting citywide crowd flows using deep spatio-temporal residual networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:1701.02543 (2017) Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D., Li, R., Yi, X., Li, T.: Predicting citywide crowd flows using deep spatio-temporal residual networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:​1701.​02543 (2017)
39.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhou, B., He, D., Sun, Z., Ng, W.H.: Network traffic modeling and prediction with ARIMA/GARCH. In: Proceedings of HET-NETs Conference, pp. 1–10 (2005) Zhou, B., He, D., Sun, Z., Ng, W.H.: Network traffic modeling and prediction with ARIMA/GARCH. In: Proceedings of HET-NETs Conference, pp. 1–10 (2005)
Metadaten
Titel
ST-DenNetFus: A New Deep Learning Approach for Network Demand Prediction
verfasst von
Haytham Assem
Bora Caglayan
Teodora Sandra Buda
Declan O’Sullivan
Copyright-Jahr
2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-10997-4_14