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In a speech to the Trades Union Congress in November 2015 (‘Labour’s Share’), Andy Haldane, chief economist of the Bank of England, said that about 15 million UK jobs were at risk of being taken over by robots in the coming decades. Research undertaken by the Bank of England estimated the probability of a range of jobs being automated over the next twenty or thirty years and came up with the 15 million number by multiplying the probabilities by the number of people employed in each sector. This is about half of the total number of people in work in the UK today. Haldane caveated his estimates by saying they were broad brush and may be too pessimistic, and pointed out that previous assessments of the impact of technology on employment had proved unreliable since the industrial revolution.
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The Commission on the Future of Management and Leadership. (2014). Management Ideas 2020. www.managers.org.uk
Chartered Management Institute. (2016, January). The Quality of Working Life. www.managers.org.uk
Deloitte. (2016, October). The State of the State 2016–2017. www.deloitte.com
Frey, C. & Osborne, M. (2013). The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation. www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/view
Mankins, M. (2015, February). Is Technology Helping Us Get More Done? Harvard Business Review.
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