Telematics Technology Development Forecasting: The Patent Analysis and Technology Life Cycle Perspective

Telematics technology is the most popular in recent years, the field of intelligent vehicles issues, was becoming increasingly relevant research. However, the research is still lack in the technology development forecasting. The purpose of this research is to study the technology life cycle of the telematics, and investigates the major technologies in different technology life cycle to point out technical change trends. We used logistic growth curve model and patent analysis to explore future development time phase and technology development saturation. The results indicate that telematics technology is currently in a growth phase, and until the saturation phase, the technology will have eighteen years to grow and develop. Telematics is an emerging technology and will continue to integrate the services or facilities adapted for wireless communication networks and traffic control systems in the future. We assessed telematics development phase and proposed technology development recommendations to telematics industry and government.