Skip to main content

2013 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

6. Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Processes

verfasst von : Jan Beran, Yuanhua Feng, Sucharita Ghosh, Rafal Kulik

Erschienen in: Long-Memory Processes

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In this section, we consider nonlinear processes with long memory. We will mainly focus on volatility models: stochastic volatility (see Definitions 2.3–2.4 and Sect. 4.​2.​6 for limit theorems), ARCH(∞) processes (see Definition 2.1 and Sect. 4.​2.​7) and LARCH(∞) models (see (2.​47) and (2.​48), and Sect. 4.​2.​8). Statistical inference for traffic models is not well developed yet (see Faÿ et al. in Queueing Syst. 54(2):121–140, 2006, Bernoulli 13(2):473–491, 2007; Hsieh et al. in J. Econom. 141(2):913–949, 2007 for some results in this direction).

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Adams, R. A., & Fournier, J. J. F. (2003). Sobolev spaces. Amsterdam: Academic Press. MATH Adams, R. A., & Fournier, J. J. F. (2003). Sobolev spaces. Amsterdam: Academic Press. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Arteche, J. (2004). Gaussian semiparametric estimation in long memory in stochastic volatility and signal plus noise models. Journal of Econometrics, 119(1), 131–154. MathSciNetCrossRef Arteche, J. (2004). Gaussian semiparametric estimation in long memory in stochastic volatility and signal plus noise models. Journal of Econometrics, 119(1), 131–154. MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Beran, J., & Schützner, M. (2008). The effect of long memory in volatility on location estimation. Sankhya, Series B, 70(1), 84–112. MATH Beran, J., & Schützner, M. (2008). The effect of long memory in volatility on location estimation. Sankhya, Series B, 70(1), 84–112. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Beran, J., & Schützner, M. (2009). On approximate pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for LARCH-processes. Bernoulli, 15(4), 1057–1081. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Beran, J., & Schützner, M. (2009). On approximate pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for LARCH-processes. Bernoulli, 15(4), 1057–1081. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Berkes, I., & Horváth, L. (2003). Asymptotic results for long memory LARCH sequences. The Annals of Applied Probability, 13, 641–668. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Berkes, I., & Horváth, L. (2003). Asymptotic results for long memory LARCH sequences. The Annals of Applied Probability, 13, 641–668. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Berkes, I., & Horváth, L. (2004). The efficiency of the estimators of the parameters in GARCH processes. The Annals of Statistics, 32, 633–655. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Berkes, I., & Horváth, L. (2004). The efficiency of the estimators of the parameters in GARCH processes. The Annals of Statistics, 32, 633–655. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Breidt, F. J., Crato, N., & de Lima, P. (1998). On the detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 83, 325–348. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Breidt, F. J., Crato, N., & de Lima, P. (1998). On the detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 83, 325–348. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dalla, V., Giraitis, L., & Hidalgo, J. (2006). Consistent estimation of the memory parameter for nonlinear time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 27, 211–251. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Dalla, V., Giraitis, L., & Hidalgo, J. (2006). Consistent estimation of the memory parameter for nonlinear time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 27, 211–251. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Deo, R., & Hurvich, C. M. (2001). On the log periodogram regression estimator of the memory parameter in long memory stochastic volatility models. Econometric Theory, 17(4), 686–710. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Deo, R., & Hurvich, C. M. (2001). On the log periodogram regression estimator of the memory parameter in long memory stochastic volatility models. Econometric Theory, 17(4), 686–710. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Doob, J. L. (1953). Stochastic processes. New York: Wiley. MATH Doob, J. L. (1953). Stochastic processes. New York: Wiley. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Drees, H. (1998). Optimal rates of convergence for estimates of the extreme value index. The Annals of Statistics, 26(1), 434–448. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Drees, H. (1998). Optimal rates of convergence for estimates of the extreme value index. The Annals of Statistics, 26(1), 434–448. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., & Mikosch, T. (1997). Modelling extremal events. New York: Springer. MATHCrossRef Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., & Mikosch, T. (1997). Modelling extremal events. New York: Springer. MATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Faÿ, G., González-Arévalo, B., Mikosch, T., & Samorodnitsky, G. (2006). Modeling teletraffic arrivals by a Poisson cluster process. Queueing Systems, 54(2), 121–140. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Faÿ, G., González-Arévalo, B., Mikosch, T., & Samorodnitsky, G. (2006). Modeling teletraffic arrivals by a Poisson cluster process. Queueing Systems, 54(2), 121–140. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Faÿ, G., Roueff, F., & Soulier, P. (2007). Estimation of the memory parameter of the infinite source Poisson process. Bernoulli, 13(2), 473–491. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Faÿ, G., Roueff, F., & Soulier, P. (2007). Estimation of the memory parameter of the infinite source Poisson process. Bernoulli, 13(2), 473–491. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Francq, C., & Zakoian, J.-M. (2008). Inconsistency of the QMLE and asymptotic normality of the weighted LSE for a class of conditionally heteroscedastic models (Working paper). Université Lille 3. Francq, C., & Zakoian, J.-M. (2008). Inconsistency of the QMLE and asymptotic normality of the weighted LSE for a class of conditionally heteroscedastic models (Working paper). Université Lille 3.
