Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

10. Technology Forecasting: Case of Solar Technology

verfasst von : Manar Al Mallak, Niharika Jeena, Isaac Pendergrass, Sumir Varma, Jisun Kim, Tugrul Daim

Erschienen in: Research and Development Management

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Electricity generation in the United States is primarily based on fossil fuels with very little of it coming from renewable energy sources. In the last few years the proportion of electricity generated by non hydropower based renewable sources has remained constant while generation from fossil fuels has increased.
In this chapter, we provide a background of the sources of renewable electricity in the United States. We discuss thin film solar photovoltaics in detail with analyses of the strengths and weakness of this material.
Collected data regarding historical manufacturing costs and current prices of electricity are used to put together a scenario analyses which could predict the viability of thin film solar panels. These factors include:
  • Human/Government factors
  • Manufacturing trends
  • Consideration of cost of ownership.
  • Conversion factors to compare solar power to standard electrical power.
  • Environmental impact factors

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Baechler M, Bindel C (2005) Cost comparison of large scale crystalline and thin-film PV systems. In: 20th European photovoltaic solar energy conference, 6–10 June 2005, Barcelona, Spain, pp 3134–3138 Baechler M, Bindel C (2005) Cost comparison of large scale crystalline and thin-film PV systems. In: 20th European photovoltaic solar energy conference, 6–10 June 2005, Barcelona, Spain, pp 3134–3138
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Endrös AL (2002) Mono- and tri-crystalline Si for PV application, solar energy materials and solar cells. Sol Energy Mater Sol Cells 72:109CrossRef Endrös AL (2002) Mono- and tri-crystalline Si for PV application, solar energy materials and solar cells. Sol Energy Mater Sol Cells 72:109CrossRef
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Gostein M, Dunn L (2011) Light soaking effects on photovoltaic modules: overview and literature review. Proceeding of 37th IEEE PVSC Gostein M, Dunn L (2011) Light soaking effects on photovoltaic modules: overview and literature review. Proceeding of 37th IEEE PVSC
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Gostein, Dunn L (2011) Light soaking effects on photovoltaic modules: overview and literature review. In: Proceedings of the 37th IEEE photovoltaic specialists conference (PVSC), Seattle, Washington, 19–24 June 2011. IEEE. Gostein, Dunn L (2011) Light soaking effects on photovoltaic modules: overview and literature review. In: Proceedings of the 37th IEEE photovoltaic specialists conference (PVSC), Seattle, Washington, 19–24 June 2011. IEEE.
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Green MA (2007) Thin-film solar cells: review of materials, technologies and commercial status. J Mater Sci Mater Electron 18:15–19CrossRef Green MA (2007) Thin-film solar cells: review of materials, technologies and commercial status. J Mater Sci Mater Electron 18:15–19CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Claverie A et al (2003) A SWOT analysis of PV RTD in Europe. PV-EC–NET, Brussels Claverie A et al (2003) A SWOT analysis of PV RTD in Europe. PV-EC–NET, Brussels
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Bradford T (2008) Solar revolution. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA Bradford T (2008) Solar revolution. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Travis B, Sorin G, Elizabeth W, Alok B (2007) The future of thin film solar. Greentech Media 1(1), Aug 2007 Travis B, Sorin G, Elizabeth W, Alok B (2007) The future of thin film solar. Greentech Media 1(1), Aug 2007
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Hegedus S (2006) Progress in photovoltaics: research and applications, vol 14. Wiley, New York, pp 393–411 Hegedus S (2006) Progress in photovoltaics: research and applications, vol 14. Wiley, New York, pp 393–411
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Vaun PR, Inder KB (2009) Energy, economics and environmental impacts of renewable energy systems. Renew Sust Energ Rev 13(9):2716–2721CrossRef Vaun PR, Inder KB (2009) Energy, economics and environmental impacts of renewable energy systems. Renew Sust Energ Rev 13(9):2716–2721CrossRef
25.
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Shawney M (2006) Illinois superconductor corporation: forecasting demand for superconducting filters. Kellogg School of Management, licensed to Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston, MA Shawney M (2006) Illinois superconductor corporation: forecasting demand for superconducting filters. Kellogg School of Management, licensed to Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston, MA
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Asia Pacific solar PV installations grew 165% in 2011. Renewable Energy News. Energy Matters, 1 Feb 2012 [Online]. Accessed 24 Mar 2012 Asia Pacific solar PV installations grew 165% in 2011. Renewable Energy News. Energy Matters, 1 Feb 2012 [Online]. Accessed 24 Mar 2012
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Furkan D (2011) The analysis on photovoltaic electricity generation status, potential and policies of the leading countries in solar energy. Renew Sust Energ Rev 15(1):713–720CrossRef Furkan D (2011) The analysis on photovoltaic electricity generation status, potential and policies of the leading countries in solar energy. Renew Sust Energ Rev 15(1):713–720CrossRef
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Guidolin M, Mortarino C (2010) Cross-country diffusion of photovoltaic systems: modelling choices and forecasts for national adoption patterns. Technol Forecas Soc Chang 77(2):279–296CrossRef Guidolin M, Mortarino C (2010) Cross-country diffusion of photovoltaic systems: modelling choices and forecasts for national adoption patterns. Technol Forecas Soc Chang 77(2):279–296CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Technology Forecasting: Case of Solar Technology
verfasst von
Manar Al Mallak
Niharika Jeena
Isaac Pendergrass
Sumir Varma
Jisun Kim
Tugrul Daim
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54537-0_10