Zurück zum Zitat Gelfand, I. M., & Shilov, G. E. (1966–1968). Generalized functions (Vols. 1–5). San Diego: Academic Press. Gelfand, I. M., & Shilov, G. E. (1966–1968). Generalized functions (Vols. 1–5). San Diego: Academic Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P., Leipus, R., & Teyssière, G. (2000b). Semiparametric estimation of the intensity of long memory in conditional heteroskedasticity. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 3(1–2), 113–128. 19th “Rencontres Franco-Belges de statisticiens” (Marseille, 1998). MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P., Leipus, R., & Teyssière, G. (2000b). Semiparametric estimation of the intensity of long memory in conditional heteroskedasticity. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 3(1–2), 113–128. 19th “Rencontres Franco-Belges de statisticiens” (Marseille, 1998). MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P., Leipus, R., & Teyssiere, G. (2003). Rescaled variance and related tests for long memory in volatility and levels. Journal of Econometrics, 112(2), 265–294. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P., Leipus, R., & Teyssiere, G. (2003). Rescaled variance and related tests for long memory in volatility and levels. Journal of Econometrics, 112(2), 265–294. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Giraitis, L., Leipus, R., & Surgailis, D. (2006). Recent advances in ARCH modelling. In G. Teyssière & A. P. Kirman (Eds.), Long memory in economics (pp. 3–38). Berlin: Springer. Giraitis, L., Leipus, R., & Surgailis, D. (2006). Recent advances in ARCH modelling. In G. Teyssière & A. P. Kirman (Eds.), Long memory in economics (pp. 3–38). Berlin: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Hosoya, Y. (1974). Estimation problems on stationary time series models. Ph.D. thesis, Yale. Hosoya, Y. (1974). Estimation problems on stationary time series models. Ph.D. thesis, Yale.
Zurück zum Zitat Hosoya, Y., & Taniguchi, M. (1982). A central limit theorem for stationary processes and the parameter estimation of linear processes. The Annals of Statistics, 10(1), 132–153. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Hosoya, Y., & Taniguchi, M. (1982). A central limit theorem for stationary processes and the parameter estimation of linear processes. The Annals of Statistics, 10(1), 132–153. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hsieh, M.-C., Hurvich, C. M., & Soulier, P. (2007). Asymptotics for duration-driven long range dependent processes. Journal of Econometrics, 141(2), 913–949. MathSciNetCrossRef Hsieh, M.-C., Hurvich, C. M., & Soulier, P. (2007). Asymptotics for duration-driven long range dependent processes. Journal of Econometrics, 141(2), 913–949. MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hurvich, C. M., Moulines, E., & Soulier, P. (2005b). Estimating long memory in volatility. Econometrica, 73(4), 1283–1328. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Hurvich, C. M., Moulines, E., & Soulier, P. (2005b). Estimating long memory in volatility. Econometrica, 73(4), 1283–1328. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jach, A., & Kokoszka, P. (2008). Wavelet-domain test for long-range dependence in the presence of a trend. Statistics: A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 42, 101–113. MathSciNetMATH Jach, A., & Kokoszka, P. (2008). Wavelet-domain test for long-range dependence in the presence of a trend. Statistics: A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 42, 101–113. MathSciNetMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Jach, A., McElroy, T., & Politis, D. N. (2012). Subsampling inference for the mean of heavy-tailed long memory time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 33, 96–111. MathSciNetCrossRef Jach, A., McElroy, T., & Politis, D. N. (2012). Subsampling inference for the mean of heavy-tailed long memory time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 33, 96–111. MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kanwal, R. P. (2004). Generalized functions: theory and applications (3rd ed.). Boston: Birkhäuser. MATH Kanwal, R. P. (2004). Generalized functions: theory and applications (3rd ed.). Boston: Birkhäuser. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Kulik, R., & Soulier, P. (2011). The tail empirical process for long memory stochastic volatility sequences. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 121(1), 109–134. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Kulik, R., & Soulier, P. (2011). The tail empirical process for long memory stochastic volatility sequences. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, 121(1), 109–134. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lee, S.-W., & Hansen, B. E. (1994). Asymptotic theory for the GARCH(1, 1) quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. Econometric Theory, 10, 29–52. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Lee, S.-W., & Hansen, B. E. (1994). Asymptotic theory for the GARCH(1, 1) quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. Econometric Theory, 10, 29–52. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lighthill, M. J. (1958). Cambridge monographs on mechanics. An introduction to fourier analysis and generalised functions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef Lighthill, M. J. (1958). Cambridge monographs on mechanics. An introduction to fourier analysis and generalised functions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lumsdaine, R. (1996). Consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator in IGARCH(1, 1) and covariance stationary GARCH(1, 1) models. Econometrica, 64, 575–596. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Lumsdaine, R. (1996). Consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator in IGARCH(1, 1) and covariance stationary GARCH(1, 1) models. Econometrica, 64, 575–596. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Luo, L. (2011). High quantile estimation for some stochastic volatility models. M.Sc. thesis, University of Ottawa. Luo, L. (2011). High quantile estimation for some stochastic volatility models. M.Sc. thesis, University of Ottawa.
Zurück zum Zitat Petersen, K. (1989). Cambridge studies in advanced mathematics: Vol. 2. Ergodic theory. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. MATH Petersen, K. (1989). Cambridge studies in advanced mathematics: Vol. 2. Ergodic theory. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Resnick, S. I. (1997). Heavy tail modelling and teletraffic data: special invited paper. The Annals of Statistics, 25(5), 1805–1869. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Resnick, S. I. (1997). Heavy tail modelling and teletraffic data: special invited paper. The Annals of Statistics, 25(5), 1805–1869. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (1997). Modelling nonlinearity and long memory in time series. Fields Institute Communications, 11, 161–170. MathSciNet Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (1997). Modelling nonlinearity and long memory in time series. Fields Institute Communications, 11, 161–170. MathSciNet
Zurück zum Zitat Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (1998). Nonlinear time series with long memory: a model for stochastic volatility. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 68, 359–371. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (1998). Nonlinear time series with long memory: a model for stochastic volatility. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 68, 359–371. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (2006). Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation of ARCH(∞) models. The Annals of Statistics, 34(3), 1049–1074. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Robinson, P. M., & Zaffaroni, P. (2006). Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation of ARCH(∞) models. The Annals of Statistics, 34(3), 1049–1074. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Stout, W. F. (1974). Almost sure convergence. New York: Academic Press. MATH Stout, W. F. (1974). Almost sure convergence. New York: Academic Press. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Straumann, D. (2004). Lecture notes in statistics: Vol. 181. Estimation in conditionally heteroskedastic time series models. New York: Springer. Straumann, D. (2004). Lecture notes in statistics: Vol. 181. Estimation in conditionally heteroskedastic time series models. New York: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Strichartz, R. (1994). A guide to distribution theory and Fourier transforms. Boca Raton: CRC Press. MATH Strichartz, R. (1994). A guide to distribution theory and Fourier transforms. Boca Raton: CRC Press. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Teyssière, G., & Abry, P. (2006). Wavelet analysis of nonlinear long–range dependent processes. Applications to financial time series. In G. Teyssiere & A. Kirman (Eds.), Long memory in economics (pp. 173–238). Berlin: Springer. Teyssière, G., & Abry, P. (2006). Wavelet analysis of nonlinear long–range dependent processes. Applications to financial time series. In G. Teyssiere & A. Kirman (Eds.), Long memory in economics (pp. 173–238). Berlin: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Truquet, L. (2008). A new smoothed QMLE for AR processes with LARCH errors (Working paper). Université Panthéon-Sorbonne Paris I. Truquet, L. (2008). A new smoothed QMLE for AR processes with LARCH errors (Working paper). Université Panthéon-Sorbonne Paris I.
Zurück zum Zitat Vladimirov, V. S. (2002). Methods of the theory of generalized functions. London: Taylor & Francis. MATH Vladimirov, V. S. (2002). Methods of the theory of generalized functions. London: Taylor & Francis. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Walters, P. (2000). An introduction to ergodic theory. New York: Springer. MATH Walters, P. (2000). An introduction to ergodic theory. New York: Springer. MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Weiss, A. A. (1986). Asymptotic theory for ARCH models: estimation and testing. Econometric Theory, 2, 107–131. CrossRef Weiss, A. A. (1986). Asymptotic theory for ARCH models: estimation and testing. Econometric Theory, 2, 107–131. CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wright, J. H. (2002). Log-periodogram estimation of long memory volatility dependencies with conditionally heavy tailed returns. Econometric Reviews, 21(4), 397–417. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef Wright, J. H. (2002). Log-periodogram estimation of long memory volatility dependencies with conditionally heavy tailed returns. Econometric Reviews, 21(4), 397–417. MathSciNetMATHCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zaffaroni, P. (2009). Whittle estimation of EGARCH and other exponential volatility models. Journal of Econometrics, 151, 190–200. MathSciNetCrossRef Zaffaroni, P. (2009). Whittle estimation of EGARCH and other exponential volatility models. Journal of Econometrics, 151, 190–200. MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zemanian, A. H. (2010). Distribution theory and transform analysis: an introduction to generalized functions, with applications. New York: Dover. Zemanian, A. H. (2010). Distribution theory and transform analysis: an introduction to generalized functions, with applications. New York: Dover.
Metadaten
Titel
Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Processes
verfasst von
Jan Beran
Yuanhua Feng
Sucharita Ghosh
Rafal Kulik
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-35512-7_6